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VEF Riga vs Valmiera Glass Via Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 16 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Xiaomi Arena
Other2026
Meetings · VEF Riga v Valmiera Glass Via
16 Mar 2027
VRI v VALM
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
VRI87
VALM89
29 Mar 2026
VRI79
VALM67
17 Jan 2026
VRI70
VALM88
06 Dec 2025
VRI85
VALM74
01 May 2025
VRI110
VALM95
25 Apr 2025
VRI97
VALM81
31 Jan 2025
VRI92
VALM73
10 Feb 2024
VRI84
VALM71
21 Oct 2022
VRI89
VALM53
30 Dec 2021
VRI73
VALM55
23 Feb 2021
VRI104
VALM69
22 Jan 2021
VRI94
VALM57
10 Oct 2020
VRI105
VALM90
13 Mar 2019
VRI92
VALM61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valmiera Glass Via win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#11
W
92-73
92
73
+19
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#12
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#27
W
106-83
106
83
+23
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#7
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#45
W
110-94
110
94
+16
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#10
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#8
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
97-89
97
89
+8
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
23-23
17-17
23-13
33-21
21-10
17-10
19-19
17-12
28-20
27-11
10-12
27-27
26-14
28-17
25-25
18-15
21-18
28-19
23-18
24-26
26-30
30-16
30-22
17-19
19-15
29-17
24-21
23-20
17-20
22-25
22-27
22-16
20-17
27-27
28-29
26-20
21-20
25-18
16-33
170.7Avg total
92.8Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.069.3161.3+22.7100%
Season at home (4)91.263.2154.5+28.0100%
Season away (3)93.077.3170.3+15.7100%
Last 10 (10)92.877.9170.7+14.980%
Last 5 (5)93.687.6181.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.088.0158.0-18.00%
vs Similar (8)85.090.0175.0-5.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.772.0162.7+18.895%
This opponent (Valmiera Glass Via) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valmiera Glass ViaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
95-56
95
56
+39
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
W
106-82
106
82
+24
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Bashkimi
#35
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#26
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
77-109
77
109
-32
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#1
L
89-97
89
97
-8
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Korfez Basket
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
23-21
24-19
22-16
14-15
24-14
22-21
35-6
38-30
22-17
18-16
28-19
24-27
16-13
19-24
18-15
18-20
16-27
27-17
30-23
21-17
18-15
17-20
26-22
21-12
18-19
24-14
18-14
26-31
19-26
19-28
13-24
16-22
17-20
27-27
29-28
18-19
22-21
21-27
24-20
168.7Avg total
88.1Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)91.775.7167.4+16.086%
Season at home (4)90.872.0162.8+18.875%
Season away (3)93.080.7173.7+12.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.180.6168.7+7.560%
Last 5 (5)82.885.2168.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.492.8176.2-9.420%
vs Similar (6)89.882.5172.3+7.367%
vs Weaker (19)95.779.8175.5+15.895%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +5.6+5.6
VEF RigaValmiera Glass Via
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#11
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#27
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#45
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#10
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Mykonos
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
84.1Avg total
45.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.939.185.1+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.538.884.3+6.787%-
Last 30 away (15)46.439.585.9+6.967%-
Last 10 (10)45.838.384.1+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.683.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.045.087.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (8)43.240.683.9+2.675%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.037.884.8+9.280%-
This opponent (Valmiera Glass Via) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valmiera Glass ViaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Bashkimi
#35
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Viimsi
#13
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#26
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Korfez Basket
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
82.6Avg total
42.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.542.287.7+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.440.085.4+5.471%-
Last 30 away (16)45.744.189.8+1.644%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.682.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.479.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.044.884.8-4.820%-
vs Similar (6)42.043.885.8-1.817%-
vs Weaker (19)48.140.989.1+7.279%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.423.7
58.7%
52.7%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.8
31.9%
31.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.618.9
73.8%
67.8%18.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valmiera Glass Viatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valmiera Glass Via: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.0
53.3%
52.7%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.2
35.7%
31.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
67.8%15.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
LWLWWWWWWW
Valmiera Glass Via
LLLWWWLWWW
#1
League position
#3
+18.5
Net rating
+8.4
104.6
Offensive rating
98.8
86.1
Defensive rating
90.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
11.7%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.9%
3-point %
35.7%
74.5%
Assist %
63.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 98.8Defence86.1 · 90.4Shooting54.3% · 53.4%3-point %31.9% · 35.7%Ball care11.7% · 14.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Valmiera Glass Via
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
VEF Riga wins
5
Valmiera Glass Via wins
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HMykonos88-91
24/10/26AValmiera Glass Via97-89
21/10/26ACSM Oradea84-92
17/10/26HParnu89-72
14/10/26ANeftchi IK110-94
10/10/26ATal Tech90-70
07/10/26HLok. Plovdiv106-83
03/10/26HBK Liepaja82-55
29/09/26HKeila KK90-60
26/09/26ABK Ogre92-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HKorfez Basket85-87
24/10/26HVEF Riga89-97
20/10/26AChalon/Saone77-109
17/10/26HLatvijas Universitate81-59
14/10/26HBC Kalev/Cramo82-74
11/10/26AViimsi91-87
07/10/26ABashkimi77-79
03/10/26AKeila KK106-82
29/09/26HKeila Coolbet95-56
25/09/26HVentspils98-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.091.293.0
Allowed / game69.363.277.3
Point differential+22.7+28.0+15.7
Avg total161.3154.5170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valmiera Glass Via
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game91.790.893.0
Allowed / game75.772.080.7
Point differential+16.0+18.8+12.3
Avg total167.4162.8173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga770100%92.069.3+22.7
2 Rigas Zelli660100%94.273.7+20.5
3 Valmiera Glass Via76186%91.775.7+16.0
4 Ventspils86275%87.081.1+5.9
5 Tartu Ulikool64267%81.774.0+7.7
6 BC Kalev/Cramo64267%83.779.3+4.3
7 Tal Tech85362%74.073.5+0.5
8 Rigas Juniori63350%84.288.3-4.2
9 Keila KK73443%73.984.3-10.4
10 Parnu52340%77.478.6-1.2
11 BK Ogre62433%84.387.7-3.3
12 BK Liepaja61517%74.882.7-7.8
13 Viimsi81712%73.482.8-9.4
14 Latvijas Universitate91811%76.991.9-15.0
15 Keila Coolbet7070%70.189.6-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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