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Valur W vs Keflavik W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 92-95
29-22 18-23 15-32 30-18
Position#5
Record7-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#6
Record6-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game85.1
IcelandPremier League WRound 10· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Women2025-26
Meetings · Valur W v Keflavik W
02 Nov 2026
VALU87
KEFL70
02 Dec 2025
VALU92
KEFL95
16 Oct 2024
VALU73
KEFL79
24 Jan 2024
VALU79
KEFL77
28 Apr 2023
VALU72
KEFL68
22 Apr 2023
VALU77
KEFL70
29 Jan 2023
VALU81
KEFL74
12 Oct 2022
VALU75
KEFL78
09 Feb 2022
VALU84
KEFL73
24 Oct 2021
VALU64
KEFL84
10 Mar 2021
VALU80
KEFL67
16 Dec 2020
VALU v KEFL
upcoming
29 Jan 2020
VALU80
KEFL67
23 Oct 2019
VALU82
KEFL51
27 Apr 2019
VALU87
KEFL64
22 Apr 2019
VALU75
KEFL63
20 Mar 2019
VALU80
KEFL68
14 Dec 2018
VALU101
KEFL94
13 Apr 2018
VALU99
KEFL82
07 Apr 2018
VALU87
KEFL80
07 Mar 2018
VALU89
KEFL66
25 Nov 2017
VALU74
KEFL81
04 Feb 2017
VALU54
KEFL60
16 Dec 2016
VALU65
KEFL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keflavik W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
51avg 70
A26/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 70
A01/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 70
H07/10
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 70
A14/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
73avg 70
H22/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
87-69
87
69
+18
71avg 70
A29/10
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
L
93-100
93
100
-7
82avg 70
H01/11
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
101-63
101
63
+38
105avg 70
A05/11
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
no box
H22/11
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
88-68
88
68
+20
80avg 70
A26/11
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-16
8-15
16-27
20-22
12-19
26-21
30-17
26-22
18-18
14-22
19-18
21-15
26-22
16-21
25-25
24-23
14-14
16-17
24-21
25-14
25-19
23-12
14-24
30-20
22-32
18-23
23-25
29-19
29-11
19-14
24-19
21-23
18-19
15-20
16-8
20-12
37-16
14-21
17-19
162.7Avg total
85.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.477.4164.9+10.078%
Season at home (4)83.883.8167.5+0.050%
Season away (5)90.472.4162.8+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.177.6162.7+7.570%
Last 5 (5)91.276.0167.2+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.682.3157.9-6.727%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.172.6152.7+7.689%
vs Weaker (6)87.877.0164.8+10.883%
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keflavik WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#3
L
89-101
89
101
-12
84avg 80
A27/04
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
79-88
79
88
-9
68avg 80
H01/10
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
97avg 80
H07/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
101-79
101
79
+22
99avg 80
A14/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
94-84
94
84
+10
93avg 80
H22/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
73-78
73
78
-5
62avg 80
A29/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
93-102
93
102
-9
85avg 80
H01/11
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
96-88
96
88
+8
92avg 80
A04/11
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
W
86-63
86
63
+23
74avg 80
H23/11
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
W
103-95
103
95
+8
96avg 80
A28/11
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
22-19
26-32
19-23
22-20
19-12
21-26
17-30
27-19
24-24
28-25
23-21
18-25
31-14
21-19
31-21
29-11
14-22
27-25
24-26
17-20
17-25
22-13
17-20
25-26
31-23
25-28
12-25
32-19
19-29
19-14
26-26
15-19
22-17
28-9
21-18
23-22
27-23
28-19
25-31
178.3Avg total
91.6Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.985.1177.0+6.867%
Season at home (5)90.885.2176.0+5.660%
Season away (4)93.285.0178.2+8.275%
Last 10 (10)91.686.7178.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)90.285.2175.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)92.497.6190.0-5.220%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.191.2180.3-2.242%
vs Weaker (13)86.573.0159.5+13.585%
This opponent (Valur W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
Valur WKeflavik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A26/04
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A01/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H07/10
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A29/10
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H01/11
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A05/11
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H22/11
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A26/11
Premier League W
83.4Avg total
