Venezia vs Maxima Roma Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 17:00

Projected 89-85

Projected total 174.8

In play

Position#9

Record4-3

FormLLWWL

Points / game87.9

Allowed / game88.6

Venezia

63%

37%

■ VEN 63%■ MRO 37%

Pythia win probability

Form · last 5 games

4.4/10

Below normal

4.6/10

Around normal

Maxima Roma

Position#5

Record5-2

FormLWWWW

Points / game88.1

Allowed / game83.7

Lega ARound 8· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio

Domestic2026-27

Meetings · Venezia v Maxima Roma

Sections

Game preview & prediction

Venezia will host Maxima Roma on 15 November 2026 in the Lega Basket Serie A, with the Pythia model designating Venezia as the favourite and projecting a 63% chance of a home win, a 37% chance for Maxima Roma, and a 49% probability that Venezia covers the -4.5 spread; the over on the 172.5 line has a 55% chance, and the game has a 5% overtime probability. Venezia's season record is 4-3 with 87.9 points per game and 88.6 points allowed, while Maxima Roma sits at 5-2, averaging 88.1 points scored and 83.7 points allowed, placing them fourth in the league. At home, Venezia has a 1-2 record, scoring 86.7 points and conceding 87.7, and in their last five games they have won twice and lost three, including a 76-80 loss to London Lions and a 98-77 home win over Siauliai. Maxima Roma's road record is 2-1, with 88.7 points per game and 78.3 allowed, and they have won four of their last five, highlighted by a 113-89 victory over Frankfurt. In their only previous meeting, Maxima Roma beat Venezia 90-79 on 21 October 2026, a result that the model still sees as outweighed by Venezia's current form. The projected score is 89-85 in favour of Venezia, bringing the total to 174.8 points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia win

63.2%fair 1.58

Best odds1.45

Implied65.3%

Edge-2.1pp

Maxima Roma win

36.8%fair 2.72

Best odds2.90

Implied34.7%

Edge+2.1pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Venezia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVenezia

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

86-93

-7

76avg 81

H11/10

Lega A

Turk Telekom

#16

75-65

+10

66avg 81

H14/10

Eurocup

BC Roma

#13

104-98

104

98avg 81

A17/10

Lega A

Maxima Roma

#11

79-90

-11

72avg 81

A21/10

Eurocup

Treviso

89-97 OT

-8

77avg 81

H25/10

Lega A

Tenerife

80-82

-2

75avg 81

A28/10

Eurocup

Basket Napoli

81-99

-18

68avg 81

A01/11

Lega A

Siauliai

#19

98-77

+21

no box

H04/11

Eurocup

Reggiana

#14

83-78

no box

A07/11

Lega A

London Lions

76-80

-4

no box

A10/11

Eurocup

29-20

22-25

21-24

14-24

20-16

19-13

18-22

18-14

24-29

22-26

24-13

34-30

18-23

27-22

12-19

22-26

21-31

22-13

17-21

20-15

25-24

16-24

25-17

14-17

16-19

22-25

20-30

23-25

25-21

27-18

22-20

24-18

18-26

21-20

20-18

24-14

19-19

16-19

20-21

21-21

171.0Avg total

85.1Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	87.9	88.6	176.4	-0.7	57%
Season at home (3)	86.7	87.7	174.3	-1.0	33%
Season away (4)	88.8	89.2	178.0	-0.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	85.9	171.0	-0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	83.2	166.8	+0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	85.2	90.0	175.2	-4.8	38%
vs Similar (11)	83.0	84.7	167.7	-1.7	45%
vs Weaker (6)	94.2	78.8	173.0	+15.3	83%

This opponent (Maxima Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Maxima Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRoma

