VCU Rams will host NJIT on 11 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Rams as the clear favourite, rating them 100% to win because of their 1-1 season record, 85.0 points per game and 80.5 allowed, and a perfect 1-0 home record with 82.0 points scored and 72.0 allowed. NJIT, with a 1-3 record, 56.2 points per game and 78.5 allowed, has struggled on the road, going 0-3 in its last three away games and scoring only 57.0 points per game while allowing 87.3. The Rams' last five games include a win over UALR 82-72 at home and a close loss to Memphis 88-89 away, while NJIT's recent outing was a 54-52 home win over St. Peters but a 64-101 loss to Rutgers away. In their head-to-head history the Rams have not yet faced NJIT. Pythia projects a 93-60 score for the Rams, a total of 153.4 points, and a 62% chance the total will go over 148.5. The Rams are expected to cover the spread, and the game is likely to stay within the projected range.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 85.0 | 80.5 | 165.5 | +4.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 82.0 | 72.0 | 154.0 | +10.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 88.0 | 89.0 | 177.0 | -1.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 74.5 | 69.7 | 144.2 | +4.8 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.4 | 75.4 | 150.8 | +0.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 64.0 | 78.3 | 142.3 | -14.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar (5) | 79.8 | 77.0 | 156.8 | +2.8 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 82.4 | 70.2 | 152.6 | +12.2 | 95% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 56.2 | 78.5 | 134.8 | -22.2 | 25% |
| Season at home (1) | 54.0 | 52.0 | 106.0 | +2.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 57.0 | 87.3 | 144.3 | -30.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 57.0 | 74.6 | 131.6 | -17.6 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 55.8 | 75.4 | 131.2 | -19.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 62.8 | 77.6 | 140.4 | -14.8 | 32% |
| vs Similar (10) | 68.5 | 66.2 | 134.7 | +2.3 | 70% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 70.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.6 | 33.1 | 72.7 | +6.5 | 83% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 40.3 | 32.9 | 73.2 | +7.4 | 89% | 44% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 38.5 | 33.3 | 71.8 | +5.2 | 75% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.2 | 31.7 | 68.9 | +5.5 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.2 | 35.2 | 71.4 | +1.0 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 30.7 | 32.7 | 63.3 | -2.0 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Similar (5) | 38.6 | 39.4 | 78.0 | -0.8 | 60% | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 41.0 | 31.7 | 72.7 | +9.4 | 95% | 45% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 70.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.6 | 33.6 | 64.2 | -3.0 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 32.8 | 29.5 | 62.3 | +3.2 | 62% | 15% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 28.9 | 36.8 | 65.7 | -7.8 | 24% | 41% |
| Last 10 (10) | 26.9 | 34.5 | 61.4 | -7.6 | 30% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 22.2 | 35.2 | 57.4 | -13.0 | 20% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (19) | 28.9 | 34.7 | 63.7 | -5.8 | 37% | 32% |
| vs Similar (10) | 32.2 | 32.6 | 64.8 | -0.4 | 40% | 30% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams over 87.5 | 71.7% | 1.65 | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | +16.7pp | Lost |
| VCU Rams over 86.5 | 75.1% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +16.6pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 85.5 | 78.1% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +16.4pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 84.5 | 81.0% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +16.3pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -27 | 70.4% | 1.62 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - | +13.3pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -26 | 73.4% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -25 | 76.2% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -25.5 | 74.2% | 1.51 | 1.52 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -24.5 | 76.9% | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -24 | 78.9% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -23.5 | 79.4% | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -26.5 | 71.3% | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.55 | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 71.4% | 1.54 | 1.57 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +11.5pp | Lost |
| VCU Rams -23 | 81.3% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -22.5 | 81.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Won |
| Over 145 | 70.8% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Lost |
| Over 143.5 | 73.5% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.45 | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Lost |
| VCU Rams -22 | 83.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Over 142.5 | 75.5% | 1.42 | 1.45 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Lost |
| Over 144 | 72.9% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +10.4pp | Lost |
| VCU Rams -21.5 | 83.9% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Over 141.5 | 77.4% | 1.37 | 1.40 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Lost |
| Over 142 | 77.0% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Lost |
| Over 140.5 | 79.3% | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Lost |
| Over 143 | 75.0% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Lost |
