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VEF Riga vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 89-72
17-19 19-15 29-17 24-21
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game64.8
VEF Riga 🏆
vs
Parnu
Position#7
Record1-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Xiaomi Arena
Other2026
Meetings · VEF Riga v Parnu
17 Oct 2026
VRI89
PAR72
13 Dec 2025
VRI90
PAR80
02 Nov 2024
VRI75
PAR70
11 Oct 2023
VRI80
PAR64
14 Jan 2023
VRI85
PAR41
16 Oct 2021
VRI92
PAR95
26 Dec 2018
VRI91
PAR56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
84avg 82
H07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Absheron Lions
#51
W
105-88
105
88
+17
99avg 82
H14/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
L
95-102
95
102
-7
84avg 82
H17/09
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
104-66
104
66
+38
108avg 82
H23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#9
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 82
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#11
W
90-60
90
60
+30
93avg 82
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
W
82-55
82
55
+27
84avg 82
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
W
106-83
106
83
+23
105avg 82
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
90-70
90
70
+20
84avg 82
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
W
110-94
110
94
+16
117avg 82
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
22-18
22-10
24-22
30-27
19-21
35-23
21-17
24-25
19-15
26-22
26-40
26-21
33-20
26-13
19-12
29-20
23-23
17-17
23-13
33-21
21-10
17-10
19-19
17-12
28-20
27-11
10-12
27-27
26-14
28-17
25-25
18-15
21-18
28-19
23-18
24-26
26-30
30-16
30-22
172.4Avg total
96.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.664.8156.4+26.8100%
Season at home (3)92.060.3152.3+31.7100%
Season away (2)91.071.5162.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)96.176.3172.4+19.890%
Last 5 (5)95.672.4168.0+23.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.598.5181.0-16.00%
vs Similar (7)85.189.9175.0-4.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)91.270.5161.7+20.795%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#10
W
88-75
88
75
+13
91avg 67
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
56avg 67
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
70avg 67
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 67
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#10
W
76-73
76
73
+3
61avg 67
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 67
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
L
78-79
78
79
-1
63avg 67
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#22
L
70-88
70
88
-18
68avg 67
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#11
L
70-75
70
75
-5
60avg 67
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nancy
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
54avg 67
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
26-23
25-20
10-12
21-12
20-25
13-22
17-21
20-16
15-13
20-23
19-22
13-20
16-22
19-18
19-20
16-18
23-18
18-16
19-21
19-19
21-17
17-13
16-12
21-17
17-27
19-19
21-16
11-26
19-19
18-25
22-18
24-21
12-19
11-20
23-15
18-28
13-15
10-12
20-29
152.6Avg total
74.2Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.775.7150.3-1.033%
Season at home (2)73.074.0147.0-1.050%
Season away (1)78.079.0157.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)74.278.4152.6-4.230%
Last 5 (5)70.477.4147.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.284.4157.6-11.27%
vs Similar (6)76.276.7152.8-0.533%
vs Weaker (10)84.573.7158.2+10.890%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +9.8+9.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +9.8+9.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
VEF RigaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Absheron Lions
#51
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H14/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/09
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
89.0Avg total
48.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.239.186.3+8.277%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.538.384.8+8.286%-
Last 30 away (16)47.939.887.6+8.169%-
Last 10 (10)48.540.589.0+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)48.238.686.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.547.591.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (7)44.041.485.4+2.686%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)48.237.785.9+10.479%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Neftchi IK
#39
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#22
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keila KK
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nancy
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
76.7Avg total
37.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.078.9-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.339.978.2-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.179.6-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.576.7-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.041.676.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.141.277.3-5.129%-
vs Similar (6)35.838.874.7-3.033%-
vs Weaker (10)44.738.983.6+5.880%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 96.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.725.4
62.4%
52.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.2
31.8%
31.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.517.6
71.8%
68.3%17.6
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.0
49.3%
52.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.2
26.1%
31.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.412.6
64.9%
68.3%12.6
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WWWWWWWLWW
Parnu
LLLLWWLLLW
#2
League position
#7
+24.0
Net rating
-4.8
108.3
Offensive rating
84.6
84.3
Defensive rating
89.4
56.3%
Effective FG%
45.2%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
11.8%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.8%
3-point %
26.1%
69.1%
Assist %
65.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 84.6Defence84.3 · 89.4Shooting56.3% · 45.2%3-point %31.8% · 26.1%Ball care11.8% · 14.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
VEF Riga wins
1
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
11/02/26Parnu v VEF Riga62-72
13/12/25VEF Riga v Parnu90-80
01/03/25Parnu v VEF Riga83-96
02/11/24VEF Riga v Parnu75-70
13/01/24Parnu v VEF Riga78-88
11/10/23VEF Riga v Parnu80-64
14/01/23VEF Riga v Parnu85-41
05/11/22Parnu v VEF Riga63-71
20/11/21Parnu v VEF Riga77-80
16/10/21VEF Riga v Parnu92-95
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26ANeftchi IK110-94
10/10/26ATal Tech90-70
07/10/26HLok. Plovdiv106-83
03/10/26HBK Liepaja82-55
29/09/26HKeila KK90-60
26/09/26ABK Ogre92-73
23/09/26HLatvijas Universitate104-66
17/09/26HDziki Warszawa95-102
14/09/26HAbsheron Lions105-88
07/04/26HBC Kalev/Cramo87-72
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26HNancy61-84
10/10/26HKeila KK70-75
07/10/26AKeravnos70-88
03/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo78-79
30/09/26HNeftchi IK73-61
26/09/26HBK Liepaja76-73
23/09/26ANeftchi IK67-80
23/03/26HTartu Ulikool88-89 OT
20/03/26ATartu Ulikool71-80
11/03/26HViimsi88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.692.091.0
Allowed / game64.860.371.5
Point differential+26.8+31.7+19.5
Avg total156.4152.3162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game74.773.078.0
Allowed / game75.774.079.0
Point differential-1.0-1.0-1.0
Avg total150.3147.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga550100%91.664.8+26.8
2 Valmiera Glass Via550100%94.474.8+19.6
3 Rigas Zelli440100%94.275.8+18.5
4 Ventspils64267%88.283.5+4.7
5 Tal Tech53260%78.277.2+1.0
6 Tartu Ulikool42250%84.083.0+1.0
7 Rigas Juniori42250%84.287.0-2.8
8 BK Ogre42250%85.088.0-3.0
9 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.080.0-4.0
10 Parnu31233%74.775.7-1.0
11 Keila KK31233%72.388.7-16.3
12 BK Liepaja51420%76.082.2-6.2
13 Latvijas Universitate51420%82.297.8-15.6
14 Viimsi5050%73.484.6-11.2
15 Keila Coolbet4040%68.089.8-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga1719292489
Parnu1915172172
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