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Valparaiso vs Stonehill Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-67
36-20 41-47
Position#306
Record5-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#245
Record4-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stonehill winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#297
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A17/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
49-79
49
79
-30
A23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H25/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A02/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H04/12
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H07/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A10/12
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-49
50-38
29-26
39-38
22-52
27-27
23-23
27-38
36-37
38-37
27-33
37-43
30-29
32-33
50-32
46-28
30-53
31-45
42-29
29-37
143.1Avg total
68.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.674.8144.3-5.242%
Season at home (7)73.967.4141.3+6.471%
Season away (5)63.685.0148.6-21.40%
Last 10 (10)68.474.7143.1-6.340%
Last 5 (5)72.475.4147.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)62.675.2137.8-12.68%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.576.3146.8-5.846%
vs Weaker (4)80.861.0141.8+19.8100%
This opponent (Stonehill) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#92
L
76-100
76
100
-24
A15/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#329
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Fordham
#37
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A23/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A27/11
NCAA
Eastern Nazarene
#604
W
92-45
92
45
+47
H01/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A03/12
NCAA
Rider
#168
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H08/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A14/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
50-79
50
79
-29
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-47
40-53
33-34
48-45
32-36
39-41
27-36
33-35
31-37
28-36
50-19
42-26
36-32
33-34
39-35
28-43
26-35
30-28
22-40
28-39
141.2Avg total
68.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.276.5146.7-6.431%
Season at home (4)81.275.5156.8+5.825%
Season away (9)65.277.0142.2-11.833%
Last 10 (10)68.173.1141.2-5.030%
Last 5 (5)66.866.2133.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.983.1151.0-15.212%
vs Similar ◀ (4)69.271.2140.5-2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: -3.1-3.1
ValparaisoStonehill
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#297
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A17/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H25/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A02/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A10/12
NCAA
Elon
#349
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H18/12
NCAA
67.6Avg total
31.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.935.566.4-4.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.231.965.1+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)28.439.567.9-11.121%-
Last 10 (10)31.336.367.6-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.271.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)27.235.562.7-8.215%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.237.468.6-6.238%-
vs Weaker (4)42.029.271.2+12.8100%-
This opponent (Stonehill) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#92
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A15/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#329
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A20/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H21/11
NCAA
Fordham
#37
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A23/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/11
NCAA
Eastern Nazarene
#604
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H01/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A03/12
NCAA
Rider
#168
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A14/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A20/12
NCAA
68.3Avg total
33.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)34.236.570.7-2.431%-
Last 30 at home (4)42.535.578.0+7.050%-
Last 30 away (9)30.437.067.4-6.622%-
Last 10 (10)33.235.168.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.266.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.439.973.2-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)31.834.266.0-2.525%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valparaiso wins
0
Stonehill wins
No previous meetings.
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22HElon71-66
10/12/22AOle Miss61-98
07/12/22HTrinity (IL)96-60
04/12/22HMurray State70-77 OT
02/12/22ABelmont64-76
27/11/22HJames Madison81-79 OT
25/11/22HSouth Dakota St.50-61
23/11/22ASamford49-79
20/11/22HIncarnate Word68-64
17/11/22AChicago State74-87
Stonehilllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22ABradley50-79
14/12/22ABoston College56-63
08/12/22HRider67-78
03/12/22ABinghamton69-66
01/12/22HEastern Nazarene92-45
27/11/22AUMass Lowell59-73
23/11/22AFordham60-71
21/11/22HIllinois (Chi.)71-77
20/11/22AHoly Cross81-79
15/11/22AProvidence76-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%71%0%
Points / game69.673.963.6
Allowed / game74.867.485.0
Point differential-5.2+6.4-21.4
Avg total144.3141.3148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %17%29%0%
Stonehill
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL31%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1349
Win %31%25%33%
Points / game70.281.265.2
Allowed / game76.575.577.0
Point differential-6.4+5.8-11.8
Avg total146.7156.8142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State129375%83.572.6+10.9
2 Drake129375%71.866.4+5.3
3 Bradley128467%68.859.8+9.0
4 Southern Illinois128467%68.861.5+7.3
5 Murray State117464%72.568.5+3.9
6 Illinois (Chi.)138562%69.567.9+1.5
7 Belmont127558%77.074.4+2.6
8 Illinois State136746%67.869.5-1.6
9 Valparaiso125742%69.674.8-5.2
10 Northern Iowa114736%70.966.6+4.3
11 Evansville123925%61.171.2-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wagner106460%64.064.6-0.6
2 Fairleigh Dickinson136746%77.279.2-2.1
3 Stonehill134931%70.276.5-6.4
4 St. Francis (PA)1431121%71.376.1-4.9
5 Chicago State1431121%66.074.7-8.7
6 Central Connecticut State1321115%63.271.8-8.7
7 LIU Sharks111109%66.586.0-19.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso364177
Stonehill204767
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