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Ole Miss vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 98-61
53-30 45-31
Position#292
Record6-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game63.5
vs
Position#306
Record4-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ole Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ole MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#191
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#288
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A09/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H08/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H16/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H19/11
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Siena
#179
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A27/11
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-26
28-37
32-32
28-40
28-27
45-31
39-30
41-37
33-33
37-25
32-39
40-29
29-22
43-46
26-27
48-35
34-32
21-27
22-36
35-32
131.7Avg total
67.4Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.163.5132.6+5.675%
Season at home (5)73.862.6136.4+11.2100%
Season away (3)61.365.0126.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)67.464.3131.7+3.160%
Last 5 (5)66.065.0131.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.069.4136.4-2.441%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.268.3138.6+1.944%
vs Weaker (4)66.573.0139.5-6.525%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#18
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A17/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
49-79
49
79
-30
A23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H25/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A02/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
70-77 OT
70
77
-7
H04/12
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-52
44-33
40-36
41-29
24-49
50-38
29-26
39-38
22-52
27-27
23-23
27-38
36-37
38-37
27-33
37-43
30-29
32-33
50-32
46-28
143.6Avg total
70.3Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.373.3143.6-3.040%
Season at home (6)74.367.7142.0+6.767%
Season away (4)64.281.8146.0-17.50%
Last 10 (10)70.373.3143.6-3.040%
Last 5 (5)72.270.6142.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)62.675.2137.8-12.68%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.275.3147.5-3.250%
vs Weaker (5)82.262.0144.2+20.2100%
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
Ole MissValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ole MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#191
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#288
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A09/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#131
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H08/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H16/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H19/11
NCAA
Stanford
#260
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A24/11
NCAA
Siena
#179
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H25/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A04/12
NCAA
61.2Avg total
30.8Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.433.065.4-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.332.564.8-0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)32.533.666.2-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)30.830.461.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)28.631.259.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.633.466.0-0.841%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.130.162.2+2.078%-
vs Weaker (4)32.237.870.0-5.525%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#18
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A08/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A17/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A23/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H25/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A02/12
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Trinity (IL)
#529
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
NCAA
67.6Avg total
30.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.535.066.5-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.032.366.3+1.753%-
Last 30 away (13)28.238.566.7-10.223%-
Last 10 (10)30.736.967.6-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.864.0+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)27.235.562.7-8.215%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.136.267.3-5.242%-
vs Weaker (5)43.630.674.2+13.0100%-
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ole Miss wins
0
Valparaiso wins
No previous meetings.
Ole Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22AMemphis57-68
27/11/22AOklahoma55-59
25/11/22HSiena74-62
24/11/22AStanford72-68
19/11/22HUT Martin72-68
16/11/22HChattanooga Mocs70-58
12/11/22HFlorida Atlantic80-67
08/11/22HAlcorn State73-58
09/03/22AMissouri60-72
05/03/22HVanderbilt61-63
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22HTrinity (IL)96-60
04/12/22HMurray State70-77 OT
02/12/22ABelmont64-76
27/11/22HJames Madison81-79 OT
25/11/22HSouth Dakota St.50-61
23/11/22ASamford49-79
20/11/22HIncarnate Word68-64
17/11/22AChicago State74-87
13/11/22HWestern Michigan81-65
08/11/22AToledo70-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ole Miss
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%100%33%
Points / game69.173.861.3
Allowed / game63.562.665.0
Point differential+5.6+11.2-3.7
Avg total132.6136.4126.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game70.374.364.2
Allowed / game73.367.781.8
Point differential-3.0+6.7-17.5
Avg total143.6142.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Missouri990100%93.073.8+19.2
2 Auburn880100%73.058.0+15.0
3 Arkansas109190%79.263.5+15.7
4 Tennessee98189%76.051.2+24.8
5 LSU98189%72.062.3+9.7
6 Texas87188%81.157.4+23.8
7 Mississippi St.87188%67.852.0+15.8
8 Alabama87188%83.568.5+15.0
9 Kentucky97278%80.664.1+16.4
10 Ole Miss86275%69.163.5+5.6
11 Oklahoma107370%67.960.9+7.0
12 Georgia107370%70.063.3+6.7
13 Texas A&M85362%77.671.2+6.4
14 Florida106460%78.369.6+8.7
15 Vanderbilt105550%67.967.0+0.9
16 South Carolina84450%63.871.4-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State109190%83.169.1+14.0
2 Drake108280%72.866.2+6.6
3 Bradley107370%69.059.2+9.8
4 Murray State85362%75.670.0+5.6
5 Illinois (Chi.)106460%69.865.7+4.1
6 Belmont106460%76.672.9+3.7
7 Southern Illinois95456%66.863.0+3.8
8 Illinois State104640%67.069.7-2.7
9 Valparaiso104640%70.373.3-3.0
10 Northern Iowa93633%69.866.1+3.7
11 Evansville123925%61.171.2-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ole Miss534598
Valparaiso303161
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