Date

Competition

BC Roma

#13

96-95

91avg 80

H11/10

Lega A

Tenerife

71-96

-25

63avg 80

A14/10

Eurocup

Tortona

#12

89-75

+14

81avg 80

A18/10

Lega A

Venezia

#14

90-79

+11

89avg 80

H21/10

Eurocup

Udine

81-75

76avg 80

H25/10

Lega A

Siauliai

#19

93-98

-5

88avg 80

A28/10

Eurocup

Trento

#11

88-62

+26

81avg 80

A01/11

Lega A

London Lions

86-84 OT

no box

H04/11

Eurocup

Cantu

#16

99-87

+12

no box

H08/11

Lega A

Frankfurt

#22

113-89

113

+24

no box

A12/11

Eurocup

25-33

27-24

25-13

19-25

14-26

19-19

15-20

23-31

22-20

25-18

25-24

17-13

23-18

22-27

19-12

26-22

22-19

13-21

24-18

22-17

23-31

26-18

26-31

18-18

13-10

15-16

22-17

38-19

16-22

26-22

21-11

13-21

23-24

31-20

24-19

21-24

28-14

36-27

26-26

23-22

174.6Avg total

90.6Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	88.1	83.7	171.9	+4.4	71%
Season at home (4)	87.8	87.8	175.5	+0.0	75%
Season away (3)	88.7	78.3	167.0	+10.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	90.6	84.0	174.6	+6.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	95.8	84.0	179.8	+11.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	80.0	97.0	177.0	-17.0	0%
vs Similar (6)	84.2	86.5	170.7	-2.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	95.2	77.7	172.8	+17.5	83%

This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 175 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 174.

Over/Under 169

Over 169

63.0%

@ 1.52+0.5pp

Under 169

37.0%

@ 2.50-0.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.52

Bet365

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.50

Over/Under 174 · main line

Over 174

51.0%

@ 1.93+1.5pp

Under 174

49.0%

@ 1.90-1.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.93

Marathon Be

1.91

SBO

1.85

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.79

Under

Bet365

1.90

Pinnacle

1.89

Marathon Be

1.87

SBO

1.81

1xBet

1.71

Over/Under 179

Over 179

39.1%

@ 2.30-1.2pp

Under 179

60.9%

@ 1.55+1.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.30

Under

Bet365

1.55

Marathon Be

1.49

📊 3. Team Totals

Venezia total 85.5

Over 85.5

64.0%

@ 1.55+1.3pp

Under 85.5

36.0%

@ 2.55-1.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.39

Under

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.34

Bet365

2.30

Venezia total 89.5 · main line

Over 89.5

49.3%

@ 1.86-1.2pp

Under 89.5

50.7%

@ 1.88+1.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.83

Bet365

1.80

Betano

1.78

Under

Betano

1.88

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.88

Bet365

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

Venezia total 93.5

Over 93.5

34.6%

@ 2.70-1.9pp

Under 93.5

65.4%

@ 1.45+1.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.40

1xBet

2.40

Under

Betano

1.45

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.38

Maxima Roma total 80.5

Over 80.5

67.9%

@ 1.45+5.6pp

Under 80.5

32.1%

@ 2.65-5.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.45

Bet365

1.43

1xBet

1.41

Under

Bet365

2.65

Betano

2.40

1xBet

2.28

Maxima Roma total 84.5 · main line

Over 84.5

53.1%

@ 1.91+3.5pp

Under 84.5

46.9%

@ 1.85-3.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.91

Betano

1.87

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Under

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.80

Maxima Roma total 88.5

Over 88.5

37.9%

@ 2.52+1.9pp

Under 88.5

62.1%

@ 1.52-1.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.45

Bet365

2.40

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Venezia's side (positive = Venezia win). Pythia's expected margin is +3.9; Venezia win by 1+ in 56% of simulations.

