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Estudiantes vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 87-89
24-17 27-20 27-30 9-22
Position#10
Record7-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#2
Record10-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game80.2
SpainACBRound 18
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Estudiantes v Baskonia
26 Sep 2020
EST84
BAS86
28 Oct 2018
EST67
BAS100
28 Jan 2018
EST87
BAS89
26 Mar 2017
EST70
BAS76
11 Oct 2015
EST58
BAS85
10 May 2015
EST86
BAS76
16 Mar 2014
EST84
BAS87
06 Jan 2013
EST68
BAS72
20 Nov 2011
EST54
BAS74
03 Jan 2011
EST72
BAS70
23 May 2010
EST83
BAS85
14 Mar 2010
EST74
BAS58
09 May 2009
EST83
BAS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quilmes
#17
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H10/01
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
A13/01
Liga A
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H14/01
ACB
Atenas
#4
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A15/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A17/01
Liga A
Petrol Olimpija
#40
W
72-57
72
57
+15
A17/01
Champions League
Weber Bahia
#10
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H20/01
Liga A
Tenerife
#8
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A21/01
ACB
Bayreuth
#17
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H23/01
Champions League
Penarol
#18
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H24/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
22-23
20-16
31-16
15-20
20-22
30-22
18-19
22-16
21-18
16-21
22-17
14-25
13-17
24-19
20-26
20-23
26-26
16-24
27-24
26-17
13-14
17-14
16-12
22-13
16-14
18-20
25-22
14-18
12-18
18-23
15-18
20-15
19-19
19-19
10-23
26-17
16-21
21-19
30-29
159.1Avg total
79.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.983.8165.8-1.941%
Season at home (8)81.678.5160.1+3.162%
Season away (9)82.288.6170.8-6.322%
Last 10 (10)79.679.5159.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.673.0147.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.084.4164.4-4.420%
vs Similar (16)84.280.1164.3+4.269%
vs Weaker (4)82.580.8163.2+1.850%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A31/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H03/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A05/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H07/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
W
86-54
86
54
+32
H12/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A14/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A17/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H19/01
Euroleague
Real Betis
#18
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H21/01
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A25/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
16-21
21-18
14-22
18-18
18-15
19-24
14-24
22-18
16-18
21-27
15-16
26-20
10-19
20-18
22-17
16-21
20-9
36-14
14-10
13-21
27-16
17-27
17-22
17-18
17-16
27-25
12-16
19-22
17-25
20-18
26-18
21-12
25-10
25-24
23-24
19-21
27-22
21-21
18-19
154.5Avg total
78.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.180.2163.3+2.859%
Season at home (9)84.776.8161.4+7.978%
Season away (8)81.284.1165.4-2.938%
Last 10 (10)78.276.3154.5+1.940%
Last 5 (5)81.679.4161.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.090.0171.0-9.00%
vs Similar (11)82.877.7160.5+5.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.680.0162.6+2.661%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
EstudiantesBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quilmes
#17
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/01
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/01
Liga A
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/01
ACB
Atenas
#4
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A15/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A17/01
Liga A
Petrol Olimpija
#40
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A17/01
Champions League
Weber Bahia
#10
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H20/01
Liga A
Tenerife
#8
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/01
ACB
Bayreuth
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H23/01
Champions League
Penarol
#18
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H24/01
Liga A
75.7Avg total
37.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.777.3+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.837.677.4+2.256%-
Last 30 away (12)36.940.277.2-3.317%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.975.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.270.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.141.377.4-5.20%-
vs Similar (16)40.237.477.6+2.962%-
vs Weaker (4)38.837.276.0+1.550%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A31/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/01
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H12/01
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A17/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H19/01
Euroleague
Real Betis
#18
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H21/01
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A25/01
Euroleague
73.9Avg total
38.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.281.7+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.138.982.0+4.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.939.581.4+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)38.035.973.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.677.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.051.099.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (11)43.837.281.0+6.673%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.439.881.2+1.761%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.2
53.2%
51.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.5
31.5%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.715.2
73.4%
74.6%15.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.2
53.6%
51.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.5
36.5%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws15.210.5
69.1%
74.6%10.5
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
WLLWWLLWLW
Baskonia
WWLLLWWLLL
#10
League position
#2
-0.4
Net rating
+3.0
108.1
Offensive rating
108.7
108.5
Defensive rating
105.8
50.4%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.1%
Turnover %
18.3%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.5%
3-point %
36.5%
55.6%
Assist %
63.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 108.7Defence108.5 · 105.8Shooting50.4% · 54.1%3-point %31.5% · 36.5%Ball care14.1% · 18.3%Off. rebounds26.3% · 32.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Estudiantes wins
8
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/18HPenarol93-86
23/01/18HBayreuth68-76
21/01/18ATenerife59-77
20/01/18HWeber Bahia81-69
17/01/18APetrol Olimpija72-57
17/01/18AInstituto de Cordoba89-97
15/01/18AAtenas71-87
14/01/18HMoraBanc Andorra81-72
13/01/18AArgentino88-96 OT
10/01/18HQuilmes94-78
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/18AUnicaja85-83
21/01/18HReal Betis94-70
19/01/18HOlimpia Milano82-83
17/01/18AReal Madrid73-75
14/01/18ATenerife74-86
12/01/18HOlympiacos86-54
07/01/18HValencia78-74
05/01/18AFenerbahce74-79
03/01/18HReal Madrid69-81
31/12/17AMurcia67-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL41%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%62%22%
Points / game81.981.682.2
Allowed / game83.878.588.6
Point differential-1.9+3.1-6.3
Avg total165.8160.1170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Baskonia
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW59%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%78%38%
Points / game83.184.781.2
Allowed / game80.276.884.1
Point differential+2.8+7.9-2.9
Avg total163.3161.4165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1817194%92.278.4+13.8
2 Barcelona1812667%89.981.3+8.6
3 Valencia1812667%83.577.3+6.2
4 Unicaja1811761%81.274.8+6.4
5 Fuenlabrada1811761%77.180.2-3.1
6 Baskonia1710759%83.180.2+2.8
7 Gran Canaria1810856%85.283.1+2.1
8 Tenerife1810856%76.774.7+1.9
9 Murcia1810856%78.777.1+1.7
10 MoraBanc Andorra189950%83.781.7+2.0
11 Obradoiro CAB189950%76.178.2-2.1
12 Gipuzkoa1881044%79.679.5+0.1
13 Estudiantes1771041%81.983.8-1.9
14 Bilbao1861233%78.684.6-6.0
15 San Pablo Burgos1861233%79.887.6-7.8
16 Tecnyconta Zaragoza1851328%79.886.1-6.3
17 Joventut Badalona1841422%77.985.6-7.7
18 Real Betis1841422%75.986.7-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes242727987
Baskonia1720302289
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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