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VEF Riga vs Absheron Lions Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 11:15
Final 105-88
30-27 19-21 35-23 21-17
Position#22
Record-
FormWWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#51
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions League· Xiaomi Arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Absheron Lions winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#10
W
107-62
107
62
+45
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H10/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H18/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A22/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
34-17
25-14
24-8
14-11
24-19
16-22
22-15
17-13
30-18
24-18
15-25
19-18
23-13
11-10
24-13
18-23
24-11
15-23
12-15
29-23
19-27
19-5
23-16
21-18
20-20
23-18
15-11
26-16
22-23
18-33
17-25
15-28
29-13
20-20
23-28
19-22
22-18
22-10
24-22
156.6Avg total
84.1Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.172.5156.6+11.670%
Last 5 (5)85.279.2164.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.887.8162.6-13.020%
vs Similar (9)83.785.1168.8-1.444%
vs Weaker (15)89.471.8161.2+17.693%
Absheron LionsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#35
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
96-99
96
99
-3
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
L
86-104
86
104
-18
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
101-71
101
71
+30
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
W
95-86
95
86
+9
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
29-20
22-15
12-27
17-20
13-19
18-24
12-14
21-32
22-19
17-22
25-20
20-25
29-23
27-25
20-26
24-20
19-27
17-33
26-24
33-15
19-23
21-16
28-17
18-25
21-26
21-20
18-27
20-28
27-15
22-25
26-18
173.9Avg total
86.2Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (8)86.287.6173.9-1.438%
Last 5 (5)91.291.6182.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)88.896.8185.5-8.025%
vs Weaker (4)83.878.5162.2+5.250%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
VEF RigaAbsheron Lions
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#10
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H10/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H18/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A22/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
82.3Avg total
44.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.138.883.9+6.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.138.281.2+4.969%-
Last 30 away (17)46.739.386.0+7.459%-
Last 10 (10)44.937.482.3+7.590%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.686.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.042.483.4-1.420%-
vs Similar (9)44.441.185.6+3.378%-
vs Weaker (15)46.137.383.4+8.767%-
Absheron LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anorthosis
#35
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#35
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Neftchi IK
#17
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
88.2Avg total
44.8Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)44.843.588.2+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (4)47.544.291.8+3.250%-
Last 30 away (4)42.042.884.8-0.850%-
Last 10 (8)44.843.588.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.491.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)44.547.291.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (4)45.039.884.8+5.250%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.425.5
58.8%
53.1%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.85.9
25.9%
35.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws26.315.0
57.0%
72.1%15.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Absheron Lionstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Absheron Lions: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.5 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.924.8
54.0%
53.1%49.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.3
32.2%
35.3%21.8
🏀 Free throws18.614.0
75.2%
72.1%14.0
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 14 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WLLWWLWWWW
Absheron Lions
WLWLLLLW
#22
League position
#51
+12.5
Net rating
-1.7
93.5
Offensive rating
107.1
81.0
Defensive rating
108.8
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.1%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.27
25.9%
3-point %
32.2%
59.6%
Assist %
52.7%
70%
Form (last 10/8)
38%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 107.1Defence81.0 · 108.8Shooting51.9% · 52.1%3-point %25.9% · 32.2%Ball care14.5% · 16.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.27Form (last 10/8)70% · 38%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Absheron Lions
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
VEF Riga wins
0
Absheron Lions wins
No previous meetings.
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/26HBC Kalev/Cramo87-72
03/04/26HValmiera Glass Via87-89
01/04/26AValmiera Glass Via83-97
29/03/26HValmiera Glass Via79-67
24/03/26HVentspils90-71
22/03/26AVentspils69-72
18/03/26HVentspils77-54
14/03/26ABK Liepaja86-74
10/03/26HTartu Ulikool76-67
08/03/26AViimsi107-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25ANeftchi IK95-86
12/11/25ATrefl Sopot78-98
05/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo101-71
29/10/25HNeftchi IK86-104
22/10/25HTrefl Sopot96-99
16/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo85-93
01/10/25AAnorthosis60-77
24/09/25HAnorthosis89-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Champions League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Absheron Lions
Champions League 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga30193521105
Absheron Lions2721231788
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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