Valmiera/ORDO vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Apr 2013

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 52-72

15-14 6-19 13-21 18-18

Position#3

Record24-14

FormWLWWL

Points / game80.7

Allowed / game74.9

Valmiera/ORDO

Ventspils 🏆

Position#2

Record18-3

FormLWWWW

Points / game87.5

Allowed / game66.2

LBLLBL - Semi-finals

Other2012-13

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ventspils winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jelgava

99-71

+28

H23/03

LBL

Jurmala

69-52

+17

A27/03

LBL

Latvia U18

#11

94-64

+30

H31/03

LBL

Jekabpils

96-92 OT

H03/04

LBL

Jelgava

76-74

A06/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

102-82

102

+20

A10/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

93-94 OT

-1

H17/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

80-68

+12

A20/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

71-61

+10

H23/04

LBL

Ventspils

56-80

-24

A26/04

LBL

22-10

24-24

25-18

28-19

20-16

26-7

18-18

5-11

20-14

22-20

30-16

22-14

15-26

21-22

26-19

20-15

18-21

16-23

31-13

11-17

20-22

26-19

27-16

29-25

18-27

14-7

29-29

19-17

21-12

18-19

24-18

17-19

18-16

19-10

19-24

15-11

14-16

21-15

9-18

12-31

157.4Avg total

83.6Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	80.7	74.9	155.7	+5.8	63%
Season at home (19)	84.7	72.4	157.1	+12.3	74%
Season away (19)	76.8	77.5	154.3	-0.7	53%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	73.8	157.4	+9.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	77.0	157.4	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	74.5	84.4	158.9	-9.9	25%
vs Similar (7)	77.1	75.4	152.6	+1.7	57%
vs Weaker (15)	82.3	72.9	155.2	+9.5	67%

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ventspils

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

61-64

-3

A18/03

Baltic League

BC Kalev/Cramo

78-65

+13

H21/03

Baltic League

Jelgava

93-63

+30

H26/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

82-91

-9

A30/03

LBL

Skycop

91-69

+22

A02/04

Baltic League

Skycop

70-73

-3

H06/04

Baltic League

Jurmala

94-70

+24

A08/04

LBL

Jekabpils

82-53

+29

H10/04

LBL

Turiba

#10

95-66

+29

H14/04

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

80-56

+24

H26/04

LBL

24-18

10-19

16-15

11-12

17-19

21-14

19-14

21-18

25-16

23-22

14-13

31-12

18-19

19-28

24-22

21-22

23-17

29-20

15-17

24-15

17-19

22-19

15-22

16-13

25-15

26-25

21-20

22-10

12-14

20-14

25-12

25-13

20-13

26-18

22-21

27-14

16-14

15-21

18-9

31-12

149.6Avg total

82.6Scored

67.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	87.5	66.2	153.7	+21.3	86%
Season at home (11)	85.9	62.6	148.5	+23.3	91%
Season away (10)	89.3	70.1	159.4	+19.2	80%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	67.0	149.6	+15.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	63.6	147.8	+20.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	61.0	73.0	134.0	-12.0	0%
vs Similar (6)	80.3	78.8	159.2	+1.5	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	84.5	65.3	149.8	+19.2	78%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOVentspils

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.5	39.3	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.1	20.9	38.0	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	17.7	37.9	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.5	19.1	39.5	+1.4	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.4	36.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.9	16.6	37.5	+4.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.3	37.9	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.6	37.3	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	14.0	33.6	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.1	23.1	42.2	-4.0	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.7	18.6	35.3	-1.9	14%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.1	16.7	36.8	+3.5	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	24.0	38.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.1	17.5	38.6	+3.7	70%	-

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jelgava

46-34

+12

H23/03

LBL

Jurmala

46-23

+23

A27/03

LBL

Latvia U18

#11

42-34

H31/03

LBL

Jekabpils

36-48

-12

H03/04

LBL

Jelgava

34-44

-10

A06/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

46-41

A10/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

32-34

-2

H17/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

39-31

A20/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

37-26

+11

H23/04

LBL

Ventspils

35-31

A26/04

LBL

73.9Avg total

39.3Scored

34.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	38.1	76.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	37.8	77.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	38.3	76.0	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	34.6	73.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	32.6	70.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.2	44.0	80.2	-7.8	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.9	36.3	73.1	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.6	35.7	76.3	+4.9	67%	-

