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Valur vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 106-94
27-31 24-22 38-17 17-24
Position#1
Record16-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game82.5
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#11
Record2-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game100.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 21· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valur v Breidablik
28 Mar 2024
VALU106
BREI94
20 Oct 2022
VALU99
BREI90
27 Mar 2022
VALU96
BREI88
23 Nov 2018
VALU114
BREI102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Thorl
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
82avg 82
H04/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
111-89
111
89
+22
100avg 82
A11/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
105-82
105
82
+23
100avg 82
H18/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
68avg 82
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 82
H25/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
70avg 82
A02/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
80avg 82
H08/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
92-83
92
83
+9
87avg 82
A15/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
89-71
89
71
+18
84avg 82
H07/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
53avg 82
A15/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
19-21
27-24
29-19
26-23
28-20
29-26
28-20
28-14
24-20
32-28
21-20
19-24
23-19
22-20
15-21
25-18
25-20
27-25
13-16
20-17
26-29
16-24
23-11
24-10
17-17
19-23
22-22
23-26
23-23
24-16
22-18
25-27
21-15
21-14
22-15
19-22
21-26
16-29
11-21
171.1Avg total
89.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.282.5173.8+8.780%
Season at home (10)90.077.5167.5+12.590%
Season away (10)92.587.6180.1+4.970%
Last 10 (10)89.082.1171.1+6.980%
Last 5 (5)83.081.0164.0+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)88.584.8173.4+3.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)91.781.5173.2+10.278%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#7
L
73-97
73
97
-24
54avg 73
H14/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 73
A04/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
61avg 73
H11/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
100-106 OT
100
106
-6
no box
A18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
84-106
84
106
-22
74avg 73
H25/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
90-95
90
95
-5
83avg 73
A01/02
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
82-105
82
105
-23
68avg 73
H15/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
91-104
91
104
-13
75avg 73
A07/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
89-108
89
108
-19
77avg 73
H14/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
86-120
86
120
-34
70avg 73
A18/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
14-28
20-19
17-22
24-23
29-23
26-19
16-21
12-22
15-27
14-19
37-18
22-36
23-16
22-18
22-19
30-24
20-27
20-27
14-28
21-20
22-22
25-16
22-37
12-30
28-28
24-25
18-22
21-30
17-23
21-20
32-31
25-32
13-24
21-25
30-27
32-42
16-31
15-27
23-20
188.1Avg total
86.8Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.6100.8186.4-15.210%
Season at home (11)82.099.1181.1-17.19%
Season away (9)90.0102.9192.9-12.911%
Last 10 (10)86.8101.3188.1-14.510%
Last 5 (5)87.6106.4194.0-18.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)86.8102.8189.6-16.08%
vs Similar (5)93.8100.2194.0-6.420%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -6.6-6.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
ValurBreidablik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H04/01
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A11/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H18/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H25/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/02
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H08/02
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A15/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H07/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/03
Premier league
86.0Avg total
45.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.941.588.3+5.466%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.439.785.1+5.773%-
Last 30 away (14)48.443.491.8+5.157%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.986.0+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.486.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)46.443.589.8+2.964%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.240.387.4+6.967%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#7
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H14/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A04/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H11/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H25/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/02
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H15/02
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A07/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H14/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
48-73
48
73
-25
A18/03
Premier league
95.4Avg total
41.8Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.752.596.3-8.823%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.950.492.2-8.524%-
Last 30 away (13)46.255.4101.5-9.223%-
Last 10 (10)41.853.695.4-11.820%-
Last 5 (5)41.456.497.8-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)44.152.496.5-8.325%-
vs Similar (5)43.453.897.2-10.420%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.1
48.7%
51.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.2
35.6%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws24.517.4
71.0%
74.4%17.4
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.1
48.1%
51.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.911.1
30.1%
34.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.114.6
80.7%
74.4%14.6
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
LWWWWWLWWW
Breidablik
LLLLLLLLWL
#1
League position
#11
+8.9
Net rating
-16.7
109.9
Offensive rating
98.4
101.1
Defensive rating
115.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
46.6%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.6%
3-point %
30.1%
56.8%
Assist %
51.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 98.4Defence101.1 · 115.1Shooting50.8% · 46.6%3-point %35.6% · 30.1%Ball care15.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds30.5% · 24.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Valur   ■ Breidablik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valur wins
2
Breidablik wins
DateGameScore
07/12/23Breidablik v Valur85-110
27/01/23Breidablik v Valur89-78
20/10/22Valur v Breidablik99-90
27/03/22Valur v Breidablik96-88
16/12/21Breidablik v Valur89-87
31/10/21Breidablik v Valur68-78
03/03/19Breidablik v Valur69-93
23/11/18Valur v Breidablik114-102
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24AGrindavik67-98
07/03/24HAlftanes89-71
15/02/24AHottur92-83
08/02/24HHaukar82-72
02/02/24AStjarnan85-81
25/01/24HTindastoll90-79
21/01/24AStjarnan79-84
18/01/24HKeflavik105-82
11/01/24AHamar111-89
04/01/24HThorl90-82
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24ANjardvik86-120
14/03/24HKeflavik89-108
07/03/24AHamar91-104
15/02/24HThorl82-105
01/02/24ATindastoll90-95
25/01/24HGrindavik84-106
18/01/24AAlftanes100-106 OT
11/01/24HHottur78-86
04/01/24AHaukar95-86
14/12/23HStjarnan73-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%90%70%
Points / game91.290.092.5
Allowed / game82.577.587.6
Point differential+8.7+12.5+4.9
Avg total173.8167.5180.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%70%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLLL9%
AwayWLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %10%9%11%
Points / game85.682.090.0
Allowed / game100.899.1102.9
Point differential-15.2-17.1-12.9
Avg total186.4181.1192.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur2016480%91.282.5+8.7
2 Njardvik2015575%94.086.2+7.8
3 Keflavik2014670%96.689.9+6.7
4 Grindavik2114767%93.387.0+6.4
5 Thorl2013765%91.489.6+1.8
6 Alftanes2112957%85.082.9+2.0
7 Hottur21111052%84.085.0-1.0
8 Tindastoll21101148%85.684.7+1.0
9 Stjarnan21101148%86.485.7+0.7
10 Haukar2151624%87.391.1-3.8
11 Breidablik2021810%85.6100.8-15.2
12 Hamar201195%83.298.5-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur27243817106
Breidablik3122172494
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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