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Vanderbilt vs St. Marys (CA) Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 96-71
51-34 45-37
Position#37
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.1
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#16
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game59.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vanderbilt v St. Marys (CA)
28 Nov 2025
VAND96
ST. 71
23 Nov 2022
VAND65
ST. 75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vanderbilt winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Marys (CA) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VanderbiltUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H12/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A21/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
105-61
105
61
+44
H04/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
105-93
105
93
+12
A08/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
109-74
109
74
+35
H21/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
89-74
89
74
+15
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-39
29-40
26-41
46-38
29-22
27-37
56-26
49-35
52-36
53-57
45-27
47-35
43-31
61-44
60-33
49-41
40-35
43-43
43-41
46-33
161.7Avg total
88.3Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.173.9172.0+24.3100%
Season at home (4)102.568.0170.5+34.5100%
Season away (3)92.381.7174.0+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)88.373.4161.7+14.970%
Last 5 (5)95.472.6168.0+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.181.5156.6-6.425%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.680.0154.6-5.445%
vs Weaker (11)94.067.5161.5+26.5100%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#121
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A23/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H04/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H08/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H12/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
80-49
80
49
+31
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H20/11
NCAA
California Merced
#656
W
96-42
96
42
+54
H23/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
22-29
37-27
29-42
37-38
35-25
49-33
48-33
39-33
45-27
45-33
47-17
33-32
47-39
38-33
40-26
56-16
33-31
37-34
31-20
46-46
140.8Avg total
79.4Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.659.8143.4+23.9100%
Season at home (7)85.659.0144.6+26.6100%
Season away (1)70.065.0135.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.461.4140.8+18.090%
Last 5 (5)81.658.8140.4+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.361.0123.3+1.367%
vs Similar ◀ (4)72.564.0136.5+8.575%
vs Weaker (22)75.858.9134.7+17.095%
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.2+10.21st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +9.2+9.2
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.2+10.21st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +9.2+9.2
VanderbiltSt. Marys (CA)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VanderbiltLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#120
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/03
NCAA
Texas
#168
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H12/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A21/03
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H04/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A08/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/11
NCAA
76.4Avg total
43.3Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.633.573.1+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.831.872.6+9.065%-
Last 30 away (13)38.035.773.7+2.369%-
Last 10 (10)43.333.176.4+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)46.233.479.6+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.235.569.8-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.737.474.1-0.645%-
vs Weaker (11)46.428.274.5+18.2100%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#121
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H21/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A23/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H08/11
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H12/11
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H20/11
NCAA
California Merced
#656
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H27/11
NCAA
66.6Avg total
37.7Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.227.362.5+8.087%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.927.464.3+9.589%-
Last 30 away (11)32.427.159.5+5.382%-
Last 10 (10)37.728.966.6+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)39.626.666.2+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.030.766.7+5.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)31.830.262.0+1.575%-
vs Weaker (22)35.526.361.9+9.291%-
This opponent (Vanderbilt) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vanderbilt wins
2
St. Marys (CA) wins
Vanderbiltlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25AVCU Rams89-74
26/11/25AWestern Kentucky83-78
21/11/25HTexas Southern109-74
15/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff104-75
13/11/25HEastern Kentucky92-62
08/11/25AUCF Knights105-93
04/11/25HLipscomb105-61
21/03/25ASt. Marys (CA)56-59
12/03/25HTexas72-79
08/03/25AGeorgia68-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HVirginia Tech77-66
27/11/25AWichita State70-65
23/11/25HCalifornia Merced96-42
20/11/25HArkansas State85-72
15/11/25HNorth Texas80-49
12/11/25HOhio90-60
08/11/25HChattanooga Mocs87-66
04/11/25HSt. Thomas (Minn.)84-58
23/03/25AAlabama66-80
21/03/25HVanderbilt59-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vanderbilt
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.1102.592.3
Allowed / game73.968.081.7
Point differential+24.3+34.5+10.7
Avg total172.0170.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.685.670.0
Allowed / game59.859.065.0
Point differential+23.9+26.6+5.0
Avg total143.4144.6135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU550100%98.670.6+28.0
2 Missouri770100%93.969.4+24.4
3 Vanderbilt770100%98.173.9+24.3
4 Tennessee87188%85.965.4+20.5
5 Georgia76186%95.669.6+26.0
6 Texas86275%90.971.9+19.0
7 Auburn86275%88.574.6+13.9
8 Kentucky75271%89.963.1+26.7
9 Arkansas75271%88.171.6+16.6
10 Texas A&M75271%93.477.7+15.7
11 Alabama75271%95.682.0+13.6
12 Ole Miss75271%79.167.7+11.4
13 Oklahoma64267%88.574.5+14.0
14 Florida64267%85.271.7+13.5
15 South Carolina64267%81.871.3+10.5
16 Mississippi St.64267%82.277.7+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Marys (CA)880100%83.659.8+23.9
2 Gonzaga87188%90.867.0+23.8
3 Loyola Marymount87188%82.464.6+17.8
4 Santa Clara76186%80.162.9+17.3
5 Seattle54180%81.871.2+10.6
6 San Francisco75271%79.067.3+11.7
7 Pacific75271%75.366.6+8.7
8 Portland85362%83.579.1+4.4
9 San Diego Toreros63350%74.072.2+1.8
10 Pepperdine73443%78.376.6+1.7
11 Oregon State73443%71.775.1-3.4
12 Washington State83538%80.481.8-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vanderbilt514596
St. Marys (CA)343771
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