| VCU Rams -18.5 | 89.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 81.5 | 88.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Over 141 | 78.9% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Lost |
| VCU Rams over 79.5 | 91.6% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| VCU Rams (regulation) | 99.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| NJIT over 53.5 | 75.5% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Lost |
| VCU Rams over 82.5 | 86.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 75.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 77.5 | 94.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Over 138.5 | 82.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Lost |
| VCU Rams over 73.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 69.5 | 99.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 80.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 76.5 | 95.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 74.5 | 97.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 71.5 | 98.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 78.5 | 93.0% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -13.5 | 94.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| VCU Rams over 72.5 | 98.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| VCU Rams -8.5 | 97.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp | Won |
| VCU Rams win | 99.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| NJIT over 52.5 | 78.6% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| Over 128.5 | 94.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| NJIT over 50.5 | 84.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Lost |
| Over 123.5 | 97.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Over 133.5 | 89.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| NJIT over 54.5 | 72.3% | 1.33 | 1.40 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Lost |
| NJIT over 44.5 | 94.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| NJIT over 46.5 | 91.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| NJIT over 48.5 | 88.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 89.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.4pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 82.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -7.2pp | Won |
| NJIT under 67.5 | 76.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -9.7pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 73.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -12.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Memphis | 88-89 |
| 03/11/26 | H | UALR | 82-72 |
| 22/03/26 | A | Illinois | 55-76 |
| 19/03/26 | A | North Carolina | 82-78 OT |
| 15/03/26 | H | Dayton | 70-62 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Saint Josephs Hawks | 77-64 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Duquesne | 71-66 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Dayton | 68-62 |
| 04/03/26 | H | George Mason | 70-65 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Fordham | 82-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | Rutgers | 64-101 |
| 08/11/26 | H | St. Peters | 54-52 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Iona | 49-72 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Dayton | 58-89 |
| 10/03/26 | A | Vermont | 54-63 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Maine Black Bears | 60-58 |
| 03/03/26 | H | UMBC Retrievers | 52-91 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Bryant University | 52-69 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Vermont | 64-70 |
| 20/02/26 | H | Albany Great Danes | 63-81 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WL | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 85.0 | 82.0 | 88.0 |
| Allowed / game | 80.5 | 72.0 | 89.0 |
| Point differential | +4.5 | +10.0 | -1.0 |
| Avg total | 165.5 | 154.0 | 177.0 |
| Over 149.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWL | 25% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 25% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 56.2 | 54.0 | 57.0 |
| Allowed / game | 78.5 | 52.0 | 87.3 |
| Point differential | -22.2 | +2.0 | -30.3 |
| Avg total | 134.8 | 106.0 | 144.3 |
| Over 149.5 | 25% | 0% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.3 | 58.7 | +36.7 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.3 | 71.3 | +31.0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 78.3 | 50.0 | +28.3 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 86.0 | 63.3 | +22.7 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 75.0 | 52.5 | +22.5 | |
| 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 75.3 | 60.7 | +14.7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 77.3 | 70.0 | +7.3 | |
| 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 72.7 | 66.7 | +6.0 | |
| 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.0 | 70.7 | +11.3 | |
| 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 75.3 | 76.7 | -1.3 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 79.5 | 64.0 | +15.5 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 85.0 | 80.5 | +4.5 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.7 | 79.3 | +5.3 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 84.7 | -17.3 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 59.7 | +25.3 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 64.3 | 68.0 | -3.7 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.0 | 67.3 | +2.7 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 75.0 | 77.0 | -2.0 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 62.5 | 71.8 | -9.2 | |
| 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 64.2 | 73.5 | -9.2 | |
| 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 56.2 | 78.5 | -22.2 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 44 | 87 | |
| 28 | 21 | 49 |
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