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

34-37

-3

A18/03

Baltic League

BC Kalev/Cramo

38-33

H21/03

Baltic League

Jelgava

48-38

+10

H26/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

37-47

-10

A30/03

LBL

Skycop

52-37

+15

A02/04

Baltic League

Skycop

39-38

H06/04

Baltic League

Jurmala

51-40

+11

A08/04

LBL

Jekabpils

32-28

H10/04

LBL

Turiba

#10

46-31

+15

H14/04

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

31-35

-4

H26/04

LBL

77.2Avg total

40.8Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	35.9	77.2	+5.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	35.9	78.1	+6.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	35.9	76.1	+4.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	36.4	77.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	34.4	74.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	41.0	71.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.5	41.8	82.3	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.0	34.1	76.1	+7.9	78%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.1	38.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	18.9	42.7	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.9	18.1	35.0	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	21.1	41.3	-1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.8	17.7	39.5	+4.1	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	15.7	35.4	+4.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	15.4	34.6	+3.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	16.1	36.4	+4.2	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.5	35.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	16.3	35.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.0	15.5	35.5	+4.6	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.3	37.3	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.1	37.7	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.5	36.9	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.9	35.7	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.6	20.2	39.9	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.1	16.6	34.7	+1.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (15)	18.9	18.1	37.1	+0.8	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	16.7	38.6	+5.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.0	16.1	39.1	+6.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	14.1	37.0	+8.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	12.4	36.6	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	15.0	31.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.5	15.7	38.2	+6.7	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	37.0	76.0	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	35.3	77.0	+6.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	38.6	75.0	-2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	36.8	78.4	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	41.6	81.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.5	38.4	74.9	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.3	37.7	76.0	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.7	35.9	76.6	+4.9	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	32.4	74.0	+9.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	31.4	73.7	+10.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	33.5	74.4	+7.4	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	30.6	72.4	+11.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	29.2	73.6	+15.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	32.0	63.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.8	37.0	76.8	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.5	31.2	73.7	+11.3	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

Ventspils wins

Date	Game	Score
26/04/13	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	80-56
18/01/13	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	102-71
27/10/12	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	83-62
03/03/12	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	82-83
08/10/11	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	101-69
22/01/11	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	68-83
04/12/10	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	73-54
09/02/10	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	54-57
28/11/09	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	83-71

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/13	A	Ventspils	56-80
23/04/13	H	Latvijas Universitate	71-61
20/04/13	A	Latvijas Universitate	80-68
17/04/13	H	Latvijas Universitate	93-94 OT
10/04/13	A	BK Liepaja	102-82
06/04/13	A	Jelgava	76-74
03/04/13	H	Jekabpils	96-92 OT
31/03/13	H	Latvia U18	94-64
27/03/13	A	Jurmala	69-52
23/03/13	H	Jelgava	99-71

Ventspilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/13	H	Valmiera/ORDO	80-56
14/04/13	H	Turiba	95-66
10/04/13	H	Jekabpils	82-53
08/04/13	A	Jurmala	94-70
06/04/13	H	Skycop	70-73
02/04/13	A	Skycop	91-69
30/03/13	A	Barons Kvartals	82-91
26/03/13	H	Jelgava	93-63
21/03/13	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	78-65
18/03/13	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	61-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2012-13

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	63%
Home	WWWLW	74%
Away	WWWWL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	19	19
Win %	63%	74%	53%
Points / game	80.7	84.7	76.8
Allowed / game	74.9	72.4	77.5
Point differential	+5.8	+12.3	-0.7
Avg total	155.7	157.1	154.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	58%	32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	20% (5)	50% (4)
Overtime %	16%	26%	5%

Ventspils

LBL 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	86%
Home	LWWWW	91%
Away	WWWLW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	86%	91%	80%
Points / game	87.5	85.9	89.3
Allowed / game	66.2	62.6	70.1
Point differential	+21.3	+23.3	+19.2
Avg total	153.7	148.5	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	81%	91%	70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	VEF Riga	22	21	1	95%	96.0	70.5	+25.5
2	Ventspils	21	18	3	86%	87.5	66.2	+21.3
3	Valmiera/ORDO	38	24	14	63%	80.7	74.9	+5.8
4	Barons Kvartals	38	23	15	61%	81.6	78.9	+2.7
5	Jekabpils	36	19	17	53%	82.4	80.7	+1.7
6	Latvijas Universitate	37	17	20	46%	77.6	81.6	-4.0
7	Jelgava	34	14	20	41%	84.9	89.3	-4.3
8	BK Liepaja	34	13	21	38%	78.1	82.0	-3.9
9	Jurmala	34	13	21	38%	75.8	79.7	-3.9
10	Turiba	34	11	23	32%	77.9	87.4	-9.4
11	Latvia U18	20	1	19	5%	65.2	90.7	-25.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	15	6	13	18	52
Ventspils	14	19	21	18	72

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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