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Valur W vs Stjarnan W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 78-69
27-24 19-20 20-14 12-11
Position#5
Record11-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#9
Record8-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game83.3
IcelandPremier League WRound 18· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Women2025-26
Meetings · Valur W v Stjarnan W
02 Mar 2027
VALU v STJA
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
VALU78
STJA69
20 Nov 2024
VALU66
STJA81
03 Jan 2024
VALU63
STJA74
09 Feb 2019
VALU83
STJA60
31 Oct 2018
VALU67
STJA68
24 Feb 2018
VALU82
STJA57
01 Nov 2017
VALU85
STJA83
29 Jan 2017
VALU72
STJA63
03 Dec 2016
VALU68
STJA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Grindavik W
#4
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
no box
H22/11
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
88-68
88
68
+20
80avg 76
A26/11
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 76
H02/12
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
90-94
90
94
-4
83avg 76
A10/12
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
98-67
98
67
+31
100avg 76
H16/12
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
L
79-81
79
81
-2
74avg 76
A07/01
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
73avg 76
H13/01
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
W
77-66
77
66
+11
69avg 76
A20/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
90-97
90
97
-7
78avg 76
H28/01
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
W
89-66
89
66
+23
87avg 76
A11/02
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
18-19
15-20
16-8
20-12
37-16
14-21
17-19
29-22
18-23
15-32
30-18
26-14
23-26
21-22
20-32
22-20
27-14
19-11
30-22
22-25
22-12
16-25
19-19
22-15
22-20
13-23
26-21
24-16
18-12
20-18
15-20
18-29
24-24
23-20
25-24
29-15
23-16
21-23
16-12
166.6Avg total
87.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.478.9166.3+8.465%
Season at home (8)87.284.1171.4+3.150%
Season away (9)87.474.3161.8+13.178%
Last 10 (10)87.379.3166.6+8.060%
Last 5 (5)83.677.8161.4+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.882.3159.2-5.533%
vs Similar (10)87.181.0168.1+6.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.976.9164.8+11.088%
This opponent (Stjarnan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stjarnan WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#2
W
93-82
93
82
+11
78avg 70
A23/11
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
68-88
68
88
-20
47avg 70
H26/11
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
74-95
74
95
-21
66avg 70
A03/12
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
89-83
89
83
+6
80avg 70
H10/12
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
70avg 70
A17/12
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
83-99
83
99
-16
75avg 70
H06/01
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
W
92-78
92
78
+14
84avg 70
A13/01
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 70
H20/01
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
94-82
94
82
+12
95avg 70
A27/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
71-74
71
74
-3
67avg 70
H10/02
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
28-21
18-24
33-21
12-20
16-37
21-14
19-17
15-29
19-24
23-22
17-20
23-30
22-18
18-16
26-19
21-23
22-29
22-29
17-12
27-26
23-18
13-30
20-25
20-21
27-15
19-21
26-21
24-13
22-20
17-25
24-17
26-16
25-19
20-22
23-25
23-17
17-12
19-20
12-25
168.2Avg total
83.3Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.283.3164.5-2.147%
Season at home (9)78.181.2159.3-3.144%
Season away (8)84.885.6170.4-0.950%
Last 10 (10)83.384.9168.2-1.650%
Last 5 (5)85.481.6167.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.983.4161.2-5.531%
vs Similar (12)80.880.4161.2+0.350%
vs Weaker (2)98.581.5180.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
Valur WStjarnan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik W
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H22/11
Premier League W
Stjarnan W
#9
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A26/11
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H02/12
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/12
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H16/12
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/01
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H13/01
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A20/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H28/01
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A11/02
Premier League W
83.8Avg total
46.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.383.0+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.342.085.3+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)44.037.081.0+7.069%-
Last 10 (10)46.537.383.8+9.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.836.881.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.841.381.1-1.633%-
vs Similar (10)44.539.684.1+4.970%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.536.084.5+12.588%-
This opponent (Stjarnan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stjarnan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar W
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A23/11
Premier League W
Valur W
#5
L
28-57
28
57
-29
H26/11
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A03/12
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#8
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H10/12
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A17/12
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H06/01
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#6
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/01
Premier League W
Hamar W
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H20/01
Premier League W
Armann W
#11
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A27/01
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H10/02
Premier League W
85.0Avg total
42.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.383.4-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.641.280.8-1.633%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.486.1-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.485.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.835.482.2+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.642.482.0-2.838%-
vs Similar (12)41.243.384.5-2.233%-
vs Weaker (2)53.035.588.5+17.5100%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.5
47.1%
49.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.7
38.0%
31.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.014.0
77.8%
76.4%14.0
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan W: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.123.4
49.7%
49.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.3
28.9%
31.7%18.9
🏀 Free throws21.717.0
78.3%
76.4%17.0
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur W
WLWWLWLLWW
Stjarnan W
LWWWLLWLLW
#5
League position
#9
+12.9
Net rating
-1.9
104.4
Offensive rating
92.9
91.4
Defensive rating
94.8
51.3%
Effective FG%
47.7%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.7%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.0%
3-point %
28.9%
61.2%
Assist %
53.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 92.9Defence91.4 · 94.8Shooting51.3% · 47.7%3-point %38.0% · 28.9%Ball care17.0% · 19.7%Off. rebounds37.1% · 27.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Valur W   ■ Stjarnan W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valur W wins
3
Stjarnan W wins
DateGameScore
26/11/25Stjarnan W v Valur W68-88
28/01/25Stjarnan W v Valur W84-85
20/11/24Valur W v Stjarnan W66-81
03/01/24Valur W v Stjarnan W63-74
17/10/23Stjarnan W v Valur W71-76
23/03/19Stjarnan W v Valur W68-90
09/02/19Valur W v Stjarnan W83-60
19/12/18Stjarnan W v Valur W73-84
31/10/18Valur W v Stjarnan W67-68
24/03/18Stjarnan W v Valur W66-85
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AGrindavik W89-66
28/01/26HHaukar W90-97
20/01/26AKR Reykjavik W77-66
13/01/26HArmann W83-79
07/01/26ATindastoll W79-81
16/12/25HHamar W98-67
10/12/25ANjardvik W90-94
02/12/25HKeflavik W92-95
26/11/25AStjarnan W88-68
22/11/25HGrindavik W87-80 OT
Stjarnan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26HHaukar W71-74
27/01/26AArmann W94-82
20/01/26HHamar W87-75
13/01/26AKeflavik W92-78
06/01/26HGrindavik W83-99
17/12/25AKR Reykjavik W82-93
10/12/25HTindastoll W89-83
03/12/25ANjardvik W74-95
26/11/25HValur W68-88
23/11/25AHaukar W93-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWLLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %65%50%78%
Points / game87.487.287.4
Allowed / game78.984.174.3
Point differential+8.4+3.1+13.1
Avg total166.3171.4161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%12%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Stjarnan W
Premier League W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL47%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game81.278.184.8
Allowed / game83.381.285.6
Point differential-2.1-3.1-0.9
Avg total164.5159.3170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Njardvik W1712571%88.681.7+6.9
2 Haukar W1712571%89.183.8+5.2
3 KR Reykjavik W1712571%80.279.4+0.9
4 Valur W1711665%87.478.9+8.4
5 Grindavik W1711665%85.778.1+7.6
6 Keflavik W179853%87.086.1+0.9
7 Stjarnan W178947%81.283.3-2.1
8 Tindastoll W1761135%81.084.6-3.6
9 Hamar W1721512%77.086.1-9.1
10 Armann W1721512%73.588.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur W2719201278
Stjarnan W2420141169
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