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Vasco vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:45
Final 65-68 (OT)
16-15 15-16 18-13 7-12 9-12
Position#4
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game64.8
vs
Position#2
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game75.7
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vasco v Flamengo
27 Dec 2025
VASC80
FLAM102
12 Oct 2024
VASC50
FLAM59
10 Nov 2023
VASC65
FLAM68
16 Mar 2019
VASC67
FLAM107
27 Jan 2018
VASC75
FLAM89
28 Jan 2017
VASC78
FLAM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
L
65-109
65
109
-44
no box
A28/02
NBB
Brasilia
#10
L
78-94
78
94
-16
no box
H07/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
67-107
67
107
-40
no box
H16/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A24/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
no box
A26/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
60-72
60
72
-12
46avg 66
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
71-62
71
62
+9
69avg 66
H27/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
74-65
74
65
+9
70avg 66
A30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
68-63
68
63
+5
72avg 66
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
74avg 66
A04/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-22
23-23
25-26
9-38
26-28
10-22
21-21
21-23
17-23
15-26
17-30
18-28
23-23
22-24
12-18
15-20
18-27
25-19
21-30
16-36
18-16
17-18
14-26
11-12
22-23
18-19
13-11
18-9
15-13
27-18
18-13
14-21
15-9
21-19
27-19
5-16
17-14
19-19
24-16
19-13
154.5Avg total
71.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.464.8135.2+5.680%
Season at home (2)65.567.0132.5-1.550%
Season away (3)73.763.3137.0+10.3100%
Last 10 (10)71.483.1154.5-11.740%
Last 5 (5)70.464.8135.2+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)73.286.5159.8-13.212%
vs Similar (2)79.077.5156.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (4)73.063.0136.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
W
90-58
90
58
+32
no box
H27/04
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A01/05
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
no box
A03/05
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
H06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
no box
H12/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
A15/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
no box
A17/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
56avg 77
H13/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 77
H15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
93avg 77
H07/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
20-17
20-16
25-10
18-23
26-18
21-13
20-22
25-27
18-18
23-20
14-26
31-19
18-18
26-22
11-25
19-25
22-17
17-25
14-13
20-19
14-20
15-26
30-31
27-19
11-20
11-15
20-18
27-26
14-27
18-21
11-13
23-17
15-22
26-12
20-20
18-9
22-24
28-12
24-24
159.1Avg total
80.7Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.075.7157.7+6.367%
Season at home (3)82.075.7157.7+6.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.778.4159.1+2.350%
Last 5 (5)78.879.0157.8-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.076.0141.0-11.00%
vs Similar (3)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.472.9158.3+12.581%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
VascoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A28/02
NBB
Brasilia
#10
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H07/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H16/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H27/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A04/11
NBB
78.1Avg total
37.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.040.376.4-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.340.374.6-5.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.478.1-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.578.1-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.833.671.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.341.877.0-6.529%-
vs Similar (2)40.037.077.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (4)38.533.572.0+5.075%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/04
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A01/05
NBB
Bauru
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A03/05
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H12/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A17/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H13/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H07/11
NBB
81.3Avg total
41.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.979.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.038.779.7+2.362%-
Last 30 away (17)41.237.478.6+3.959%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.081.3+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.678.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (3)37.749.387.0-11.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.936.578.4+5.469%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.214.8
52.5%
51.8%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.88.8
30.6%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.613.2
61.1%
72.6%13.2
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.7 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.722.3
62.6%
51.8%44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.37.7
27.1%
33.9%23.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.3
79.6%
72.6%14.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/3 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
WWWWLLLLLL
Flamengo
WWLLLLWLWW
#4
League position
#2
+7.0
Net rating
+11.3
92.7
Offensive rating
111.2
85.7
Defensive rating
99.9
49.1%
Effective FG%
52.9%
41.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
24.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.6%
3-point %
27.1%
77.1%
Assist %
63.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 111.2Defence85.7 · 99.9Shooting49.1% · 52.9%3-point %30.6% · 27.1%Ball care24.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.1% · 30.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Vasco   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vasco wins
5
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
16/03/19Vasco v Flamengo67-107
10/11/18Flamengo v Vasco90-70
27/01/18Vasco v Flamengo75-89
30/12/17Flamengo v Vasco89-81
11/03/17Flamengo v Vasco94-86
28/01/17Vasco v Flamengo78-77
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23ABotafogo79-62
01/11/23ACaxias do Sul68-63
30/10/23AUniao Corinthians74-65
27/10/23HPato71-62
23/10/23HMinas60-72
26/03/19APinheiros80-112
24/03/19ACorinthians Paulista72-85
16/03/19HFlamengo67-107
07/03/19HBrasilia78-94
28/02/19APaulistano65-109
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23HBotafogo92-69
15/10/23HPato84-71
13/10/23HMinas70-87
17/05/23ASao Paulo69-72
15/05/23ASao Paulo79-96
12/05/23HSao Paulo72-80
06/05/23HBauru86-84
03/05/23ABauru80-91
01/05/23ABauru85-76
27/04/23HBauru90-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game70.465.573.7
Allowed / game64.867.063.3
Point differential+5.6-1.5+10.3
Avg total135.2132.5137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game75.775.7-
Point differential+6.3+6.3-
Avg total157.7157.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca330100%94.076.7+17.3
2 Minas440100%83.068.2+14.8
3 Vasco54180%70.464.8+5.6
4 Cearense54180%77.273.6+3.6
5 Flamengo32167%82.075.7+6.3
6 Paulistano64267%68.568.7-0.2
7 Unifacisa53260%76.069.8+6.2
8 Bauru53260%75.476.0-0.6
9 Uniao Corinthians53260%77.678.8-1.2
10 Corinthians Paulista42250%78.275.8+2.5
11 Brasilia42250%82.082.5-0.5
12 Caxias do Sul42250%71.573.5-2.0
13 Pato73443%75.677.3-1.7
14 Pinheiros31233%71.076.0-5.0
15 Sao Jose41325%76.874.0+2.8
16 Cerrado51420%71.273.8-2.6
17 Sao Paulo51420%74.886.0-11.2
18 Mogi3030%67.078.0-11.0
19 Botafogo6060%70.583.7-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Vasco1615187965
Flamengo151613121268
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