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Tindastoll vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 88-74
28-24 25-13 20-22 15-15
Position#1
Record15-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game86.1
IcelandPremier leagueRound 22· Saudarkrokur
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tindastoll v Valur
24 Mar 2027
TIND v VALU
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
TIND99
VALU108
27 Mar 2025
TIND88
VALU74
27 Oct 2023
TIND75
VALU84
15 May 2023
TIND69
VALU82
09 May 2023
TIND87
VALU100
29 Dec 2022
TIND78
VALU84
15 May 2022
TIND97
VALU95
09 May 2022
TIND91
VALU75
08 Oct 2021
TIND76
VALU62
21 Jan 2021
TIND71
VALU77
24 Jan 2020
TIND89
VALU91
10 Jan 2019
TIND97
VALU94
07 Jan 2018
TIND103
VALU67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tindastoll winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TindastollIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTindastoll
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
W
116-95
116
95
+21
117avg 88
A03/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
98-88
98
88
+10
81avg 88
H09/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
99-100
99
100
-1
70avg 88
A17/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
97-79
97
79
+18
93avg 88
H23/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
97-85
97
85
+12
88avg 88
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
78avg 88
A02/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
109-96
109
96
+13
108avg 88
H13/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
89-102
89
102
-13
76avg 88
A28/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
116-77
116
77
+39
129avg 88
H06/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
90-101
90
101
-11
79avg 88
A13/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
31-22
31-31
25-21
20-22
27-16
30-21
21-29
24-29
28-27
25-23
22-21
29-21
17-19
23-14
28-25
23-26
28-22
29-17
17-20
21-20
25-17
24-20
20-25
34-15
28-30
18-28
29-23
13-27
34-20
27-29
15-26
32-9
30-18
27-27
27-23
22-29
24-20
19-19
25-33
190.6Avg total
100.1Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)97.488.4185.9+9.071%
Season at home (10)100.583.3183.8+17.290%
Season away (11)94.693.1187.7+1.555%
Last 10 (10)100.190.5190.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)98.891.6190.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.098.2184.2-12.20%
vs Similar (6)87.886.7174.5+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)99.288.2187.4+11.074%
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Sindri
#7
W
99-77
99
77
+22
100avg 82
A20/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
82avg 82
A24/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
75avg 82
H30/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
92-58
92
58
+34
91avg 82
H07/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
91avg 82
A14/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
80avg 82
H01/03
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
85-81
85
81
+4
86avg 82
A06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
102avg 82
H13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
91-67
91
67
+24
93avg 82
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#2
W
96-78
96
78
+18
96avg 82
A22/03
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
28-22
25-13
21-23
16-22
21-22
19-9
25-17
25-28
16-20
21-17
26-11
17-19
33-15
26-15
16-9
20-24
17-15
32-24
15-21
22-27
29-24
20-19
19-17
21-26
17-16
22-26
25-13
25-11
28-17
31-23
15-29
21-19
30-16
26-14
14-18
22-15
27-14
21-24
26-25
168.0Avg total
91.7Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.086.1175.1+3.062%
Season at home (11)92.583.1175.6+9.582%
Season away (10)85.289.4174.6-4.240%
Last 10 (10)91.776.3168.0+15.4100%
Last 5 (5)92.278.6170.8+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)84.384.7169.0-0.367%
vs Similar (15)90.683.7174.3+6.973%
vs Weaker (11)87.382.5169.8+4.755%
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
TindastollValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TindastollLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A03/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/01
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A17/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H23/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A02/02
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H13/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A28/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
W
62-27
62
27
+35
H06/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A13/03
Premier league
94.9Avg total
51.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.544.893.3+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.942.091.9+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)47.347.294.6+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)51.943.094.9+8.970%-
Last 5 (5)52.641.093.6+11.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.852.596.2-8.850%-
vs Similar (6)45.239.084.2+6.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)50.744.795.5+6.058%-
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sindri
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A20/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A24/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H30/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H07/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/02
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H01/03
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H13/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A19/03
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#2
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A22/03
Icelandic Cup
85.1Avg total
46.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.285.4+1.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.141.786.7+3.440%-
Last 30 away (15)41.442.784.1-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)46.039.185.1+6.950%-
Last 5 (5)48.437.085.4+11.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.741.783.3+0.033%-
vs Similar (15)42.742.585.1+0.233%-
vs Weaker (11)44.641.786.4+2.945%-
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tindastolltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tindastoll: 98.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.4
53.4%
53.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.313.6
39.7%
34.4%40.8
🏀 Free throws22.717.3
76.2%
75.6%17.3
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.5
57.9%
53.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.3
36.9%
34.4%39.9
🏀 Free throws16.911.6
68.6%
75.6%11.6
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tindastoll
LWLWWWWLWW
Valur
WWWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#5
+11.2
Net rating
+18.8
120.0
Offensive rating
113.5
108.8
Defensive rating
94.7
56.3%
Effective FG%
56.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
13.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.7%
3-point %
36.9%
69.1%
Assist %
66.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence120.0 · 113.5Defence108.8 · 94.7Shooting56.3% · 56.6%3-point %39.7% · 36.9%Ball care13.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.5% · 25.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Tindastoll   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tindastoll wins
6
Valur wins
DateGameScore
20/12/24Valur v Tindastoll89-80
25/01/24Valur v Tindastoll90-79
27/10/23Tindastoll v Valur75-84
18/05/23Valur v Tindastoll81-82
15/05/23Tindastoll v Valur69-82
12/05/23Valur v Tindastoll79-90
09/05/23Tindastoll v Valur87-100
06/05/23Valur v Tindastoll82-83
30/03/23Valur v Tindastoll71-98
29/12/22Tindastoll v Valur78-84 OT
Tindastolllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25ANjardvik90-101
06/03/25HKeflavik116-77
28/02/25AAlftanes89-102
13/02/25HThorl109-96
02/02/25AStjarnan90-82
30/01/25AHottur97-85
23/01/25HGrindavik97-79
17/01/25AHaukar99-100
09/01/25HIR Reykjavik98-88
03/01/25AKR Basket116-95
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25AKR Basket96-78
19/03/25AKeflavik91-67
13/03/25HGrindavik99-80
06/03/25AHaukar85-81
01/03/25HIR Reykjavik90-87
14/02/25AKR Basket96-89 OT
07/02/25HHottur92-58
30/01/25HNjardvik88-76
24/01/25AKeflavik81-70
20/01/25ASindri99-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tindastoll
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%90%55%
Points / game97.4100.594.6
Allowed / game88.483.393.1
Point differential+9.0+17.2+1.5
Avg total185.9183.8187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%80%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%82%40%
Points / game89.092.585.2
Allowed / game86.183.189.4
Point differential+3.0+9.5-4.2
Avg total175.1175.6174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %14%9%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan2115671%98.287.5+10.7
2 Tindastoll2115671%97.488.4+9.0
3 Njardvik2114767%94.690.6+4.0
4 Valur2113862%89.086.1+3.0
5 Grindavik21111052%94.292.0+2.1
6 Alftanes21111052%91.492.0-0.7
7 KR Basket21101148%93.494.1-0.7
8 IR Reykjavik21101148%88.392.8-4.5
9 Keflavik2191243%96.596.1+0.4
10 Thorl2191243%91.695.5-3.9
11 Hottur2151624%85.092.7-7.7
12 Haukar2141719%86.097.9-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tindastoll2825201588
Valur2413221574
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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