Valur vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Oct 2022

Tip-off: 19:15

Final 99-90

22-30 35-22 24-17 18-21

Position#2

Record1-1

FormWLWLW

Points / game72.0

Allowed / game75.5

Valur 🏆

Breidablik

Position#10

Record2-0

FormWLLWW

Points / game123.5

Allowed / game116.5

Premier leagueRound 3

Other2022-23

Meetings · Valur v Breidablik

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Breidablik winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Thorl

89-84 OT

A20/04

Premier league

Thorl

87-75

+12

H23/04

Premier league

Thorl

82-65

+17

A26/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

80-79

H06/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

75-91

-16

A09/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

84-79

H12/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

95-97 OT

-2

A15/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

73-60

+13

H18/05

Premier league

Stjarnan

76-84

-8

H06/10

Premier league

Grindavik

68-67

A14/10

Premier league

24-14

18-21

20-29

15-13

24-22

23-17

17-14

23-22

25-15

29-13

15-17

13-20

17-18

20-16

27-28

16-17

15-24

19-29

19-16

22-22

18-23

18-29

21-17

27-10

28-29

20-20

19-12

16-22

14-22

22-14

14-13

23-11

21-19

22-22

15-20

18-23

20-14

16-21

14-15

18-17

159.0Avg total

80.9Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	72.0	75.5	147.5	-3.5	50%
Season at home (1)	76.0	84.0	160.0	-8.0	0%
Season away (1)	68.0	67.0	135.0	+1.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	78.1	159.0	+2.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	77.4	156.6	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	70.5	79.5	150.0	-9.0	50%
vs Similar (17)	84.8	80.5	165.3	+4.4	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	87.1	78.9	166.0	+8.2	73%

This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Breidablik Iceland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Grindavik

104-92

104

+12

H11/02

Premier league

Keflavik

80-126

126

-46

A14/02

Premier league

Thorl

116-136

116

136

-20

A18/02

Premier league

Njardvik

116-120 OT

116

120

-4

H03/03

Premier league

Thor AK Akureyri

#12

116-109

116

109

A11/03

Premier league

Vestri

#11

112-91

112

+21

H24/03

Premier league

Valur

88-96

-8

A27/03

Premier league

Stjarnan

105-107

105

107

-2

H31/03

Premier league

Thorl

111-100

111

100

+11

A06/10

Premier league

KR Basket

#12

136-133 OT

136

133

H13/10

Premier league

32-28

22-22

26-22

24-20

27-35

22-39

17-24

14-28

27-35

27-42

30-26

32-33

25-30

18-26

25-26

32-18

28-27

20-31

29-15

39-36

31-28

25-21

25-27

31-15

20-36

23-26

34-18

11-16

31-28

22-28

31-21

21-30

31-15

22-31

34-29

24-25

29-25

32-23

32-29

12-28

219.4Avg total

108.4Scored

111.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	123.5	116.5	240.0	+7.0	100%
Season at home (1)	136.0	133.0	269.0	+3.0	100%
Season away (1)	111.0	100.0	211.0	+11.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	108.4	111.0	219.4	-2.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	110.4	105.4	215.8	+5.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	91.4	106.4	197.8	-15.0	17%
vs Similar (10)	102.0	107.5	209.5	-5.5	30%
vs Weaker (7)	119.7	104.4	224.1	+15.3	86%

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValurBreidablik

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	18.8	40.9	+3.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.5	19.7	43.3	+3.8	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	25.0	26.9	51.9	-1.9	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	24.6	48.7	-0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.8	29.0	54.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.1	28.7	56.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	26.4	54.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	22.2	26.6	48.8	-4.3	42%	-
vs Similar (9)	27.1	28.8	55.9	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	28.7	26.3	55.0	+2.4	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.6	42.9	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	21.9	44.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	24.0	40.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.7	19.5	43.2	+4.3	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	25.0	27.4	52.4	-2.4	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	26.4	23.6	50.1	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.7	30.9	54.7	-7.2	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	28.9	52.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	25.8	50.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	23.1	28.2	51.2	-5.1	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	25.1	29.8	54.9	-4.7	22%	-
vs Weaker (7)	28.0	24.1	52.1	+3.9	71%	-

ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Thorl

42-35

A20/04

Premier league

Thorl

47-39

H23/04

Premier league

Thorl

54-28

+26

A26/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

37-34

H06/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

34-53

-19

A09/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

36-52

-16

H12/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

48-49

-1

A15/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

36-36

H18/05

Premier league

Stjarnan

43-41

H06/10

Premier league

Grindavik

36-35

A14/10

Premier league

81.5Avg total

41.3Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	40.7	84.5	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.6	40.7	85.2	+3.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	40.6	83.6	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.2	81.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	42.6	82.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	41.0	80.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	42.1	41.6	83.6	+0.5	59%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	47.3	39.2	86.5	+8.1	82%	-