45.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.280.3+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.839.481.2+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)40.639.079.6+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)45.737.783.4+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)51.237.088.2+14.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.641.579.1-3.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.736.678.2+5.178%-
vs Weaker (6)49.237.386.5+11.883%-
This opponent (Keflavik W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keflavik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A27/04
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H01/10
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H07/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A14/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H22/10
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A29/10
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H01/11
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A04/11
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H23/11
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A28/11
Premier League W
87.2Avg total
45.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.342.286.5+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.441.285.6+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)44.243.487.6+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)45.641.687.2+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.690.2+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)46.246.893.0-0.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.643.387.9+1.267%-
vs Weaker (13)43.339.582.8+3.862%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.3
49.5%
49.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.2
32.6%
31.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.715.4
71.0%
76.4%15.4
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keflavik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik W: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.4
52.7%
49.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.5
37.8%
31.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
76.4%14.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur W
WWWLWWWLWL
Keflavik W
WWWLLWWWLL
#5
League position
#6
+8.5
Net rating
+5.5
108.0
Offensive rating
108.9
99.5
Defensive rating
103.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
54.3%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
20.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
40.7%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.6%
3-point %
37.8%
57.3%
Assist %
62.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 108.9Defence99.5 · 103.4Shooting49.3% · 54.3%3-point %32.6% · 37.8%Ball care20.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds40.7% · 24.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Valur W   ■ Keflavik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valur W wins
4
Keflavik W wins
DateGameScore
01/10/25Keflavik W v Valur W79-88
26/02/25Keflavik W v Valur W73-77
05/01/25Keflavik W v Valur W79-65
16/10/24Valur W v Keflavik W73-79
24/01/24Valur W v Keflavik W79-77
19/11/23Keflavik W v Valur W70-50
28/04/23Valur W v Keflavik W72-68
25/04/23Keflavik W v Valur W78-66
22/04/23Valur W v Keflavik W77-70 OT
19/04/23Keflavik W v Valur W66-69
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25AStjarnan W88-68
22/11/25HGrindavik W87-80 OT
05/11/25AHaukar W101-63
01/11/25HKR Reykjavik W93-100
29/10/25AArmann W87-69
22/10/25HTindastoll W78-75
14/10/25AHamar W88-83
07/10/25HNjardvik W77-80
01/10/25AKeflavik W88-79
26/04/25AHaukar W64-79
Keflavik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25AGrindavik W103-95
23/11/25HKR Reykjavik W86-63
04/11/25ATindastoll W96-88
01/11/25HNjardvik W93-102
29/10/25AStjarnan W73-78
22/10/25HHaukar W94-84
14/10/25AArmann W101-79
07/10/25HHamar W102-89
01/10/25HValur W79-88
27/04/25ANjardvik W89-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%50%100%
Points / game87.483.890.4
Allowed / game77.483.872.4
Point differential+10.0+0.0+18.0
Avg total164.9167.5162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Keflavik W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game91.990.893.2
Allowed / game85.185.285.0
Point differential+6.8+5.6+8.2
Avg total177.0176.0178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur W97278%87.477.4+10.0
2 Njardvik W97278%87.180.3+6.8
3 Grindavik W96367%85.075.3+9.7
4 Keflavik W96367%91.985.1+6.8
5 KR Reykjavik W96367%77.979.2-1.3
6 Haukar W95456%87.284.4+2.8
7 Stjarnan W94544%78.881.9-3.1
8 Tindastoll W93633%79.484.1-4.7
9 Armann W91811%72.288.2-16.0
10 Hamar W9090%77.888.7-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur W2918153092
Keflavik W2223321895
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