Valur vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Mar 2022

Tip-off: 20:15

Final 96-88

36-20 26-23 18-34 16-11

Position#2

Record12-8

FormWWLLW

Points / game83.8

Allowed / game80.1

Valur 🏆

Breidablik

Position#8

Record9-11

FormLLLWW

Points / game107.2

Allowed / game106.2

Premier leagueRound 21

Other2021-22

Meetings · Valur v Breidablik

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Breidablik winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Njardvik

69-88

-19

H31/01

Premier league

Vestri

#11

95-70

+25

A03/02

Premier league

KR Basket

81-78

H07/02

Premier league

Stjarnan

74-78

-4

H10/02

Premier league

Grindavik

92-99

-7

A14/02

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

#10

83-80

A17/02

Premier league

Keflavik

88-74

+14

H05/03

Premier league

Thorl

69-88

-19

A10/03

Premier league

Thorl

85-90

-5

A16/03

Icelandic Cup

Thor AK Akureyri

#12

129-84

129

+45

H24/03

Premier league

21-18

18-20

15-29

15-21

24-24

25-12

20-12

26-22

21-14

20-26

20-17

20-21

17-22

26-19

24-17

7-20

25-17

26-22

24-37

17-23

20-18

19-12

19-31

25-19

21-16

19-23

19-16

29-19

19-29

17-20

24-20

9-19

22-22

18-24

21-17

24-27

32-22

40-19

31-26

26-17

169.4Avg total

86.5Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	83.8	80.1	163.9	+3.7	60%
Season at home (10)	87.0	77.1	164.1	+9.9	80%
Season away (10)	80.6	83.1	163.7	-2.5	40%
Last 10 (10)	86.5	82.9	169.4	+3.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	83.2	174.0	+7.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	73.2	89.0	162.2	-15.8	25%
vs Similar (14)	84.9	84.2	169.1	+0.7	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	89.5	79.5	168.9	+10.0	82%

This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Breidablik Iceland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stjarnan

113-117

113

117

-4

A28/12

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

#10

97-116

116

-19

A21/01

Premier league

KR Basket

135-87

135

+48

H24/01

Premier league

Tindastoll

107-98

107

H07/02

Premier league

Grindavik

104-92

104

+12

H11/02

Premier league

Keflavik

80-126

126

-46

A14/02

Premier league

Thorl

116-136

116

136

-20

A18/02

Premier league

Njardvik

116-120 OT

116

120

-4

H03/03

Premier league

Thor AK Akureyri

#12

116-109

116

109

A11/03

Premier league

Vestri

#11

112-91

112

+21

H24/03

Premier league

33-27

29-30

29-23

22-37

22-30

28-35

19-29

28-22

31-24

34-26

47-17

23-20

28-24

29-25

22-22

28-27

32-28

22-22

26-22

24-20

27-35

22-39

17-24

14-28

27-35

27-42

30-26

32-33

25-30

18-26

25-26

32-18

28-27

20-31

29-15

39-36

31-28

25-21

25-27

31-15

218.8Avg total

109.6Scored

109.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	107.2	106.2	213.4	+1.1	45%
Season at home (10)	110.0	97.2	207.2	+12.8	70%
Season away (10)	104.5	115.1	219.6	-10.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	109.6	109.2	218.8	+0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	108.0	116.4	224.4	-8.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	88.2	106.0	194.2	-17.8	7%
vs Similar (9)	101.7	107.6	209.2	-5.9	33%
vs Weaker (6)	117.0	99.7	216.7	+17.3	83%

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValurBreidablik

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	22.6	44.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.5	18.8	42.3	+4.6	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	24.5	27.4	51.9	-3.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	25.5	48.8	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.7	29.6	55.3	-3.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.4	28.8	57.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	31.0	58.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	22.3	27.8	50.1	-5.5	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	26.6	28.9	55.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	28.7	26.5	55.2	+2.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	22.4	44.3	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	24.3	47.1	-1.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.5	41.5	+0.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	24.8	43.0	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.5	20.5	43.9	+3.0	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	24.0	27.2	51.2	-3.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	24.3	48.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	30.4	54.6	-6.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	29.7	55.1	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	31.8	54.2	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.5	27.4	48.9	-5.9	21%	-
vs Similar (8)	25.5	30.0	55.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	27.3	24.3	51.7	+3.0	67%	-

ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Njardvik

39-38

H31/01

Premier league

Vestri

#11

49-36

+13

A03/02

Premier league

KR Basket

41-40

H07/02

Premier league

Stjarnan

43-41

H10/02

Premier league

Grindavik

51-39

+12

A14/02

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

#10

39-30

A17/02

Premier league

Keflavik

40-39

H05/03

Premier league

Thorl

36-49

-13

A10/03

Premier league

Thorl

40-46

-6

A16/03

Icelandic Cup

Thor AK Akureyri

#12

72-41

+31

H24/03

Premier league

84.9Avg total

45.0Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	42.7	86.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	42.3	87.5	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	43.1	85.6	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	39.9	84.9	+5.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	41.0	86.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.2	45.2	84.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	43.2	44.9	88.1	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	46.9	39.3	86.2	+7.6	82%	-