This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Grindavik

54-50

H11/02

Premier league

Keflavik

49-74

-25

A14/02

Premier league

Thorl

54-77

-23

A18/02

Premier league

Njardvik

43-56

-13

H03/03

Premier league

Thor AK Akureyri

#12

48-58

-10

A11/03

Premier league

Vestri

#11

56-49

H24/03

Premier league

Valur

43-62

-19

A27/03

Premier league

Stjarnan

53-56

-3

H31/03

Premier league

Thorl

53-46

A06/10

Premier league

KR Basket

#12

61-48

+13

H13/10

Premier league

109.0Avg total

51.4Scored

57.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	50.0	54.3	104.3	-4.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	50.6	48.2	98.8	+2.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.5	59.9	109.5	-10.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.4	57.6	109.0	-6.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.2	52.2	105.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	45.3	54.8	100.1	-9.4	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	52.2	58.6	110.8	-6.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	56.7	50.4	107.1	+6.3	71%	-

This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	15.4	32.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.8	76%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.7	21.6	41.4	-1.9	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	25.0	24.7	49.7	+0.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.0	24.2	49.2	+0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.1	25.1	50.1	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.3	23.7	52.0	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	24.8	56.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	22.7	26.9	49.6	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.3	23.0	47.3	+1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	32.3	22.9	55.1	+9.4	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	18.7	36.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	11.5	17.0	28.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+2.0	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.8	24.3	48.1	-0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.1	22.6	46.6	+1.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.6	25.9	49.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	24.9	48.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.8	42.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	22.1	23.1	45.2	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	25.0	26.0	51.0	-1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	26.0	25.3	51.3	+0.7	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	37.9	77.4	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	37.7	79.1	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.3	38.2	75.5	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	35.8	73.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	32.0	69.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.0	38.5	69.5	-7.5	50%	-
vs Similar (17)	40.3	36.7	77.0	+3.6	59%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	39.8	39.7	79.5	+0.1	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	48.9	48.9	97.8	-0.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	49.1	46.8	95.9	+2.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.7	50.9	99.6	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.3	48.6	100.9	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	47.6	98.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	44.8	50.0	94.8	-5.2	42%	-
vs Similar (9)	49.3	49.0	98.3	+0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	58.3	48.1	106.4	+10.1	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valur wins

Breidablik wins

Date	Game	Score
27/03/22	Valur v Breidablik	96-88
16/12/21	Breidablik v Valur	89-87
31/10/21	Breidablik v Valur	68-78
03/03/19	Breidablik v Valur	69-93
23/11/18	Valur v Breidablik	114-102

Valurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/10/22	A	Grindavik	68-67
06/10/22	H	Stjarnan	76-84
18/05/22	H	Tindastoll	73-60
15/05/22	A	Tindastoll	95-97 OT
12/05/22	H	Tindastoll	84-79
09/05/22	A	Tindastoll	75-91
06/05/22	H	Tindastoll	80-79
26/04/22	A	Thorl	82-65
23/04/22	H	Thorl	87-75
20/04/22	A	Thorl	89-84 OT

Breidabliklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/10/22	H	KR Basket	136-133 OT
06/10/22	A	Thorl	111-100
31/03/22	H	Stjarnan	105-107
27/03/22	A	Valur	88-96
24/03/22	H	Vestri	112-91
11/03/22	A	Thor AK Akureyri	116-109
03/03/22	H	Njardvik	116-120 OT
18/02/22	A	Thorl	116-136
14/02/22	A	Keflavik	80-126
11/02/22	H	Grindavik	104-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur

Premier league 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LW	50%
Home	L	0%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	0%	100%
Points / game	72.0	76.0	68.0
Allowed / game	75.5	84.0	67.0
Point differential	-3.5	-8.0	+1.0
Avg total	147.5	160.0	135.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Breidablik

Premier league 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	123.5	136.0	111.0
Allowed / game	116.5	133.0	100.0
Point differential	+7.0	+3.0	+11.0
Avg total	240.0	269.0	211.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	50%	100%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Breidablik	2	2	0	100%	123.5	116.5	+7.0
2	Haukar	2	2	0	100%	94.0	88.0	+6.0
3	Keflavik	2	2	0	100%	87.0	83.0	+4.0
4	Tindastoll	2	1	1	50%	82.5	76.0	+6.5
5	Grindavik	2	1	1	50%	78.5	75.5	+3.0
6	Stjarnan	2	1	1	50%	85.0	84.0	+1.0
7	Njardvik	2	1	1	50%	84.0	84.5	-0.5
8	Valur	2	1	1	50%	72.0	75.5	-3.5
9	IR Reykjavik	2	1	1	50%	76.5	81.0	-4.5
10	Hottur	3	1	2	33%	89.7	92.7	-3.0
11	KR Basket	2	0	2	0%	108.0	113.0	-5.0
12	Thorl	3	0	3	0%	91.0	97.3	-6.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valur	22	35	24	18	99
Breidablik	30	22	17	21	90

← all games of the day

Valur vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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