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Vasco vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-62
22-23 18-19 13-11 18-9
Position#4
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game72.0
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Pato
Brazil
Position#12
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game77.5
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vasco v Pato
04 Nov 2025
VASC65
PATO70
14 Feb 2025
VASC98
PATO86
26 Oct 2023
VASC71
PATO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Minas
#8
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
H04/02
NBB
Mogi
#4
L
88-90
88
90
-2
no box
A13/02
NBB
Botafogo
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A23/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
A26/02
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
65-109
65
109
-44
no box
A28/02
NBB
Brasilia
#10
L
78-94
78
94
-16
no box
H07/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
67-107
67
107
-40
no box
H16/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A24/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
no box
A26/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
60-72
60
72
-12
46avg 46
H23/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
26-21
25-28
19-18
22-27
17-21
27-17
22-25
18-9
27-26
10-19
19-25
20-22
15-25
17-14
16-21
8-22
23-23
25-26
9-38
26-28
10-22
21-21
21-23
17-23
15-26
17-30
18-28
23-23
22-24
12-18
15-20
18-27
25-19
21-30
16-36
18-16
17-18
14-26
11-12
165.5Avg total
73.3Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)60.072.0132.0-12.00%
Season at home (1)60.072.0132.0-12.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.392.2165.5-18.90%
Last 5 (5)71.494.0165.4-22.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)75.386.7162.0-11.418%
vs Similar (2)79.077.5156.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
L
55-74
55
74
-19
no box
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
66-68
66
68
-2
no box
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
A31/03
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H07/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H10/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
57-90
57
90
-33
no box
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
66avg 70
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 70
A24/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
11-16
13-23
7-16
14-18
20-19
18-9
14-22
20-18
19-30
26-15
25-19
20-16
29-19
22-12
20-17
28-26
19-21
23-23
28-21
14-11
24-13
18-25
26-21
18-19
13-17
19-28
7-26
14-16
22-34
21-17
21-25
17-23
22-15
12-26
20-20
23-15
17-17
25-22
14-17
155.3Avg total
76.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.077.5152.5-2.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)75.077.5152.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)76.778.6155.3-1.950%
Last 5 (5)73.481.4154.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.885.2161.1-9.422%
vs Similar (8)78.877.0155.8+1.850%
vs Weaker (4)95.092.8187.8+2.275%
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -8.0-8.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -8.0-8.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
VascoPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#8
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/02
NBB
Mogi
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/02
NBB
Botafogo
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A23/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A26/02
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A28/02
NBB
Brasilia
#10
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H07/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H16/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A24/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H23/10
NBB
82.5Avg total
37.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.641.177.7-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.940.074.9-5.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.342.280.5-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.844.782.5-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.283.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)36.441.477.8-5.032%-
vs Similar (2)40.037.077.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A11/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A31/03
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H07/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/10
NBB
77.0Avg total
38.8Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.380.7-2.030%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.138.180.2+4.050%-
Last 30 away (18)37.643.581.1-5.917%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.277.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.072.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.140.179.1-1.033%-
vs Similar (8)37.441.078.4-3.625%-
vs Weaker (4)44.847.892.5-3.025%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 60.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.013.0
48.1%
51.8%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.09.0
25.7%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws13.07.0
53.8%
72.6%7.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.017.0
54.8%
51.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.511.0
32.8%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws11.06.0
54.5%
72.6%6.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/2 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LLLLLLLLLL
Pato
WLLLWWWWLL
#4
League position
#12
-12.9
Net rating
-6.2
77.3
Offensive rating
100.2
90.1
Defensive rating
106.4
42.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
26.1%
Turnover %
18.7%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.17
25.7%
3-point %
32.8%
59.1%
Assist %
69.6%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence77.3 · 100.2Defence90.1 · 106.4Shooting42.7% · 51.9%3-point %25.7% · 32.8%Ball care26.1% · 18.7%Off. rebounds26.2% · 28.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Vasco   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vasco wins
0
Pato wins
No previous meetings.
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23HMinas60-72
26/03/19APinheiros80-112
24/03/19ACorinthians Paulista72-85
16/03/19HFlamengo67-107
07/03/19HBrasilia78-94
28/02/19APaulistano65-109
26/02/19ASao Jose68-82
23/02/19ABotafogo74-79
13/02/19AMogi88-90
04/02/19HMinas81-92
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/23ABotafogo79-71
15/10/23AFlamengo71-84
23/04/23APaulistano78-92
21/04/23APaulistano57-90
18/04/23HPaulistano82-70
10/04/23HCerrado98-91
07/04/23HBrasilia91-64
31/03/23AMinas90-82
22/03/23HUniao Corinthians66-68
11/03/23ABauru55-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game60.060.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential-12.0-12.0-
Avg total132.0132.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game77.5-77.5
Point differential-2.5--2.5
Avg total152.5-152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%94.571.0+23.5
2 Minas330100%85.068.7+16.3
3 Uniao Corinthians110100%82.066.0+16.0
4 Bauru220100%81.068.5+12.5
5 Corinthians Paulista220100%75.565.0+10.5
6 Unifacisa110100%68.062.0+6.0
7 Cearense110100%65.063.0+2.0
8 Brasilia21150%83.080.0+3.0
9 Flamengo21150%77.079.0-2.0
10 Pato21150%75.077.5-2.5
11 Pinheiros21150%72.578.0-5.5
12 Mogi1010%63.065.0-2.0
13 Sao Jose1010%62.068.0-6.0
14 Cerrado2020%60.068.0-8.0
15 Vasco1010%60.072.0-12.0
16 Botafogo2020%73.587.5-14.0
17 Sao Paulo2020%79.093.5-14.5
18 Caxias do Sul1010%66.082.0-16.0
19 Paulistano2020%60.582.0-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco2218131871
Pato231911962
← all games of the day
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