This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stjarnan

62-57

A28/12

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

#10

50-65

-15

A21/01

Premier league

KR Basket

65-50

+15

H24/01

Premier league

Tindastoll

57-49

H07/02

Premier league

Grindavik

54-50

H11/02

Premier league

Keflavik

49-74

-25

A14/02

Premier league

Thorl

54-77

-23

A18/02

Premier league

Njardvik

43-56

-13

H03/03

Premier league

Thor AK Akureyri

#12

48-58

-10

A11/03

Premier league

Vestri

#11

56-49

H24/03

Premier league

112.3Avg total

53.8Scored

58.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	48.5	54.7	103.2	-6.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.2	49.7	96.9	-2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	49.9	60.0	109.9	-10.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.8	58.5	112.3	-4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	62.8	112.8	-12.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	43.8	55.2	99.0	-11.4	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	52.1	58.9	111.0	-6.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	56.0	50.8	106.8	+5.2	67%	-

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.2	43.9	-0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.0	44.8	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.3	18.2	39.5	+3.1	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.3	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.0	24.5	47.5	-1.4	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	24.3	47.0	-1.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	24.6	48.1	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.9	23.1	50.0	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	23.6	48.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.8	26.3	46.1	-6.5	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.5	23.2	46.8	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	32.3	21.8	54.2	+10.5	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.4	39.8	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	22.0	37.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.6	20.2	39.9	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	24.9	23.9	48.8	+1.0	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.6	21.3	46.9	+4.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	26.6	50.8	-2.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.3	25.6	52.9	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.6	26.0	55.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	23.5	23.1	46.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	25.5	25.5	51.0	+0.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	28.3	24.8	53.2	+3.5	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	39.4	80.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.1	38.3	80.3	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	40.6	79.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	43.0	84.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	42.2	87.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.0	43.8	77.8	-9.8	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.9	38.4	79.4	+2.5	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	42.5	40.2	82.7	+2.4	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	47.9	48.3	96.3	-0.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.3	45.6	93.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	47.6	51.3	98.9	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.2	48.7	102.9	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	54.8	49.6	104.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	43.3	49.4	92.6	-6.1	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	49.0	48.8	97.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	60.7	46.7	107.3	+14.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valur wins

Breidablik wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/21	Breidablik v Valur	89-87
31/10/21	Breidablik v Valur	68-78
03/03/19	Breidablik v Valur	69-93
23/11/18	Valur v Breidablik	114-102

Valurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/22	H	Thor AK Akureyri	129-84
16/03/22	A	Thorl	85-90
10/03/22	A	Thorl	69-88
05/03/22	H	Keflavik	88-74
17/02/22	A	IR Reykjavik	83-80
14/02/22	A	Grindavik	92-99
10/02/22	H	Stjarnan	74-78
07/02/22	H	KR Basket	81-78
03/02/22	A	Vestri	95-70
31/01/22	H	Njardvik	69-88

Breidabliklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/22	H	Vestri	112-91
11/03/22	A	Thor AK Akureyri	116-109
03/03/22	H	Njardvik	116-120 OT
18/02/22	A	Thorl	116-136
14/02/22	A	Keflavik	80-126
11/02/22	H	Grindavik	104-92
07/02/22	H	Tindastoll	107-98
24/01/22	H	KR Basket	135-87
21/01/22	A	IR Reykjavik	97-116
28/12/21	A	Stjarnan	113-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur

Premier league 2021-22

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	60%
Home	LWLWW	80%
Away	LWLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	60%	80%	40%
Points / game	83.8	87.0	80.6
Allowed / game	80.1	77.1	83.1
Point differential	+3.7	+9.9	-2.5
Avg total	163.9	164.1	163.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Breidablik

Premier league 2021-22

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	45%
Home	WWWLW	70%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	45%	70%	20%
Points / game	107.2	110.0	104.5
Allowed / game	106.2	97.2	115.1
Point differential	+1.1	+12.8	-10.6
Avg total	213.4	207.2	219.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	50%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	25% (4)	0% (3)
Overtime %	10%	10%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Thorl	20	16	4	80%	98.3	88.2	+10.2
2	Njardvik	21	16	5	76%	96.8	86.9	+9.9
3	Keflavik	20	13	7	65%	89.7	86.0	+3.6
4	Valur	20	12	8	60%	83.8	80.1	+3.7
5	Tindastoll	20	12	8	60%	88.3	88.1	+0.2
6	Stjarnan	20	11	9	55%	89.2	86.8	+2.5
7	Grindavik	20	11	9	55%	85.5	85.3	+0.2
8	KR Basket	21	10	11	48%	91.5	92.7	-1.2
9	Breidablik	20	9	11	45%	107.2	106.2	+1.1
10	IR Reykjavik	21	7	14	33%	88.7	89.0	-0.4
11	Vestri	20	4	16	20%	81.3	91.2	-9.9
12	Thor AK Akureyri	21	1	20	5%	78.6	98.0	-19.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valur	36	26	18	16	96
Breidablik	20	23	34	11	88

← all games of the day

Valur vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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