Valmiera/ORDO vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 83-77

18-21 23-15 20-16 22-25

Position#1

Record29-6

FormLWWWW

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game72.3

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

Ventspils

Position#2

Record28-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.7

Allowed / game68.0

LBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ventspils winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

90-85

A19/03

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

68-75

-7

H23/03

Baltic League

Ventspils

80-76

A26/03

LBL

Lietkabelis

90-74

+16

H30/03

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

79-68

+11

H02/04

LBL

Lietkabelis

64-86

-22

A05/04

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

86-75

+11

H09/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

73-63

+10

H13/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

82-70

+12

A16/04

LBL

VEF Riga

66-62

H20/04

LBL

23-23

27-16

15-20

25-26

18-22

17-25

17-11

16-17

15-22

16-21

15-10

34-23

20-18

22-14

22-16

26-26

21-15

17-21

23-15

18-17

20-23

17-24

15-16

12-23

23-20

15-21

28-12

20-22

20-16

24-21

21-18

8-8

21-19

12-17

20-18

29-16

19-21

13-20

12-8

22-13

151.2Avg total

77.8Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	82.9	72.3	155.3	+10.6	83%
Season at home (17)	82.0	71.0	153.0	+11.0	88%
Season away (18)	83.8	73.6	157.4	+10.2	78%
Last 10 (10)	77.8	73.4	151.2	+4.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	71.2	145.4	+3.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	74.8	75.5	150.2	-0.8	50%
vs Similar (8)	79.0	74.6	153.6	+4.4	88%
vs Weaker (18)	83.3	69.8	153.1	+13.4	89%

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ventspils

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Ogre

#10

91-73

+18

A09/03

LBL

VEF Riga

80-92

-12

H12/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

83-70

+13

A19/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

76-80

-4

H26/03

LBL

Jekabpils

87-75

+12

A03/04

LBL

Jelgava

108-66

108

+42

H08/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

98-34

+64

A10/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

100-77

100

+23

H13/04

LBL

Jurmala

96-77

+19

A16/04

LBL

Barons Kvartals

106-71

106

+35

H19/04

LBL

25-17

11-19

30-12

25-25

27-17

17-26

13-23

23-26

19-19

27-17

15-15

22-19

22-15

21-16

10-15

23-34

23-27

15-9

25-15

24-24

27-18

20-8

26-26

35-14

24-15

23-8

24-4

27-7

26-17

25-19

21-22

28-19

28-25

28-11

15-21

25-20

21-14

25-10

29-19

31-28

164.0Avg total

92.5Scored

71.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	88.7	68.0	156.7	+20.7	80%
Season at home (18)	89.7	67.3	157.1	+22.4	78%
Season away (17)	87.6	68.7	156.3	+18.9	82%
Last 10 (10)	92.5	71.5	164.0	+21.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	101.6	65.0	166.6	+36.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	68.0	78.5	146.5	-10.5	50%
vs Similar (4)	83.2	82.0	165.2	+1.2	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	88.5	70.1	158.6	+18.3	79%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOVentspils

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.0	21.2	37.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.9	18.4	39.2	+2.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.5	17.2	37.7	+3.3	72%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.5	39.8	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	16.6	38.5	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	18.4	42.6	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	17.8	43.0	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	17.0	32.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.5	20.8	38.2	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.5	18.2	40.7	+4.2	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.6	36.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.2	22.5	40.8	-4.2	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.9	17.8	35.6	+0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	16.7	37.7	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	16.9	37.7	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	16.5	37.6	+4.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	14.3	35.5	+6.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	11.2	35.4	+13.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	23.0	40.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.7	15.8	37.5	+5.9	75%	-

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

50-39

+11

A19/03

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

35-47

-12

H23/03

Baltic League

Ventspils

31-43

-12

A26/03

LBL

Lietkabelis

42-32

+10

H30/03

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

38-36

H02/04

LBL

Lietkabelis

37-47

-10

A05/04

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

38-41

-3

H09/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

44-37

H13/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

33-36

-3

A16/04

LBL

VEF Riga

32-41

-9

H20/04

LBL

77.9Avg total

38.0Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	36.6	75.8	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	37.0	76.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	36.1	75.0	+2.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	39.9	77.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	40.4	77.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	34.2	43.8	78.0	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.8	36.1	74.9	+2.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	40.6	35.2	75.8	+5.4	89%	-

