Ventspils vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 93-63

25-16 23-22 14-13 31-12

Position#2

Record13-2

FormLLWLW

Points / game87.5

Allowed / game66.1

Ventspils 🏆

Jelgava

Position#7

Record13-15

FormLWWWL

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game88.4

LBL

Other2012-13

Meetings · Ventspils v Jelgava

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Jelgava winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ventspils

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

95-60

+35

H16/02

LBL

Karsiyaka

75-84

-9

A19/02

EuroChallenge

Barons Kvartals

81-60

+21

A21/02

Baltic League

Latvia U18

#11

83-59

+24

A24/02

LBL

CSM Medias

#10

58-67

-9

A26/02

EuroChallenge

VEF Riga

61-73

-12

H03/03

LBL

Siauliai

78-81

-3

A06/03

Baltic League

Siauliai

87-80

H09/03

Baltic League

BC Kalev/Cramo

61-64

-3

A18/03

Baltic League

BC Kalev/Cramo

78-65

+13

H21/03

Baltic League

17-14

25-20

24-9

29-17

20-27

14-24

25-14

16-19

15-23

28-12

19-9

19-16

22-16

20-11

20-17

21-15

10-12

10-14

15-18

23-23

16-17

14-24

15-17

16-15

17-21

14-19

24-13

23-28

25-23

23-20

15-14

24-23

24-18

10-19

16-15

11-12

17-19

21-14

19-14

21-18

145.0Avg total

75.7Scored

69.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	87.5	66.1	153.5	+21.4	87%
Season at home (7)	85.0	64.4	149.4	+20.6	86%
Season away (8)	89.6	67.5	157.1	+22.1	88%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	69.3	145.0	+6.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	72.6	145.6	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	61.0	73.0	134.0	-12.0	0%
vs Similar (4)	80.2	82.8	163.0	-2.5	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	84.4	64.0	148.4	+20.4	84%

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Jelgava

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

78-86

-8

H12/02

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

81-100

100

-19

A16/02

LBL

Skycop

76-109

109

-33

A19/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

88-96

-8

H24/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

70-84

-14

H27/02

LBL

Turiba

#10

81-95

-14

A02/03

LBL

Jurmala

101-79

101

+22

H14/03

LBL

Latvia U18

#11

101-79

101

+22

A17/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

112-94

112

+18

A20/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

71-99

-28

A23/03

LBL

23-23

17-23

17-18

21-22

26-23

21-25

14-26

20-26

11-43

27-21

17-27

21-18

18-25

31-19

17-26

22-26

20-22

13-27

22-14

15-21

17-29

18-19

21-20

25-27

22-18

20-20

28-15

31-26

33-23

30-28

19-14

26-28

31-24

27-21

28-21

10-22

24-24

18-25

19-28

178.0Avg total

85.9Scored

92.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	85.2	88.4	173.6	-3.1	46%
Season at home (13)	85.1	83.9	169.0	+1.2	62%
Season away (15)	85.4	92.3	177.7	-6.9	33%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	92.1	178.0	-6.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	89.2	182.4	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	77.3	93.4	170.8	-16.1	12%
vs Similar (9)	98.3	88.1	186.4	+10.2	89%
vs Weaker (5)	89.4	87.8	177.2	+1.6	60%

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VentspilsJelgava

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.6	17.6	40.2	+4.9	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.1	17.2	39.3	+4.8	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	24.2	46.3	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	25.6	46.2	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	24.0	45.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.8	24.2	42.9	-5.4	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	25.1	19.8	44.9	+5.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.6	22.6	49.2	+4.0	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	22.2	16.6	38.8	+5.6	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.1	16.4	35.5	+2.7	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.7	35.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	24.0	38.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.7	15.5	37.2	+6.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	22.5	41.5	-3.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	23.1	45.7	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	23.0	46.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	23.0	47.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.3	22.4	42.8	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.9	23.1	45.0	-1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.2	23.6	43.8	-3.4	20%	-

VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

42-34

H16/02

LBL

Karsiyaka

34-51

-17

A19/02

EuroChallenge

Barons Kvartals

43-35

A21/02

Baltic League

Latvia U18

#11

42-27

+15

A24/02

LBL

CSM Medias

#10

20-26

-6

A26/02

EuroChallenge

VEF Riga

30-41

-11

H03/03

LBL

Siauliai

31-40

-9

A06/03

Baltic League

Siauliai

48-43

H09/03

Baltic League

BC Kalev/Cramo

34-37

-3

A18/03

Baltic League

BC Kalev/Cramo

38-33

H21/03

Baltic League

72.9Avg total

36.2Scored

36.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	34.5	77.1	+8.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	44.8	34.2	79.0	+10.6	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.2	35.0	74.2	+4.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	36.7	72.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	38.8	75.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	41.0	71.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.0	44.0	82.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	43.8	32.8	76.6	+11.0	88%	-

