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Crailsheim Merlins vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-81
19-23 20-12 25-23 21-23
Position#17
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Crailsheim Merlins 🏆
Germany
vs
Rostock
Germany
Position#15
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GermanyBBLRound 1· Arena Hohenlohe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Rostock
14 Sep 2024
CME79
ROS77
29 Sep 2023
CME85
ROS81
23 Dec 2022
CME91
ROS103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
93-88
93
88
+5
91avg 77
H01/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
75avg 77
H05/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
74avg 77
A08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
85-86
85
86
-1
79avg 77
H15/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
53avg 77
H23/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
66-77
66
77
-11
58avg 77
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
101-92
101
92
+9
99avg 77
H29/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 77
H05/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 77
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 77
A23/09
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
21-23
23-27
19-17
14-20
22-24
14-17
28-12
18-12
19-29
20-21
20-20
24-20
25-16
18-31
18-19
12-13
19-15
24-22
14-28
18-17
12-21
16-15
20-24
26-18
29-18
26-28
20-28
17-23
27-24
18-20
22-16
20-17
19-17
12-28
18-17
17-26
18-16
14-20
24-17
161.2Avg total
79.5Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.581.7161.2-2.240%
Last 5 (5)78.682.0160.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)84.190.3174.4-6.220%
vs Similar (18)85.287.2172.4-2.139%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 75
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 75
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 75
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 75
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-104
79
104
-25
64avg 75
A23/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
76-108
76
108
-32
67avg 75
A26/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-70
99
70
+29
97avg 75
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
86-116
86
116
-30
76avg 75
A05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
56avg 75
A23/09
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
20-23
16-14
20-20
16-24
22-18
18-33
21-24
29-17
14-16
10-27
22-18
31-24
24-24
13-18
26-19
25-22
21-29
15-28
18-25
13-25
16-32
28-24
19-27
23-12
22-19
33-20
21-19
29-29
17-22
18-30
22-35
14-12
28-26
17-27
20-14
20-24
19-18
15-21
22-21
172.5Avg total
82.5Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.590.0172.5-7.540%
Last 5 (5)85.893.0178.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.992.2171.1-13.223%
vs Similar (14)84.186.0170.1-1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)95.576.5172.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Crailsheim MerlinsRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H01/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H15/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H29/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/09
German Cup
79.7Avg total
40.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.984.6-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.841.884.6+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)40.743.984.6-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.079.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.480.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.343.783.0-4.430%-
vs Similar (18)43.742.586.2+1.256%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A23/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A26/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A23/09
German Cup
84.6Avg total
41.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.384.5-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.641.381.9-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)41.645.186.7-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.884.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.884.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.947.587.4-7.531%-
vs Similar (14)42.440.983.3+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)42.033.575.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.9
52.5%
54.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.6
36.0%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.616.1
74.5%
76.0%16.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.1
48.4%
54.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.0
39.8%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.913.3
78.7%
76.0%13.3
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWWLLLLWW
Rostock
LWLWLLWLLW
#17
League position
#15
-2.2
Net rating
-12.8
107.1
Offensive rating
106.6
109.3
Defensive rating
119.4
53.1%
Effective FG%
53.1%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
20.3%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.0%
3-point %
39.8%
58.9%
Assist %
61.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 106.6Defence109.3 · 119.4Shooting53.1% · 53.1%3-point %36.0% · 39.8%Ball care19.7% · 20.3%Off. rebounds27.2% · 30.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
2
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
12/03/23Rostock v Crailsheim Merlins86-79
23/12/22Crailsheim Merlins v Rostock91-103
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23AGiessen73-79
07/05/23ASyntainics MBC69-79
05/05/23HFrankfurt84-83
29/04/23HBamberg101-92
25/04/23AHamburg66-77
23/04/23HBayern69-78
15/04/23HWurzburg85-86
08/04/23ALudwigsburg77-82
05/04/23HBayreuth78-73
01/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig93-88
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23AVechta76-84
07/05/23HLudwigsburg92-87 OT
05/05/23AUlm86-116
30/04/23HBayreuth99-70
26/04/23ABayern76-108
23/04/23AAlba Berlin79-104
18/04/23HGottingen94-85
14/04/23AHeidelberg75-78
09/04/23HFrankfurt77-99
02/04/23AChemnitz71-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vechta110100%101.079.0+22.0
2 Alba Berlin110100%90.081.0+9.0
3 Ulm110100%90.085.0+5.0
4 Chemnitz1010%85.090.0-5.0
5 Heidelberg1010%81.090.0-9.0
6 Bamberg1010%79.0101.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1920252185
Rostock2312232381
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