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Neftchi IK vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 94-110
26-24 30-26 16-30 22-30
Position#45
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game72.7
Neftchi IK
vs
VEF Riga 🏆
Position#11
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Baku Sports Palace
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neftchi IK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neftchi IKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIK
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 73
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
95-84 OT
95
84
+11
94avg 73
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
104-86
104
86
+18
103avg 73
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 73
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 73
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
L
86-95
86
95
-9
73avg 73
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#37
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 73
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#37
L
61-73
61
73
-12
54avg 73
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#3
L
58-78
58
78
-20
45avg 73
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
20-20
13-21
16-24
16-20
19-22
32-19
14-20
20-24
27-19
33-17
24-26
26-26
21-23
30-22
15-16
22-23
17-19
17-20
26-26
28-20
15-27
25-22
18-26
20-13
22-16
18-19
20-19
19-19
17-21
13-17
12-16
19-25
21-9
4-23
14-21
163.4Avg total
80.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.372.7139.0-6.333%
Season at home (1)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)59.575.5135.0-16.00%
Last 10 (9)80.183.3163.4-3.244%
Last 5 (5)73.480.2153.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)58.078.0136.0-20.00%
vs Similar (6)81.083.3164.3-2.350%
vs Weaker (2)88.586.0174.5+2.550%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
75avg 81
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
84avg 81
H07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Absheron Lions
#51
W
105-88
105
88
+17
99avg 81
H14/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#5
L
95-102
95
102
-7
84avg 81
H17/09
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
104-66
104
66
+38
108avg 81
H23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#9
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 81
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#11
W
90-60
90
60
+30
93avg 81
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
W
82-55
82
55
+27
84avg 81
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#23
W
106-83
106
83
+23
105avg 81
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
90-70
90
70
+20
84avg 81
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
29-13
20-20
23-28
19-22
22-18
22-10
24-22
30-27
19-21
35-23
21-17
24-25
19-15
26-22
26-40
26-21
33-20
26-13
19-12
29-20
23-23
17-17
23-13
33-21
21-10
17-10
19-19
17-12
28-20
27-11
10-12
27-27
26-14
28-17
25-25
18-15
21-18
28-19
23-18
169.6Avg total
93.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)106.083.0189.0+23.0100%
Season at home (1)106.083.0189.0+23.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.875.8169.6+18.080%
Last 5 (5)92.068.2160.2+23.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.598.5181.0-16.00%
vs Similar (8)84.188.6172.8-4.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.269.2159.4+20.994%
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +8.4+8.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +8.4+8.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Neftchi IKVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neftchi IKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#37
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#37
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
81.8Avg total
40.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)40.341.481.8-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (4)41.841.883.5+0.025%-
Last 30 away (5)39.241.280.4-2.040%-
Last 10 (9)40.341.481.8-1.133%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.478.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)40.034.074.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (6)41.542.584.0-1.033%-
vs Weaker (2)37.042.079.0-5.00%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Absheron Lions
#51
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H14/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/09
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#11
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Lok. Plovdiv
#23
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tal Tech
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
86.9Avg total
47.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.938.585.4+8.377%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.538.384.8+8.286%-
Last 30 away (16)47.238.885.9+8.469%-
Last 10 (10)47.939.086.9+8.9100%-
Last 5 (5)48.636.084.6+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.547.591.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (8)43.441.284.6+2.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)48.136.784.8+11.383%-
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neftchi IKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neftchi IK: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.2
52.4%
53.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.7
34.1%
32.5%29.0
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
72.8%14.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.524.7
61.0%
53.4%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.1
30.7%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.117.0
70.5%
72.8%17.0
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neftchi IK
LLWLLWWWL
VEF Riga
WWWWWWLWWL
#45
League position
#11
-4.0
Net rating
+22.0
99.3
Offensive rating
105.9
103.3
Defensive rating
83.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
54.7%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
12.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.1%
3-point %
30.7%
59.8%
Assist %
65.4%
44%
Form (last 9/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 105.9Defence103.3 · 83.9Shooting51.8% · 54.7%3-point %34.1% · 30.7%Ball care16.5% · 12.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 9/10)44% · 80%
■ Neftchi IK   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neftchi IK wins
0
VEF Riga wins
No previous meetings.
Neftchi IKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/26AMykonos58-78
30/09/26AParnu61-73
23/09/26HParnu80-67
19/11/25HAbsheron Lions86-95
12/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo82-88
05/11/25HTrefl Sopot92-87
29/10/25AAbsheron Lions104-86
21/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo95-84 OT
15/10/25ATrefl Sopot63-92
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ATal Tech90-70
07/10/26HLok. Plovdiv106-83
03/10/26HBK Liepaja82-55
29/09/26HKeila KK90-60
26/09/26ABK Ogre92-73
23/09/26HLatvijas Universitate104-66
17/09/26HDziki Warszawa95-102
14/09/26HAbsheron Lions105-88
07/04/26HBC Kalev/Cramo87-72
03/04/26HValmiera Glass Via87-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neftchi IK
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game66.380.059.5
Allowed / game72.767.075.5
Point differential-6.3+13.0-16.0
Avg total139.0147.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game106.0106.0-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential+23.0+23.0-
Avg total189.0189.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier110100%92.059.0+33.0
2 Esenler Erokspor110100%92.063.0+29.0
3 Dziki Warszawa110100%103.076.0+27.0
4 CSM Oradea110100%93.067.0+26.0
5 VEF Riga110100%106.083.0+23.0
6 Geneva Lions110100%105.083.0+22.0
7 Keravnos110100%88.070.0+18.0
8 Mykonos220100%79.061.5+17.5
9 Kolossos Rhodes220100%78.563.5+15.0
10 Denizli Basket110100%83.069.0+14.0
11 Promitheas110100%91.077.0+14.0
12 Basquet Girona220100%89.075.5+13.5
13 Nancy220100%75.063.0+12.0
14 Benfica110100%91.081.0+10.0
15 Zielona Gora110100%90.080.0+10.0
16 AEK Larnaca110100%73.065.0+8.0
17 Chalon/Saone110100%79.072.0+7.0
18 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%84.078.0+6.0
19 Split110100%74.068.0+6.0
20 Iraklis110100%64.059.0+5.0
21 Sporting CP110100%79.075.0+4.0
22 Bashkimi110100%79.077.0+2.0
23 Dinamo Bucharest43175%92.276.0+16.2
24 BC Prievidza43175%94.578.8+15.8
25 Szczecin21150%90.588.5+2.0
26 Vienna Basket21150%80.579.5+1.0
27 Oostende21150%76.080.0-4.0
28 Neftchi IK31233%66.372.7-6.3
29 Parnu41325%67.878.2-10.5
30 Valmiera Glass Via1010%77.079.0-2.0
31 Rilski Sportist1010%75.079.0-4.0
32 MZT Skopje1010%59.064.0-5.0
33 Korfez Basket1010%78.084.0-6.0
34 Opava1010%68.074.0-6.0
35 Levice1010%69.076.0-7.0
36 Manchester Basketball1010%72.079.0-7.0
37 Nitra Blue Wings1010%81.088.0-7.0
38 Wurzburg1010%65.073.0-8.0
39 Bakken Bears1010%81.091.0-10.0
40 SCM Craiova1010%65.077.0-12.0
41 Szolnoki Olaj2020%78.091.5-13.5
42 Trepca1010%77.091.0-14.0
43 Fribourg Olympic2020%66.086.5-20.5
44 Absheron Lions2020%83.5106.5-23.0
45 Lok. Plovdiv1010%83.0106.0-23.0
46 Gence2020%62.586.0-23.5
47 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
48 Tartu Ulikool1010%76.0103.0-27.0
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi1010%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neftchi IK2630162294
VEF Riga24263030110
← all games of the day
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