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Valur vs Tindastoll Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game83.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 10· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2026-27
Meetings · Valur v Tindastoll
18 Dec 2026
VALU v TIND
upcoming
06 Oct 2025
VALU85
TIND87
20 Dec 2024
VALU89
TIND80
25 Jan 2024
VALU90
TIND79
18 May 2023
VALU81
TIND82
12 May 2023
VALU79
TIND90
06 May 2023
VALU82
TIND83
30 Mar 2023
VALU71
TIND98
18 May 2022
VALU73
TIND60
12 May 2022
VALU84
TIND79
06 May 2022
VALU80
TIND79
14 Jan 2022
VALU96
TIND71
18 Mar 2021
VALU90
TIND79
24 Oct 2019
VALU95
TIND92
11 Oct 2018
VALU73
TIND93
12 Oct 2017
VALU69
TIND73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tindastoll win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
W
79-72
79
72
+7
72avg 79
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
65avg 79
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 79
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
82-109
82
109
-27
78avg 79
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
90-77
90
77
+13
81avg 79
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
71avg 79
H16/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-85
93
85
+8
85avg 79
A22/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
82avg 79
H30/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-22
19-16
19-15
20-26
20-22
12-18
15-27
23-18
24-21
22-24
16-16
28-20
12-30
23-31
19-28
22-22
24-19
23-18
21-18
29-26
16-28
17-14
19-6
25-18
21-20
26-24
21-23
23-21
29-18
18-26
17-19
25-19
23-25
13-12
25-17
9-21
32-20
15-18
12-21
164.4Avg total
81.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.278.8163.0+5.383%
Season at home (4)81.578.8160.2+2.875%
Season away (2)89.579.0168.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.882.6164.4-0.870%
Last 5 (5)83.079.2162.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.188.6170.7-6.433%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.485.3171.6+1.164%
vs Weaker (6)87.582.0169.5+5.583%
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TindastollIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTindastoll
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
92avg 94
A23/09
ENBL
Jonava
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
69avg 94
A27/09
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
90avg 94
A30/09
ENBL
Njardvik
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
85avg 94
A09/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
109-86
109
86
+23
104avg 94
H15/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 94
A23/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
96avg 94
H29/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A05/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
H09/11
Premier league
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H12/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
29-19
12-17
30-15
22-14
14-23
22-21
19-13
22-20
23-8
23-19
17-21
26-15
18-27
21-19
20-16
22-17
32-20
25-21
30-28
20-21
19-24
25-20
14-6
27-19
23-25
36-33
10-19
23-22
23-17
24-18
10-16
19-20
23-23
27-18
25-26
24-22
17-14
18-19
20-14
166.3Avg total
88.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.883.7175.5+8.283%
Season at home (3)102.793.7196.3+9.067%
Season away (3)81.073.7154.7+7.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.477.9166.3+10.590%
Last 5 (5)87.281.6168.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)105.0108.0213.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)100.895.4196.2+5.460%
vs Weaker (24)95.685.7181.3+10.083%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
ValurTindastoll
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A22/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H30/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/11
Premier league
88.1Avg total
44.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.385.7-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.042.985.9+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)41.743.985.6-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.588.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.289.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.843.984.7-3.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.143.686.6-0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)42.541.884.3+0.750%-
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TindastollLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A23/09
ENBL
Jonava
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/09
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A30/09
ENBL
Njardvik
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A09/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H15/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H29/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A05/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H09/11
Premier league
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/11
ENBL
83.5Avg total
44.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.944.091.9+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.145.294.3+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)46.442.789.1+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.883.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.485.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.044.094.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)52.843.496.2+9.460%-
vs Weaker (24)46.844.290.9+2.658%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.6
52.2%
56.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
33.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
73.9%13.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tindastolltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tindastoll: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
56.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.110.7
31.4%
33.0%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.019.1
79.6%
73.9%19.1
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
LWWWWWLWLW
Tindastoll
WWWLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#3
+0.3
Net rating
+8.5
91.9
Offensive rating
98.5
91.5
Defensive rating
89.9
50.8%
Effective FG%
51.7%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
13.3%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.5%
3-point %
31.4%
62.1%
Assist %
70.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 98.5Defence91.5 · 89.9Shooting50.8% · 51.7%3-point %32.5% · 31.4%Ball care13.3% · 14.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Valur   ■ Tindastoll
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valur wins
4
Tindastoll wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Tindastoll v Valur99-108 OT
06/10/25Valur v Tindastoll85-87
27/03/25Tindastoll v Valur88-74
20/12/24Valur v Tindastoll89-80
25/01/24Valur v Tindastoll90-79
27/10/23Tindastoll v Valur75-84
18/05/23Valur v Tindastoll81-82
15/05/23Tindastoll v Valur69-82
12/05/23Valur v Tindastoll79-90
09/05/23Tindastoll v Valur87-100
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HAlftanes68-80
06/11/26ASindri86-73
30/10/26HArmann87-84
22/10/26ANjardvik93-85
16/10/26HGrindavik81-74
08/10/26HStjarnan90-77
06/05/26AGrindavik82-109
04/05/26HGrindavik85-79
30/04/26AGrindavik67-93
26/04/26HGrindavik79-72
Tindastolllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HLausanne Basket79-69
09/11/26HIR Reykjavik94-87
05/11/26AHottur80-73
29/10/26HAlftanes105-108 OT
23/10/26ASindri78-71
15/10/26HArmann109-86
09/10/26ANjardvik85-77
30/09/26ABristol Flyers85-68
27/09/26AJonava77-71
23/09/26ABK Liepaja92-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game84.281.589.5
Allowed / game78.878.879.0
Point differential+5.3+2.8+10.5
Avg total163.0160.2168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tindastoll
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game91.8102.781.0
Allowed / game83.793.773.7
Point differential+8.2+9.0+7.3
Avg total175.5196.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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