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Vanderbilt vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 88-69
48-38 40-31
Position#37
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.9
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#129
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vanderbilt v SMU Mustangs
03 Dec 2025
VAND88
SMU 69
04 Jan 2020
VAND81
SMU 92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vanderbilt winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VanderbiltUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#168
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H12/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A21/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
105-61
105
61
+44
H04/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
105-93
105
93
+12
A08/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
109-74
109
74
+35
H21/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A27/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-41
46-38
29-22
27-37
56-26
49-35
52-36
53-57
45-27
47-35
43-31
61-44
60-33
49-41
40-35
43-43
43-41
46-33
51-34
45-37
163.7Avg total
91.1Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.973.5171.4+24.4100%
Season at home (5)101.268.6169.8+32.6100%
Season away (3)92.381.7174.0+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)91.172.6163.7+18.580%
Last 5 (5)96.274.4170.6+21.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.181.5156.6-6.425%
vs Similar (12)76.479.2155.7-2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.968.9161.8+24.0100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#24
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H20/03
NIT
Oklahoma State
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H23/03
NIT
Tarleton
#255
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
106-60
106
60
+46
H19/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H22/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H25/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
A29/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-32
0-0
40-31
0-0
41-40
0-0
42-45
0-0
48-38
0-0
48-38
0-0
32-28
0-0
37-30
0-0
49-42
0-0
53-49
0-0
38-43
0-0
49-42
0-0
45-26
0-0
61-34
0-0
50-30
0-0
50-39
0-0
46-38
0-0
43-34
0-0
39-43
0-0
35-31
163.2Avg total
89.2Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.074.0166.0+18.0100%
Season at home (7)92.773.0165.7+19.7100%
Season away (1)87.081.0168.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.274.0163.2+15.290%
Last 5 (5)93.873.4167.2+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)62.089.0151.0-27.00%
vs Similar (10)78.975.4154.3+3.550%
vs Weaker (18)82.070.1152.1+11.983%
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +11.9+11.91st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +8.5+8.5
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +11.9+11.91st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +8.5+8.5
VanderbiltSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VanderbiltLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#168
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H12/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A21/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H04/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A08/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H28/11
NCAA
77.1Avg total
44.5Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.733.973.6+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.932.673.5+8.465%-
Last 30 away (13)38.035.773.7+2.369%-
Last 10 (10)44.532.677.1+11.990%-
Last 5 (5)47.434.882.2+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.235.569.8-1.250%-
vs Similar (12)37.937.175.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.128.975.0+17.2100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#24
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H20/03
NIT
Oklahoma State
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H23/03
NIT
Tarleton
#255
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H19/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
NCAA
78.1Avg total
42.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.733.472.1+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.534.173.6+5.474%-
Last 30 away (11)37.232.269.4+5.045%-
Last 10 (10)42.136.078.1+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.079.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (10)37.135.872.9+1.360%-
vs Weaker (18)40.231.771.9+8.567%-
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vanderbilt wins
2
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
04/12/21SMU Mustangs v Vanderbilt84-72
05/01/20Vanderbilt v SMU Mustangs81-92 OT
Vanderbiltlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HSt. Marys (CA)96-71
27/11/25AVCU Rams89-74
26/11/25AWestern Kentucky83-78
21/11/25HTexas Southern109-74
15/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff104-75
13/11/25HEastern Kentucky92-62
08/11/25AUCF Knights105-93
04/11/25HLipscomb105-61
21/03/25ASt. Marys (CA)56-59
12/03/25HTexas72-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25AMississippi St.87-81 OT
25/11/25HRadford89-72
22/11/25HArkansas State100-69
19/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff106-60
15/11/25HButler87-85
12/11/25HMurray State102-91
07/11/25HTexas A&M-CC69-58
04/11/25HTarleton96-76
23/03/25HOklahoma State83-85
20/03/25HNorthern Iowa73-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vanderbilt
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.9101.292.3
Allowed / game73.568.681.7
Point differential+24.4+32.6+10.7
Avg total171.4169.8174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.092.787.0
Allowed / game74.073.081.0
Point differential+18.0+19.7+6.0
Avg total166.0165.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%86%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt880100%97.973.5+24.4
2 LSU880100%92.268.4+23.9
3 Georgia98189%99.971.2+28.7
4 Missouri98189%90.469.0+21.4
5 Tennessee97278%83.065.0+18.0
6 Texas A&M97278%92.275.1+17.1
7 Texas86275%90.971.9+19.0
8 Arkansas86275%88.272.6+15.6
9 Auburn86275%88.574.6+13.9
10 Oklahoma86275%86.573.6+12.9
11 Alabama86275%94.982.2+12.6
12 Kentucky85362%86.663.6+23.0
13 Florida85362%83.471.9+11.5
14 South Carolina85362%81.072.0+9.0
15 Ole Miss85362%77.568.6+8.9
16 Mississippi St.74357%82.079.0+3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke990100%89.159.6+29.6
2 SMU Mustangs880100%92.074.0+18.0
3 Louisville87188%94.666.2+28.4
4 North Carolina87188%81.265.5+15.8
5 California87188%83.869.9+13.9
6 Stanford87188%82.971.9+11.0
7 Miami (FL)97278%85.365.4+19.9
8 Clemson97278%85.166.7+18.4
9 Virginia Tech97278%83.074.9+8.1
10 Virginia86275%83.472.4+11.0
11 NC State75271%93.676.6+17.0
12 Wake Forest96367%85.273.4+11.8
13 Notre Dame96367%75.467.7+7.8
14 Syracuse85362%73.264.6+8.6
15 Florida State85362%86.478.0+8.4
16 Georgia Tech85362%71.567.5+4.0
17 Pittsburgh95456%71.768.1+3.6
18 Boston College94544%70.367.0+3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vanderbilt484088
SMU Mustangs383169
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