Spread Venezia -8.5

VEN -8.5

34.7%

@ 2.40-7.0pp

MRO +8.5

65.3%

@ 1.61+7.0pp

Best 5 market prices

VEN

Bet365

2.40

1xBet

2.26

Betano

2.25

Pinnacle

2.25

Marathon Be

2.22

MRO

Pinnacle

1.61

Betano

1.60

Marathon Be

1.57

Bet365

1.54

1xBet

1.46

Spread Venezia -5.5 · main line

VEN -5.5

45.4%

@ 1.94-3.7pp

MRO +5.5

54.6%

@ 1.90+3.7pp

Best 5 market prices

VEN

Pinnacle

1.94

1xBet

1.90

Marathon Be

1.90

SBO

1.88

Bet365

1.86

MRO

1xBet

1.90

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.90

BetVictor

1.88

Pinnacle

1.87

Spread Venezia -2.5

VEN -2.5

56.2%

@ 1.61-2.0pp

MRO +2.5

43.8%

@ 2.35+2.0pp

Best 5 market prices

VEN

Pinnacle

1.61

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.55

1xBet

1.46

MRO

Betano

2.35

Bet365

2.30

Marathon Be

2.26

1xBet

2.24

Pinnacle

2.24

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VeneziaMaxima Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	20.9	23.2	44.0	-2.3	33%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	22.3	43.8	-0.9	47%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	24.0	44.3	-3.7	20%	47%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.8	44.3	-1.3	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.1	23.7	43.8	-3.6	38%	54%
vs Similar (11)	19.2	23.7	42.9	-4.5	0%	45%
vs Weaker (6)	25.7	21.0	46.7	+4.7	83%	67%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (14)	21.4	21.6	43.1	-0.2	50%	36%
Last 30 at home (7)	23.0	22.1	45.1	+0.9	43%	43%
Last 30 away (7)	19.9	21.1	41.0	-1.3	57%	29%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.8	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	25.5	40.5	-10.5	0%	0%
vs Similar (6)	21.2	22.5	43.7	-1.3	50%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	23.8	19.5	43.3	+4.3	67%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.2	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.9	41.3	+3.4	67%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	23.7	44.5	-2.9	40%	53%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.3	25.3	46.6	-4.0	23%	77%
vs Similar (11)	21.5	19.2	40.6	+2.3	64%	27%
vs Weaker (6)	22.3	16.7	39.0	+5.7	100%	17%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (14)	23.4	19.7	43.1	+3.6	57%	57%
Last 30 at home (7)	23.4	21.4	44.9	+2.0	57%	71%
Last 30 away (7)	23.3	18.0	41.3	+5.3	57%	43%
Last 10 (10)	24.0	21.2	45.2	+2.8	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	26.8	20.6	47.4	+6.2	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	15.5	38.0	+7.0	50%	0%
vs Similar (6)	21.3	22.3	43.7	-1.0	33%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	25.7	18.5	44.2	+7.2	83%	67%

VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

51-45

H11/10

Lega A

Turk Telekom

#16

39-29

+10

H14/10

Eurocup

BC Roma

#13

46-55

-9

A17/10

Lega A

Maxima Roma

#11

45-45

A21/10

Eurocup

Treviso

43-44

-1

H25/10

Lega A

Tenerife

41-48

-7

A28/10

Eurocup

Basket Napoli

38-44

-6

A01/11

Lega A

Siauliai

#19

52-39

+13

H04/11

Eurocup

Reggiana

#14

39-46

-7

A07/11

Lega A

London Lions

35-38

-3

A10/11

Eurocup

86.2Avg total

42.9Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.25
Last 30 (30)	42.4	44.5	86.9	-2.1	30%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.8	41.3	85.1	+2.5	47%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	47.7	88.8	-6.7	13%	60%
Last 10 (10)	42.9	43.3	86.2	-0.4	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	41.0	43.0	84.0	-2.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	41.4	49.0	90.4	-7.6	8%	62%
vs Similar (11)	40.6	42.9	83.5	-2.3	18%	36%
vs Weaker (6)	48.0	37.7	85.7	+10.3	100%	50%

This opponent (Maxima Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Maxima RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Roma

#13

52-57

-5

H11/10

Lega A

Tenerife

33-45

-12

A14/10

Eurocup

Tortona

#12

47-38

A18/10

Lega A

Venezia

#14

45-45

H21/10

Eurocup

Udine

35-40

-5

H25/10

Lega A

Siauliai

#19

49-49

A28/10

Eurocup

Trento

#11

28-26

A01/11

Lega A

London Lions

42-44

-2

H04/11

Eurocup

Cantu

#16

54-44

+10

H08/11

Lega A

Frankfurt

#22

64-41

+23

A12/11

Eurocup

87.8Avg total

44.9Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.25
Last 30 (14)	44.8	41.4	86.1	+3.4	50%	36%
Last 30 at home (7)	46.4	43.6	90.0	+2.9	29%	43%
Last 30 away (7)	43.1	39.1	82.3	+4.0	71%	29%
Last 10 (10)	44.9	42.9	87.8	+2.0	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	47.4	40.8	88.2	+6.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.5	41.0	78.5	-3.5	50%	0%
vs Similar (6)	42.5	44.8	87.3	-2.3	17%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	49.5	38.0	87.5	+11.5	83%	50%