This opponent (Jelgava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

40-46

-6

H12/02

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

47-48

-1

A16/02

LBL

Skycop

38-64

-26

A19/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

49-44

H24/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

33-49

-16

H27/02

LBL

Turiba

#10

35-48

-13

A02/03

LBL

Jurmala

42-38

H14/03

LBL

Latvia U18

#11

63-51

+12

A17/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

57-52

A20/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

34-46

-12

A23/03

LBL

92.4Avg total

43.8Scored

48.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	45.4	88.2	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	43.5	84.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.7	47.3	92.0	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	48.6	92.4	-4.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	47.0	93.2	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	39.1	46.6	85.7	-7.6	19%	-
vs Similar (9)	47.0	42.9	89.9	+4.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	46.8	46.2	93.0	+0.6	60%	-

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	14.6	35.7	+6.5	80%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.1	14.8	35.9	+6.3	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.0	14.3	35.3	+6.7	83%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	14.0	33.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	14.6	32.4	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.5	14.8	36.2	+6.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.2	14.5	35.7	+6.8	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	23.0	43.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	23.6	42.7	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.2	24.5	42.7	-6.3	19%	-
vs Similar (9)	25.2	21.4	46.7	+3.8	78%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.4	17.3	36.7	+2.1	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.5	18.2	37.8	+1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	15.0	31.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.8	24.0	44.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	19.4	16.8	36.1	+2.6	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.5	44.9	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.7	42.7	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.9	23.3	47.1	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	22.9	45.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.2	47.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.1	22.3	42.4	-2.2	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	26.1	23.8	49.9	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	32.3	72.8	+8.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	40.5	32.1	72.6	+8.4	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.5	32.6	73.1	+7.9	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	32.6	72.1	+6.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	33.8	70.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	32.0	63.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.2	38.8	81.0	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	40.6	31.2	71.8	+9.4	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	45.5	88.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	44.1	86.9	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	46.9	89.8	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	43.5	85.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	42.2	89.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	38.2	46.8	85.1	-8.6	19%	-
vs Similar (9)	51.3	45.2	96.6	+6.1	78%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.6	41.6	84.2	+1.0	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ventspils wins

Jelgava wins

Date	Game	Score
05/01/13	Jelgava v Ventspils	59-105
14/02/12	Jelgava v Ventspils	61-93
22/12/11	Ventspils v Jelgava	85-60

Ventspilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/13	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	78-65
18/03/13	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	61-64
09/03/13	H	Siauliai	87-80
06/03/13	A	Siauliai	78-81
03/03/13	H	VEF Riga	61-73
26/02/13	A	CSM Medias	58-67
24/02/13	A	Latvia U18	83-59
21/02/13	A	Barons Kvartals	81-60
19/02/13	A	Karsiyaka	75-84
16/02/13	H	Latvijas Universitate	95-60

Jelgavalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/03/13	A	Valmiera/ORDO	71-99
20/03/13	A	BK Liepaja	112-94
17/03/13	A	Latvia U18	101-79
14/03/13	H	Jurmala	101-79
02/03/13	A	Turiba	81-95
27/02/13	H	BK Liepaja	70-84
24/02/13	H	Jekabpils	88-96
19/02/13	A	Skycop	76-109
16/02/13	A	Barons Kvartals	81-100
12/02/13	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils

LBL 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	87%
Home	WWWWL	86%
Away	WWWWW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	87%	86%	88%
Points / game	87.5	85.0	89.6
Allowed / game	66.1	64.4	67.5
Point differential	+21.4	+20.6	+22.1
Avg total	153.5	149.4	157.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	80%	86%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Jelgava

LBL 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	46%
Home	LWLLW	62%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	13	15
Win %	46%	62%	33%
Points / game	85.2	85.1	85.4
Allowed / game	88.4	83.9	92.3
Point differential	-3.1	+1.2	-6.9
Avg total	173.6	169.0	177.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	31%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	VEF Riga	14	13	1	93%	89.4	69.0	+20.4
2	Ventspils	15	13	2	87%	87.5	66.1	+21.4
3	Barons Kvartals	28	18	10	64%	80.1	75.2	+5.0
4	Jekabpils	29	18	11	62%	83.2	79.3	+4.0
5	Valmiera/ORDO	29	17	12	59%	80.4	75.2	+5.2
6	Jelgava	28	13	15	46%	85.2	88.4	-3.1
7	Latvijas Universitate	31	14	17	45%	77.6	80.6	-2.9
8	Jurmala	29	11	18	38%	75.7	77.8	-2.1
9	BK Liepaja	29	11	18	38%	75.7	81.3	-5.6
10	Turiba	29	10	19	34%	77.9	85.9	-8.0
11	Latvia U18	17	1	16	6%	65.2	87.5	-22.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ventspils	25	23	14	31	93
Jelgava	16	22	13	12	63

← all games of the day

Ventspils vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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