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Vasco vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 74-71
22-18 17-16 15-14 20-23
Position#4
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game65.3
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Cerrado
Brazil
Position#17
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game76.3
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#10
L
78-94
78
94
-16
no box
H07/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
67-107
67
107
-40
no box
H16/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A24/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
no box
A26/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
60-72
60
72
-12
46avg 66
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
71-62
71
62
+9
69avg 66
H27/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
74-65
74
65
+9
70avg 66
A30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
68-63
68
63
+5
72avg 66
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
74avg 66
A04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
no box
H10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
10-22
21-21
21-23
17-23
15-26
17-30
18-28
23-23
22-24
12-18
15-20
18-27
25-19
21-30
16-36
18-16
17-18
14-26
11-12
22-23
18-19
13-11
18-9
15-13
27-18
18-13
14-21
15-9
21-19
27-19
5-16
17-14
19-19
24-16
19-13
16-15
15-16
18-13
7-12
150.4Avg total
71.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)69.565.3134.8+4.267%
Season at home (3)65.367.3132.7-2.033%
Season away (3)73.763.3137.0+10.3100%
Last 10 (10)71.479.0150.4-7.640%
Last 5 (5)71.464.0135.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)72.985.8158.7-12.812%
vs Similar (1)92.081.0173.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)73.063.0136.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
68-106
68
106
-38
no box
H06/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
91-98
91
98
-7
no box
A10/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
A13/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
64-95
64
95
-31
no box
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
62-69
62
69
-7
40avg 58
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
58-67
58
67
-9
44avg 58
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 58
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
94-67
94
67
+27
90avg 58
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
no box
H09/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
62avg 58
A13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
19-20
15-31
14-30
26-28
21-19
23-23
21-28
15-14
11-23
17-19
23-22
12-27
9-28
26-25
17-15
12-18
13-21
15-19
22-11
15-14
14-20
17-16
12-17
16-24
15-18
22-16
12-25
27-14
29-17
13-21
25-15
19-19
17-10
14-15
15-21
16-21
13-16
23-20
19-32
155.1Avg total
71.6Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.276.3147.5-5.217%
Season at home (4)72.871.5144.2+1.225%
Season away (2)68.086.0154.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)71.683.5155.1-11.910%
Last 5 (5)73.077.8150.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.993.4171.3-15.59%
vs Similar (6)79.880.5160.3-0.733%
vs Weaker (2)85.575.0160.5+10.550%
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -3.6-3.6
VascoCerrado
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#10
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H07/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H16/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H27/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H10/11
NBB
76.7Avg total
37.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.040.076.0-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.339.573.8-5.333%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.478.1-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.176.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.070.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)35.141.376.4-6.228%-
vs Similar (1)48.032.080.0+16.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)38.533.572.0+5.075%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H06/04
NBB
Pato
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A13/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
21-55
21
55
-34
A15/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H21/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A31/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H07/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/11
NBB
73.5Avg total
33.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.844.182.9-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.441.983.4-0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)35.846.682.4-10.814%-
Last 10 (10)33.939.673.5-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.234.670.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.545.884.3-7.432%-
vs Similar (6)37.742.580.2-4.817%-
vs Weaker (2)46.030.076.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.214.8
52.5%
51.8%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.8
30.6%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.613.2
61.1%
72.6%13.2
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.6
45.6%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.06.8
26.2%
33.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.211.6
60.4%
72.6%11.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LWWWWLLLLL
Cerrado
LLWLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#17
+7.0
Net rating
-6.8
92.7
Offensive rating
94.4
85.7
Defensive rating
101.2
49.1%
Effective FG%
43.1%
41.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
24.0%
Turnover %
18.3%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.6%
3-point %
26.2%
77.1%
Assist %
57.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 94.4Defence85.7 · 101.2Shooting49.1% · 43.1%3-point %30.6% · 26.2%Ball care24.0% · 18.3%Off. rebounds28.1% · 35.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Vasco   ■ Cerrado
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vasco wins
0
Cerrado wins
No previous meetings.
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23HFlamengo65-68 OT
04/11/23ABotafogo79-62
01/11/23ACaxias do Sul68-63
30/10/23AUniao Corinthians74-65
27/10/23HPato71-62
23/10/23HMinas60-72
26/03/19APinheiros80-112
24/03/19ACorinthians Paulista72-85
16/03/19HFlamengo67-107
07/03/19HBrasilia78-94
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/23AFlamengo71-89
09/11/23HCaxias do Sul77-83 OT
07/11/23HUniao Corinthians94-67
31/10/23APato65-83
23/10/23HCorinthians Paulista58-67
21/10/23HPinheiros62-69
15/04/23ASao Paulo64-95
13/04/23ACorinthians Paulista66-78
10/04/23APato91-98
06/04/23HFranca68-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%33%100%
Points / game69.565.373.7
Allowed / game65.367.363.3
Point differential+4.2-2.0+10.3
Avg total134.8132.7137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game71.272.868.0
Allowed / game76.371.586.0
Point differential-5.2+1.2-18.0
Avg total147.5144.2154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas550100%82.268.6+13.6
2 Cearense65183%77.272.2+5.0
3 Franca54180%90.679.4+11.2
4 Flamengo54180%80.672.6+8.0
5 Vasco64267%69.565.3+4.2
6 Caxias do Sul64267%74.073.3+0.7
7 Paulistano64267%68.568.7-0.2
8 Corinthians Paulista53260%78.876.2+2.6
9 Bauru74357%74.474.7-0.3
10 Uniao Corinthians74357%76.676.9-0.3
11 Unifacisa63350%74.271.0+3.2
12 Pato84450%75.276.4-1.1
13 Sao Jose52340%77.074.0+3.0
14 Pinheiros52340%74.277.4-3.2
15 Brasilia62433%79.282.7-3.5
16 Cerrado61517%71.276.3-5.2
17 Sao Paulo61517%75.385.2-9.8
18 Botafogo81712%73.983.2-9.4
19 Mogi6060%69.078.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco2217152074
Cerrado1816142371
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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