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Valur W vs Hamar W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 98-67
22-20 27-14 19-11 30-22
Position#5
Record7-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game80.5
Valur W 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#10
Record1-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game86.2
IcelandPremier League WRound 12· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Women2025-26
Meetings · Valur W v Hamar W
16 Dec 2025
VALU98
HAMA67
04 Dec 2024
VALU82
HAMA59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamar W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 72
H07/10
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 72
A14/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 72
H22/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
87-69
87
69
+18
71avg 72
A29/10
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
L
93-100
93
100
-7
82avg 72
H01/11
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
101-63
101
63
+38
105avg 72
A05/11
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
no box
H22/11
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
88-68
88
68
+20
80avg 72
A26/11
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 72
H02/12
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
90-94
90
94
-4
83avg 72
A10/12
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
18-18
14-22
19-18
21-15
26-22
16-21
25-25
24-23
14-14
16-17
24-21
25-14
25-19
23-12
14-24
30-20
22-32
18-23
23-25
29-19
29-11
19-14
24-19
21-23
18-19
15-20
16-8
20-12
37-16
14-21
17-19
29-22
18-23
15-32
30-18
26-14
23-26
21-22
20-32
168.8Avg total
88.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.180.5168.6+7.564%
Season at home (5)85.486.0171.4-0.640%
Season away (6)90.376.0166.3+14.383%
Last 10 (10)88.180.7168.8+7.460%
Last 5 (5)91.680.0171.6+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.782.6158.3-6.929%
vs Similar (11)82.176.5158.6+5.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)89.080.6169.6+8.480%
This opponent (Hamar W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hamar WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Keflavik W
#6
L
89-102
89
102
-13
82avg 73
A07/10
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
83-88
83
88
-5
70avg 73
H14/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 73
H21/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
77-103
77
103
-26
71avg 73
A29/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 73
H01/11
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
61-88
61
88
-27
43avg 73
A04/11
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
L
78-80
78
80
-2
74avg 73
A22/11
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
L
84-85
84
85
-1
71avg 73
A26/11
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
72-79
72
79
-7
58avg 73
A03/12
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 73
H09/12
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
24-24
25-28
21-23
15-21
22-26
21-16
25-25
20-21
19-22
16-14
18-21
27-23
19-30
13-23
18-27
19-18
20-26
25-12
17-29
13-22
14-19
21-18
13-29
21-17
22-25
20-18
15-20
23-24
23-23
10-23
28-15
17-25
22-17
18-12
15-25
17-11
20-22
23-23
15-15
163.2Avg total
77.3Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.086.2163.2-9.29%
Season at home (5)77.282.2159.4-5.020%
Season away (6)76.889.5166.3-12.70%
Last 10 (10)77.385.9163.2-8.610%
Last 5 (5)74.080.6154.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.190.0166.1-13.96%
vs Similar (12)85.485.3170.8+0.142%
vs Weaker (1)73.078.0151.0-5.00%
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
Valur WHamar W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H07/10
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A29/10
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H01/11
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A05/11
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H22/11
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A26/11
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H02/12
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/12
Premier League W
86.5Avg total
48.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.881.9+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.140.382.4+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)41.939.481.4+2.556%-
Last 10 (10)48.138.486.5+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)50.037.087.0+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.442.180.5-3.829%-
vs Similar (11)42.837.680.5+5.282%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)50.638.288.8+12.480%-
This opponent (Hamar W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hamar WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik W
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A07/10
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H14/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H21/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A29/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H01/11
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A04/11
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A22/11
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A26/11
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/12
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/12
Premier League W
83.9Avg total
39.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.846.187.9-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.746.788.4-4.920%-
Last 30 away (15)41.845.687.4-3.827%-
Last 10 (10)39.644.383.9-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.079.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.047.386.3-8.36%-
vs Similar (12)45.944.890.7+1.250%-
vs Weaker (1)39.043.082.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.6
49.6%
49.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.7
33.6%
31.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.016.9
73.5%
76.4%16.9
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamar Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamar W: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.922.5
47.0%
49.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.15.6
24.2%
31.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws18.614.6
78.5%
76.4%14.6
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur W
LLWWWLWWWL
Hamar W
WLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#10
+9.5
Net rating
-10.8
111.9
Offensive rating
95.1
102.4
Defensive rating
105.9
49.9%
Effective FG%
43.5%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
20.0%
39.8%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.6%
3-point %
24.2%
58.4%
Assist %
61.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 95.1Defence102.4 · 105.9Shooting49.9% · 43.5%3-point %33.6% · 24.2%Ball care17.9% · 20.0%Off. rebounds39.8% · 34.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Valur W   ■ Hamar W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valur W wins
0
Hamar W wins
DateGameScore
14/10/25Hamar W v Valur W83-88
19/02/25Hamar W v Valur W83-89
04/12/24Valur W v Hamar W82-59
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25ANjardvik W90-94
02/12/25HKeflavik W92-95
26/11/25AStjarnan W88-68
22/11/25HGrindavik W87-80 OT
05/11/25AHaukar W101-63
01/11/25HKR Reykjavik W93-100
29/10/25AArmann W87-69
22/10/25HTindastoll W78-75
14/10/25AHamar W88-83
07/10/25HNjardvik W77-80
Hamar Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25HKeflavik W75-71
03/12/25AGrindavik W72-79
26/11/25AKR Reykjavik W84-85
22/11/25ATindastoll W78-80
04/11/25ANjardvik W61-88
01/11/25HStjarnan W81-85
29/10/25AHaukar W77-103
21/10/25HArmann W73-78
14/10/25HValur W83-88
07/10/25AKeflavik W89-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%40%83%
Points / game88.185.490.3
Allowed / game80.586.076.0
Point differential+7.5-0.6+14.3
Avg total168.6171.4166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Hamar W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW9%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%20%0%
Points / game77.077.276.8
Allowed / game86.282.289.5
Point differential-9.2-5.0-12.7
Avg total163.2159.4166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Njardvik W119282%88.580.6+7.8
2 Grindavik W118373%86.474.5+11.8
3 KR Reykjavik W118373%79.378.8+0.5
4 Valur W117464%88.180.5+7.5
5 Keflavik W117464%90.384.8+5.5
6 Haukar W116555%87.685.5+2.1
7 Stjarnan W115645%79.383.2-3.9
8 Tindastoll W113827%80.685.4-4.7
9 Hamar W111109%77.086.2-9.2
10 Armann W111109%71.689.0-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur W2227193098
Hamar W2014112267
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