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Ogre

#10

36-36

A09/03

LBL

VEF Riga

44-43

H12/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

46-36

+10

A19/03

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

43-31

+12

H26/03

LBL

Jekabpils

38-36

A03/04

LBL

Jelgava

47-26

+21

H08/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

47-23

+24

A10/04

LBL

BK Liepaja

51-36

+15

H13/04

LBL

Jurmala

56-36

+20

A16/04

LBL

Barons Kvartals

46-24

+22

H19/04

LBL

78.1Avg total

45.4Scored

32.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	35.2	77.5	+7.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	33.5	76.3	+9.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.8	36.9	78.7	+4.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	32.7	78.1	+12.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	29.0	78.4	+20.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	40.0	73.0	-7.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.8	39.8	75.5	-4.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	44.2	34.0	78.2	+10.1	79%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	16.9	37.6	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	16.1	37.6	+5.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	14.4	33.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	14.4	33.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.2	12.5	29.8	+4.8	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	16.4	35.4	+2.6	75%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.2	18.1	40.3	+4.2	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+3.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	18.7	39.9	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	15.7	36.9	+5.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.3	16.4	37.8	+4.9	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.1	38.6	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	17.7	39.7	+4.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.4	34.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.2	22.1	43.4	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.4	16.6	37.1	+3.8	72%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.3	41.9	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.2	20.0	44.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.3	21.6	47.9	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.2	17.6	46.8	+11.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	25.5	22.0	47.5	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	34.9	76.2	+6.3	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	34.5	75.1	+6.0	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	35.3	77.3	+6.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	33.5	73.3	+6.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	30.8	68.2	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.8	29.0	65.8	+7.8	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.2	38.5	78.8	+1.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (18)	42.7	34.7	77.3	+8.0	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	36.6	80.3	+7.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	38.7	84.1	+6.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	34.4	76.5	+7.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.1	38.8	85.9	+8.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.2	36.0	88.2	+16.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	38.5	73.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	47.5	42.2	89.8	+5.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	43.8	35.5	79.3	+8.4	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

Ventspils wins

Date	Game	Score
26/03/16	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	76-80
16/01/16	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	87-83 OT
07/11/15	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	82-74
28/03/15	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	80-89
07/11/14	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	57-78
08/01/14	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	59-84
26/10/13	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	78-57
29/04/13	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	52-72
26/04/13	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	80-56
18/01/13	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	102-71

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/16	H	VEF Riga	66-62
16/04/16	A	BK Liepaja	82-70
13/04/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	73-63
09/04/16	H	BK Ogre	86-75
05/04/16	A	Lietkabelis	64-86
02/04/16	H	Barons Kvartals	79-68
30/03/16	H	Lietkabelis	90-74
26/03/16	A	Ventspils	80-76
23/03/16	H	Tartu Ulikool	68-75
19/03/16	A	Jekabpils	90-85

Ventspilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/04/16	H	Barons Kvartals	106-71
16/04/16	A	Jurmala	96-77
13/04/16	H	BK Liepaja	100-77
10/04/16	A	Latvijas Universitate	98-34
08/04/16	H	Jelgava	108-66
03/04/16	A	Jekabpils	87-75
26/03/16	H	Valmiera/ORDO	76-80
19/03/16	A	BK Liepaja	83-70
12/03/16	H	VEF Riga	80-92
09/03/16	A	BK Ogre	91-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	WWWWW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	83%	88%	78%
Points / game	82.9	82.0	83.8
Allowed / game	72.3	71.0	73.6
Point differential	+10.6	+11.0	+10.2
Avg total	155.3	153.0	157.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	59%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	80% (5)	75% (4)
Overtime %	9%	12%	6%

Ventspils

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	LLWWW	78%
Away	WWWWW	82%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	80%	78%	82%
Points / game	88.7	89.7	87.6
Allowed / game	68.0	67.3	68.7
Point differential	+20.7	+22.4	+18.9
Avg total	156.7	157.1	156.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	69%	72%	65%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valmiera/ORDO	35	29	6	83%	82.9	72.3	+10.6
2	Ventspils	35	28	7	80%	88.7	68.0	+20.7
3	VEF Riga	20	15	5	75%	87.5	71.8	+15.7
4	BK Liepaja	36	24	12	67%	82.7	74.9	+7.8
5	Jurmala	36	20	16	56%	81.6	78.9	+2.6
6	Valga	20	11	9	55%	79.0	84.8	-5.8
7	Jekabpils	35	19	16	54%	77.7	79.0	-1.3
8	Barons Kvartals	35	11	24	31%	77.6	83.4	-5.8
9	Jelgava	36	9	27	25%	70.1	81.1	-11.0
10	BK Ogre	35	8	27	23%	73.1	86.8	-13.7
11	Latvijas Universitate	35	5	30	14%	69.0	84.5	-15.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	18	23	20	22	83
Ventspils	21	15	16	25	77

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature