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Venezia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 92-91
32-19 25-27 24-32 11-13
Position#13
Record7-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game80.7
Venezia 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record9-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game75.3
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 14
European cup2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
91-59
91
59
+32
A02/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#45
W
102-93 OT
102
93
+9
H09/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A14/01
Lega A
Strasbourg
#16
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A17/01
Champions League
Varese
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H21/01
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#40
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H24/01
Champions League
Trento
#5
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A28/01
Lega A
Bayreuth
#17
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A31/01
Champions League
Brindisi
#14
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H04/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-18
14-15
19-11
24-15
23-15
17-19
22-18
10-19
21-28
20-24
22-19
23-15
23-17
21-26
15-17
25-20
17-23
19-14
12-18
19-15
17-21
15-15
20-19
11-20
21-16
18-19
23-12
22-20
23-22
21-18
20-19
19-20
26-34
23-17
14-18
18-20
21-16
15-17
23-21
17-17
155.7Avg total
80.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.180.7161.8+0.454%
Season at home (6)90.583.0173.5+7.583%
Season away (7)73.078.7151.7-5.729%
Last 10 (10)80.375.4155.7+4.970%
Last 5 (5)77.476.2153.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.782.8161.5-4.147%
vs Weaker (13)83.576.1159.5+7.485%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A21/01
ACB
Bayreuth
#17
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H23/01
Champions League
Penarol
#18
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H24/01
Liga A
Baskonia
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H28/01
ACB
Gimnasia
#7
W
93-92
93
92
+1
H30/01
Liga A
Banvit
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H30/01
Champions League
Leones De Ponce
#10
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A02/02
Americas League
Regatas
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H04/02
Americas League
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
96-93
96
93
+3
A04/02
ACB
Hebraica y Macabi
#15
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H04/02
Americas League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
12-18
18-23
15-18
20-15
19-19
19-19
10-23
26-17
16-21
21-19
30-29
24-17
27-20
27-30
9-22
28-27
22-13
24-31
19-21
32-10
19-17
7-22
20-24
25-12
13-24
24-15
19-15
14-18
21-22
11-22
16-18
24-25
22-21
29-21
21-26
18-18
22-14
19-10
12-12
157.4Avg total
78.8Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.675.3153.9+3.360%
Season at home (8)77.074.6151.6+2.462%
Season away (7)80.476.0156.4+4.457%
Last 10 (10)78.878.6157.4+0.260%
Last 5 (5)77.673.2150.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.785.6164.3-6.914%
vs Similar ◀ (18)85.379.7165.0+5.778%
vs Weaker (5)80.275.4155.6+4.860%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -3.7-3.7
VeneziaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A02/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H07/01
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#45
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H09/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A14/01
Lega A
Strasbourg
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A17/01
Champions League
Varese
#8
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H21/01
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#40
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H24/01
Champions League
Trento
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A28/01
Lega A
Bayreuth
#17
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A31/01
Champions League
Brindisi
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/02
Lega A
80.3Avg total
40.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.578.1+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.936.976.7+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)39.540.179.5-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.480.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.737.175.8+1.653%-
vs Weaker (13)40.940.281.2+0.754%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/01
ACB
Bayreuth
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H23/01
Champions League
Penarol
#18
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H24/01
Liga A
Baskonia
#2
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H28/01
ACB
Gimnasia
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H30/01
Liga A
Banvit
#7
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H30/01
Champions League
Leones De Ponce
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A02/02
Americas League
Regatas
#2
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/02
Americas League
Joventut Badalona
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A04/02
ACB
Hebraica y Macabi
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/02
Americas League
78.4Avg total
41.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.379.1+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.936.879.7+6.272%-
Last 30 away (12)37.740.678.2-2.925%-
Last 10 (10)41.836.678.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.278.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.642.682.1-3.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.837.279.1+4.667%-
vs Weaker (5)39.036.275.2+2.860%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.4
53.3%
52.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.1
35.2%
34.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.910.4
65.4%
73.8%10.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.6
56.8%
52.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.2
31.0%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.915.6
74.6%
73.8%15.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WLWWLLWWWW
Estudiantes
WWLWWWLWLL
#13
League position
#14
+1.9
Net rating
-1.3
106.0
Offensive rating
110.8
104.1
Defensive rating
112.2
53.1%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.2%
3-point %
31.0%
61.1%
Assist %
61.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 110.8Defence104.1 · 112.2Shooting53.1% · 52.0%3-point %35.2% · 31.0%Ball care15.9% · 14.5%Off. rebounds24.9% · 27.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Venezia   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Venezia wins
1
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
06/12/17Estudiantes v Venezia81-80
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/18HBrindisi76-71
31/01/18ABayreuth81-89
28/01/18ATrento83-79
24/01/18HPetrol Olimpija84-67
21/01/18HVarese63-75
17/01/18AStrasbourg67-70
14/01/18AOlimpia Milano84-80
09/01/18HHydroTruck Radom102-93 OT
07/01/18HPesaro72-71
02/01/18ACapo d'Orlando91-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/18HHebraica y Macabi71-54
04/02/18AJoventut Badalona96-93
04/02/18HRegatas62-80
02/02/18ALeones De Ponce81-66
30/01/18HBanvit78-73
30/01/18HGimnasia93-92
28/01/18HBaskonia87-89
24/01/18HPenarol93-86
23/01/18HBayreuth68-76
21/01/18ATenerife59-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Champions League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL54%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game81.190.573.0
Allowed / game80.783.078.7
Point differential+0.4+7.5-5.7
Avg total161.8173.5151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %23%50%0%
Estudiantes
Champions League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game78.677.080.4
Allowed / game75.374.676.0
Point differential+3.3+2.4+4.4
Avg total153.9151.6156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco13130100%85.766.8+18.9
2 Ludwigsburg1917289%82.467.8+14.6
3 Tenerife1311285%82.565.7+16.8
4 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
5 Besiktas1310377%80.273.6+6.6
6 Banvit139469%78.273.8+4.5
7 Nymburk139469%82.279.2+2.9
8 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
9 Karsiyaka1510567%85.383.1+2.1
10 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
11 Oldenburg138562%85.081.2+3.8
12 Bayreuth138562%81.879.4+2.5
13 Strasbourg138562%78.776.3+2.4
14 Nanterre159660%81.677.7+3.9
15 Estudiantes159660%78.675.3+3.3
16 Neptunas137654%84.479.5+4.9
17 AEK Athens137654%82.079.2+2.8
18 Murcia137654%80.079.6+0.4
19 Venezia137654%81.180.7+0.4
20 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
21 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
22 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
23 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
24 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
25 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
26 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
27 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
28 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
29 Avellino136746%75.073.0+2.0
30 Zielona Gora136746%77.377.2+0.2
31 Sassari136746%81.383.1-1.8
32 PAOK136746%75.577.8-2.3
33 Ventspils136746%75.077.3-2.3
34 Bonn156940%78.378.1+0.2
35 Chalon/Saone135838%71.874.7-2.9
36 Oostende135838%69.675.7-6.1
37 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
38 Juventus1551033%80.286.5-6.3
39 Petrol Olimpija134931%72.279.2-7.1
40 Aris134931%66.574.5-8.1
41 Gaziantep134931%74.885.2-10.3
42 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
43 Hapoel Holon1331023%82.689.0-6.4
44 Enisey1331023%74.683.6-9.0
45 Capo d'Orlando1531220%65.876.3-10.5
46 HydroTruck Radom1521313%73.981.0-7.1
47 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
48 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
49 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
50 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
51 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
52 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
53 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
54 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
55 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia3225241192
Estudiantes1927321391
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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