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Varese vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Nov 2013
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-78
18-17 22-20 26-22 11-19
Position#50
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Ulm 🏆
Position#11
Record3-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeEurocupRound 5
European cup2013
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#1
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A08/10
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#8
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H13/10
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#23
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A16/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A20/10
Lega A
Levallois
#38
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H23/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#11
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H27/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H30/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H03/11
Lega A
Valencia
#9
L
64-98
64
98
-34
A06/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
74-105
74
105
-31
A10/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
17-13
16-22
19-29
13-20
20-21
22-16
28-7
18-16
16-14
14-16
11-21
13-14
25-26
14-24
20-20
24-15
24-15
21-24
8-17
16-17
23-21
24-17
21-17
19-22
18-29
20-16
21-18
20-13
24-18
25-19
16-18
14-21
17-25
16-23
17-29
16-28
19-26
13-20
26-31
153.7Avg total
74.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.580.2149.8-10.825%
Season at home (2)77.578.0155.5-0.550%
Season away (2)61.582.5144.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)74.279.5153.7-5.340%
Last 5 (5)77.085.6162.6-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.483.6154.0-13.220%
vs Similar (14)76.573.6150.1+2.964%
vs Weaker (9)84.679.0163.6+5.667%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A09/10
BBL
Bonn
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H12/10
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H16/10
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#9
W
98-66
98
66
+32
A19/10
BBL
Valencia
#9
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A23/10
Eurocup
Trier
#13
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H26/10
BBL
Levallois
#38
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A29/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A02/11
BBL
Petrol Olimpija
#23
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H06/11
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
104-99
104
99
+5
H09/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
20-21
24-18
18-22
12-19
28-20
9-23
25-15
18-16
17-21
18-18
33-25
11-14
28-18
27-17
32-17
20-30
20-19
12-18
22-21
13-24
16-17
26-17
24-26
16-24
27-9
15-18
20-17
23-17
17-17
22-22
26-22
23-26
31-18
12-21
17-15
28-28
20-23
22-19
34-29
164.5Avg total
84.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.279.0159.2+1.275%
Season at home (2)84.580.0164.5+4.5100%
Season away (2)76.078.0154.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)84.580.0164.5+4.570%
Last 5 (5)86.481.8168.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.586.5157.0-16.00%
vs Similar (10)78.981.7160.6-2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.072.6160.6+15.489%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +4.2+4.2
VareseUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#1
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/10
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#8
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H13/10
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#23
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A16/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/10
Lega A
Levallois
#38
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H23/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H30/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H03/11
Lega A
Valencia
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A06/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A10/11
Lega A
76.1Avg total
37.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.079.1+1.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.336.577.8+4.875%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.980.5-3.464%-
Last 10 (10)37.039.176.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.244.081.2-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.242.276.4-8.020%-
vs Similar (14)40.736.977.6+3.879%-
vs Weaker (9)43.842.486.2+1.378%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/10
BBL
Bonn
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H12/10
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#39
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H16/10
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A19/10
BBL
Valencia
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A23/10
Eurocup
Trier
#13
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H26/10
BBL
Levallois
#38
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A29/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A02/11
BBL
Petrol Olimpija
#23
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H06/11
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H09/11
BBL
80.7Avg total
40.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.280.3+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.139.282.2+3.965%-
Last 30 away (13)38.539.277.7-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.080.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.683.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.543.583.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (10)41.042.283.2-1.230%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.337.178.3+4.261%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
Ulm wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/13ASassari74-105
06/11/13AValencia64-98
03/11/13HAvellino85-68
30/10/13HLyon-Villeurbanne78-85
27/10/13HVenezia84-72
23/10/13HLevallois77-71
20/10/13AOlimpia Milano72-84
16/10/13APetrol Olimpija59-67
13/10/13HReggiana83-64
08/10/13ASiena66-81
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/13HLudwigsburg104-99
06/11/13HPetrol Olimpija83-80
02/11/13ABayreuth88-78
29/10/13ALevallois78-68
26/10/13HTrier79-84
23/10/13AValencia74-88
19/10/13AMitteldeutscher98-66
16/10/13HLyon-Villeurbanne86-80
12/10/13HBonn74-77
09/10/13As.Oliver Wurzburg81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game69.577.561.5
Allowed / game80.278.082.5
Point differential-10.8-0.5-21.0
Avg total149.8155.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game80.284.576.0
Allowed / game79.080.078.0
Point differential+1.2+4.5-2.0
Avg total159.2164.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cantu550100%84.472.2+12.2
2 Unics Kazan550100%79.867.8+12.0
3 Nizhny Novgorod54180%80.265.8+14.4
4 Gravelines-Dunkerque54180%73.664.8+8.8
5 Bilbao54180%88.680.0+8.6
6 Alba Berlin54180%75.066.8+8.2
7 Karsiyaka54180%80.272.2+8.0
8 Khimik54180%80.672.8+7.8
9 Khimki M.54180%86.481.6+4.8
10 Maccabi Haifa54180%77.472.8+4.6
11 Besiktas54180%67.863.8+4.0
12 Oldenburg54180%82.479.2+3.2
13 Le Mans43175%75.873.5+2.2
14 Ulm43175%80.279.0+1.2
15 Oostende43175%77.277.5-0.2
16 Banvit53260%78.865.8+13.0
17 Valencia53260%82.270.4+11.8
18 Cedevita53260%85.879.4+6.4
19 Radnicki53260%86.484.0+2.4
20 Hapoel M. Jerusalem53260%80.078.2+1.8
21 Panionios53260%72.672.8-0.2
22 Bonn53260%79.680.4-0.8
23 Lyon-Villeurbanne53260%74.675.8-1.2
24 PAOK53260%75.881.0-5.2
25 Sassari42250%93.889.5+4.2
26 Petrol Olimpija42250%67.567.5+0.0
27 Virtus Roma52340%77.076.2+0.8
28 Spartak St. Petersburg52340%74.274.6-0.4
29 Tecnyconta Zaragoza52340%77.277.6-0.4
30 Nymburk52340%80.081.0-1.0
31 CSU Ploiesti52340%81.082.6-1.6
32 Bisons Loimaa52340%69.672.4-2.8
33 Buducnost52340%73.877.2-3.4
34 VEF Riga52340%70.479.2-8.8
35 Levallois41325%72.576.2-3.8
36 Varese41325%69.580.2-10.8
37 Neptunas51420%79.082.0-3.0
38 Academic51420%74.079.0-5.0
39 Chalon/Saone51420%74.680.0-5.4
40 Alba Fehervar51420%76.082.0-6.0
41 Artland51420%75.882.8-7.0
42 Ankara Kolejliler51420%73.280.8-7.6
43 Igokea51420%72.080.0-8.0
44 MZT Skopje51420%71.081.2-10.2
45 Cibona5050%76.682.4-5.8
46 BC Kalev/Cramo5050%65.676.2-10.6
47 Belfius Mons5050%60.877.4-16.6
48 Spirou Charleroi4040%64.584.8-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1822261177
Ulm1720221978
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