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Alba Berlin vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 110-75
30-14 29-26 30-18 21-17
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game81.0
Alba Berlin 🏆
Germany
vs
Crailsheim Merlins
Germany
Position#17
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game81.0
GermanyBBLRound 2· Uber Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Crailsheim Merlins
02 Oct 2023
ABE110
CME75
28 Jan 2023
ABE100
CME77
13 Feb 2022
ABE106
CME74
28 Feb 2021
ABE100
CME62
27 Jan 2020
ABE98
CME82
12 Oct 2018
ABE115
CME76
16 Apr 2016
ABE90
CME68
24 Apr 2015
ABE92
CME71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
85-78
85
78
+7
93avg 82
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
108avg 82
H23/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 82
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 82
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
64-88
64
88
-24
58avg 82
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 82
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
74avg 82
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-83
81
83
-2
81avg 82
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
96avg 82
A28/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
18-24
16-17
24-16
22-25
29-21
28-15
25-18
12-17
26-29
15-19
24-19
20-12
28-21
22-25
21-21
20-17
27-17
22-19
14-19
17-19
27-23
10-16
10-30
21-20
18-27
29-14
23-16
27-20
19-33
23-22
12-18
22-26
29-24
16-18
14-15
21-17
23-22
26-19
20-23
166.1Avg total
84.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.081.0171.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)90.081.0171.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.781.4166.1+3.360%
Last 5 (5)81.484.4165.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.886.0163.8-8.220%
vs Similar (7)78.177.1155.3+1.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.075.6160.6+9.483%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
75avg 78
H05/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
74avg 78
A08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
85-86
85
86
-1
79avg 78
H15/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
53avg 78
H23/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
66-77
66
77
-11
58avg 78
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
101-92
101
92
+9
99avg 78
H29/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 78
H05/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 78
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 78
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#15
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 78
H29/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
22-24
14-17
28-12
18-12
19-29
20-21
20-20
24-20
25-16
18-31
18-19
12-13
19-15
24-22
14-28
18-17
12-21
16-15
20-24
26-18
29-18
26-28
20-28
17-23
27-24
18-20
22-16
20-17
19-17
12-28
18-17
17-26
18-16
14-20
24-17
19-23
20-12
25-23
21-23
159.7Avg total
78.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.081.0166.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)85.081.0166.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.781.0159.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)82.482.8165.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)84.289.5173.6-5.327%
vs Similar (17)84.886.3171.1-1.541%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
Alba BerlinCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H23/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/09
BBL
88.8Avg total
45.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.382.5+2.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.140.582.6+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)42.440.182.4+2.375%-
Last 10 (10)45.343.588.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.291.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.841.284.0+1.680%-
vs Similar (7)38.140.678.7-2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.739.983.6+3.872%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H15/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A25/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H29/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/09
BBL
77.6Avg total
39.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.584.2-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.940.983.8+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.743.984.6-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.177.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.881.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.342.982.2-3.636%-
vs Similar (17)44.142.286.2+1.959%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.520.2
60.3%
54.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.8
35.3%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.014.1
78.3%
76.0%14.1
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.0
51.2%
54.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.9
36.1%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.814.2
71.7%
76.0%14.2
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLWLWWLWW
Crailsheim Merlins
WLLWWLLLLW
#2
League position
#17
+4.7
Net rating
-2.6
111.7
Offensive rating
105.7
107.0
Defensive rating
108.3
56.9%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
24.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
39.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.3%
3-point %
36.1%
69.3%
Assist %
58.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 105.7Defence107.0 · 108.3Shooting56.9% · 52.6%3-point %35.3% · 36.1%Ball care24.4% · 19.4%Off. rebounds39.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Alba Berlin wins
1
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateGameScore
14/02/23Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin85-91
28/01/23Alba Berlin v Crailsheim Merlins100-77
20/04/22Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin70-78
20/02/22Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin76-86
13/02/22Alba Berlin v Crailsheim Merlins106-74
28/02/21Alba Berlin v Crailsheim Merlins100-62
09/02/21Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin77-101
08/03/20Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin91-82
27/01/20Alba Berlin v Crailsheim Merlins98-82
06/04/19Crailsheim Merlins v Alba Berlin69-105
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/23AHeidelberg90-81
24/05/23AUlm81-83
19/05/23HUlm81-93
17/05/23AUlm91-77
14/05/23HUlm64-88
04/05/23ABayreuth83-72
30/04/23HUlm91-79
25/04/23ABonn77-84
23/04/23HRostock104-79
19/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig85-78
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23HRostock85-81
23/09/23AGiessen73-79
07/05/23ASyntainics MBC69-79
05/05/23HFrankfurt84-83
29/04/23HBamberg101-92
25/04/23AHamburg66-77
23/04/23HBayern69-78
15/04/23HWurzburg85-86
08/04/23ALudwigsburg77-82
05/04/23HBayreuth78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game90.0-90.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total171.0-171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total166.0166.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wurzburg110100%88.058.0+30.0
2 Vechta220100%92.579.0+13.5
3 Ulm220100%94.584.5+10.0
4 Alba Berlin110100%90.081.0+9.0
5 Bayern110100%96.087.0+9.0
6 Basketball Braunschweig220100%88.081.5+6.5
7 Crailsheim Merlins110100%85.081.0+4.0
8 Rostock21150%101.599.0+2.5
9 Hamburg21150%72.583.5-11.0
10 Bonn1010%79.084.0-5.0
11 Chemnitz1010%85.090.0-5.0
12 Oldenburg1010%86.091.0-5.0
13 Ludwigsburg1010%79.087.0-8.0
14 Syntainics MBC2020%82.090.5-8.5
15 Heidelberg2020%97.0106.0-9.0
16 Tubingen1010%84.099.0-15.0
17 Bamberg1010%79.0101.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin30293021110
Crailsheim Merlins1426181775
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