This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winner

VEN win

59.7%

@ 1.53-2.3pp

MRO win

40.3%

@ 2.50+2.3pp

1st half Spread Venezia -2.5 · main line

VEN -2.5

48.7%

@ 1.92-1.0pp

MRO +2.5

51.3%

@ 1.93+1.0pp

1st half Over/Under 87.25 · main line

Over

47.9%

@ 1.81-2.1pp

Under

52.1%

@ 1.81+2.1pp

Venezia 1st half total 45.5 · main line

Over

45.3%

@ 1.87-4.4pp

Under

54.7%

@ 1.87+4.4pp

Maxima Roma 1st half total 42.5 · main line

Over

49.3%

@ 1.87-0.5pp

Under

50.7%

@ 1.88+0.5pp

1st half: VEN + total 86.5

VEN & over

30.0%

@ 2.95+0.6pp

VEN & under

27.2%

@ 3.10-0.8pp

1st half: Draw + total 86.5

Draw & over

2.2%

@ 26.00-1.2pp

Draw & under

2.0%

@ 26.00-1.3pp

1st half: MRO + total 86.5

MRO & over

19.5%

@ 4.75+1.3pp

MRO & under

19.0%

@ 4.90+1.3pp

1st half Over/Under 86

Over

53.8%

@ 1.87+1.3pp

Under

46.2%

@ 2.01-1.3pp

1st half Over/Under 88.5

Over

44.0%

@ 2.20-2.9pp

Under

56.0%

@ 1.84+2.9pp

1st half Spread Venezia -3.5

VEN -3.5

44.7%

@ 2.08-1.0pp

MRO +3.5

55.3%

@ 1.80+1.0pp

1st half Spread Venezia -1.5

VEN -1.5

52.9%

@ 1.74-1.6pp

MRO +1.5

47.1%

@ 2.09+1.6pp

1st half Over/Under 84.75

Over

59.4%

@ 1.72+6.7pp

Under

40.6%

@ 1.91-6.7pp

1st half Over/Under 90.5

Over

36.8%

@ 2.50-0.7pp

Under

63.2%

@ 1.53+0.7pp

1st half Spread Venezia -4.5

VEN -4.5

40.8%

@ 2.15-3.6pp

MRO +4.5

59.2%

@ 1.65+3.6pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)

VEN

57.2%

@ 1.60-1.1pp

Draw

4.2%

@ 21.00-1.3pp

MRO

38.6%

@ 2.55+2.0pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	47%	30%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	53%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	40%	20%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	40%	20%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	38%	38%
vs Similar (11)	18.9	17.3	36.2	+1.6	45%	9%
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	21.3	43.8	+1.2	67%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (14)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	64%	36%
Last 30 at home (7)	21.7	15.6	37.3	+6.1	86%	0%
Last 30 away (7)	23.7	24.0	47.7	-0.3	43%	71%
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.1	41.8	+3.6	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.8	44.6	+3.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	24.0	44.5	-3.5	0%	50%
vs Similar (6)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	83%	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	25.0	21.2	46.2	+3.8	67%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.2	43.8	+1.5	47%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.7	42.9	+1.4	47%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	21.6	44.8	+1.6	47%	60%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	22.2	20.2	42.5	+2.0	46%	54%
vs Similar (11)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	36%	64%
vs Weaker (6)	23.7	19.8	43.5	+3.8	67%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (14)	20.1	22.5	42.6	-2.4	36%	64%
Last 30 at home (7)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	29%	57%
Last 30 away (7)	21.7	24.0	45.7	-2.3	43%	71%
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	32.0	54.0	-10.0	0%	100%
vs Similar (6)	18.8	23.3	42.2	-4.5	33%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	50%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.5
Last 30 (30)	43.5	40.8	84.2	+2.7	60%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	40.0	83.7	+3.7	60%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	43.2	41.5	84.7	+1.7	60%	47%
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.9	82.2	+0.4	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	42.6	40.2	82.8	+2.4	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	43.8	41.0	84.8	+2.8	69%	46%
vs Similar (11)	41.5	40.3	81.8	+1.3	55%	18%
vs Weaker (6)	46.2	41.2	87.3	+5.0	50%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85.5
Last 30 (14)	42.8	42.3	85.1	+0.5	64%	50%
Last 30 at home (7)	40.1	36.6	76.7	+3.6	86%	14%
Last 30 away (7)	45.4	48.0	93.4	-2.6	43%	86%
Last 10 (10)	44.7	40.3	85.0	+4.4	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	46.4	41.6	88.0	+4.8	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.5	56.0	98.5	-13.5	0%	100%
vs Similar (6)	40.0	40.3	80.3	-0.3	67%	17%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	45.7	39.7	85.3	+6.0	83%	67%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

