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Valur W vs Stjarnan W Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 02 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game71.8
Valur W
Iceland
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Stjarnan W
Iceland
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game74.5
IcelandPremier League WRound 18· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Women2026-27
Meetings · Valur W v Stjarnan W
02 Mar 2027
VALU v STJA
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
VALU78
STJA69
20 Nov 2024
VALU66
STJA81
03 Jan 2024
VALU63
STJA74
09 Feb 2019
VALU83
STJA60
31 Oct 2018
VALU67
STJA68
24 Feb 2018
VALU82
STJA57
01 Nov 2017
VALU85
STJA83
29 Jan 2017
VALU72
STJA63
03 Dec 2016
VALU68
STJA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
52avg 65
A25/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
55-59
55
59
-4
46avg 65
H31/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
70avg 65
A04/04
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
61avg 65
H09/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
W
77-64
77
64
+13
60avg 65
H30/09
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
53avg 65
H06/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 65
A13/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
72avg 65
H20/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
72-45
72
45
+27
74avg 65
A28/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
no box
H02/11
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
16-12
15-26
10-26
7-15
13-8
15-13
20-23
17-22
15-21
25-12
16-24
11-33
22-21
23-19
16-17
18-20
15-15
14-17
30-12
22-27
19-14
18-24
9-19
22-15
28-13
17-28
22-22
22-29
27-21
22-17
14-23
15-9
19-13
20-6
18-17
21-16
19-20
21-12
26-22
148.5Avg total
73.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.771.8151.5+7.867%
Season at home (4)79.277.0156.2+2.250%
Season away (2)80.561.5142.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.974.6148.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)80.273.4153.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (17)79.380.0159.3-0.735%
vs Weaker (13)82.873.0155.8+9.877%
This opponent (Stjarnan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stjarnan WIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Keflavik W
#6
L
57-90
57
90
-33
46avg 76
A25/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
100-106
100
106
-6
91avg 76
A30/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 76
H03/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
71avg 76
A08/04
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#6
L
87-94
87
94
-7
80avg 76
A29/09
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
80-62
80
62
+18
80avg 76
H06/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
68avg 76
A12/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
93-80
93
80
+13
102avg 76
H20/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
92-72
92
72
+20
83avg 76
A27/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#10
W
110-69
110
69
+41
no box
H02/11
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
8-22
18-39
10-14
21-24
14-33
40-29
25-20
25-24
19-22
7-24
19-17
7-29
22-20
22-21
33-18
20-17
15-24
24-23
28-30
23-10
18-24
16-17
23-11
17-24
15-18
24-11
20-17
19-25
27-16
22-16
25-23
25-21
23-13
23-16
21-22
28-20
27-20
26-11
29-18
166.7Avg total
84.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.774.5164.2+15.283%
Season at home (3)94.370.3164.7+24.0100%
Season away (3)85.078.7163.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)84.981.8166.7+3.150%
Last 5 (5)90.270.6160.8+19.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.385.9163.2-8.623%
vs Similar (8)80.684.1164.8-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)91.477.0168.4+14.489%
This opponent (Valur W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
Valur WStjarnan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valur WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik W
#1
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A25/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
20-23
20
23
-3
H31/03
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A04/04
Premier League W
Grindavik W
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H09/04
Premier League W
Njardvik W
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H30/09
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H06/10
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A13/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H20/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A28/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/11
Premier League W
73.5Avg total
36.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.579.7+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.840.880.6-1.141%-
Last 30 away (13)45.533.178.6+12.592%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.773.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.478.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (17)40.339.279.5+1.153%-
vs Weaker (13)44.835.280.0+9.777%-
This opponent (Stjarnan W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stjarnan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik W
#6
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A25/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A30/03
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H03/04
Premier League W
Haukar W
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A08/04
Premier League W
KR Reykjavik W
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A29/09
Premier League W
Armann W
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H06/10
Premier League W
Haukar W
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A12/10
Premier League W
Tindastoll W
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H20/10
Premier League W
Keflavik W
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A27/10
Premier League W
Fjolnir W
#10
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H02/11
Premier League W
81.5Avg total
39.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.683.4+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.741.084.7+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)40.042.282.2-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.181.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.282.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.643.281.8-4.538%-
vs Similar (8)43.144.087.1-0.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.037.382.3+7.778%-
This opponent (Valur W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valur Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur W: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.4
46.9%
47.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.28.9
29.5%
30.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.011.9
74.4%
74.1%11.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan W: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.423.2
47.9%
47.8%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.5
28.8%
30.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.516.8
68.6%
74.1%16.8
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur W
WWLWLWLLLL
Stjarnan W
WWWWWLLLLL
#5
League position
#2
-1.9
Net rating
+0.5
83.5
Offensive rating
81.9
85.4
Defensive rating
81.4
45.7%
Effective FG%
46.4%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
20.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.5%
3-point %
28.8%
59.3%
Assist %
64.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence83.5 · 81.9Defence85.4 · 81.4Shooting45.7% · 46.4%3-point %29.5% · 28.8%Ball care15.8% · 20.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Valur W   ■ Stjarnan W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valur W wins
3
Stjarnan W wins
DateGameScore
17/02/26Valur W v Stjarnan W78-69
26/11/25Stjarnan W v Valur W68-88
28/01/25Stjarnan W v Valur W84-85
20/11/24Valur W v Stjarnan W66-81
03/01/24Valur W v Stjarnan W63-74
17/10/23Stjarnan W v Valur W71-76
23/03/19Stjarnan W v Valur W68-90
09/02/19Valur W v Stjarnan W83-60
19/12/18Stjarnan W v Valur W73-84
31/10/18Valur W v Stjarnan W67-68
Valur Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HKeflavik W87-70
28/10/26ATindastoll W72-45
20/10/26HHaukar W85-90
13/10/26AArmann W89-78
06/10/26HKR Reykjavik W68-84
30/09/26HNjardvik W77-64
09/04/26HGrindavik W72-90
04/04/26AGrindavik W73-79
31/03/26HGrindavik W55-59
25/03/26ANjardvik W61-87
Stjarnan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HFjolnir W110-69
27/10/26AKeflavik W92-72
20/10/26HTindastoll W93-80
12/10/26AHaukar W76-70
06/10/26HArmann W80-62
29/09/26AKR Reykjavik W87-94
08/04/26AHaukar W84-88
03/04/26HHaukar W70-87
30/03/26AHaukar W100-106
25/03/26AKeflavik W57-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game79.779.280.5
Allowed / game71.877.061.5
Point differential+7.8+2.2+19.0
Avg total151.5156.2142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stjarnan W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game89.794.385.0
Allowed / game74.570.378.7
Point differential+15.2+24.0+6.3
Avg total164.2164.7163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik W660100%92.372.7+19.7
2 Stjarnan W65183%89.774.5+15.2
3 Haukar W64267%86.375.3+11.0
4 Njardvik W64267%91.781.0+10.7
5 Valur W64267%79.771.8+7.8
6 KR Reykjavik W64267%87.888.8-1.0
7 Tindastoll W62433%73.276.2-3.0
8 Keflavik W61517%75.380.8-5.5
9 Armann W6060%75.592.8-17.3
10 Fjolnir W6060%64.5102.0-37.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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