VEN win + total 173.5

🔒 Pro

MRO win + total 173.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: VEN leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: MRO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (VEN:MRO): VEN wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds PRO1.20

Edge PRO

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge
Q4: Over 38.5	75.3%	1.48	1xBet 1.48	-	-	-	-	+16.2pp
Q4: Over 39.5	71.1%	1.59	1xBet 1.59	-	-	-	-	+16.1pp
Q4: Maxima Roma over 17.5	76.9%	1.38	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	-	+13.6pp
Q4: Venezia over 18.5	76.7%	1.37	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	-	+12.8pp
2nd half: Maxima Roma +8.5	76.1%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%

🔒 214 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 87.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game

46%

33%

21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.5	21.3	53.9%	54.3%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	9.7	35.4%	34.3%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	20.1	16.0	79.6%	74.6%	16.0

They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Maxima Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maxima Roma: 86.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game

46%

33%

21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	18.7	50.4%	54.3%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	10.8	39.7%	34.3%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.4	74.5%	74.6%	16.4

They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	20.5	53.5%	54.3%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.5	36.5%	34.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	25.2	18.1	71.8%	74.6%	18.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.4	20.4	54.5%	54.3%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	8.5	29.1%	34.3%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	20.2	16.2	80.2%	74.6%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	21.9	53.5%	54.3%	43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.1	35.5%	34.3%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	19.8	15.2	76.5%	74.6%	15.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	18.1	49.5%	54.3%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	10.5	38.9%	34.3%	31.4
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.6	77.6%	74.6%	17.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	20.9	52.7%	54.3%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	9.9	38.7%	34.3%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.7	73.3%	74.6%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	20.5	55.3%	54.3%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.3	9.0	30.7%	34.3%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	19.6	15.6	79.6%	74.6%	15.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Venezia

LWWLLLLWWL

Maxima Roma

WWWWLWWWLW

League position

+0.1

Net rating

+4.3

100.0

Offensive rating

99.0

99.9

Defensive rating

94.8

53.6%

Effective FG%

54.3%

54.0%

Opp. effective FG%

49.8%

14.0%

Turnover %

14.7%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.34

35.4%

3-point %

39.7%

54.5%

Assist %

64.1%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Venezia ■ Maxima Roma

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Venezia wins

Maxima Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
21/10/26	Maxima Roma v Venezia	90-79

Venezialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/26	A	London Lions	76-80
07/11/26	A	Reggiana	83-78
04/11/26	H	Siauliai	98-77
01/11/26	A	Basket Napoli	81-99
28/10/26	A	Tenerife	80-82
25/10/26	H	Treviso	89-97 OT
21/10/26	A	Maxima Roma	79-90
17/10/26	A	BC Roma	104-98
14/10/26	H	Turk Telekom	75-65
11/10/26	H	Virtus Bologna	86-93

Maxima Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	A	Frankfurt	113-89
08/11/26	H	Cantu	99-87
04/11/26	H	London Lions	86-84 OT
01/11/26	A	Trento	88-62
28/10/26	A	Siauliai	93-98
25/10/26	H	Udine	81-75
21/10/26	H	Venezia	90-79
18/10/26	A	Tortona	89-75
14/10/26	A	Tenerife	71-96
11/10/26	H	BC Roma	96-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia

Lega A 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	57%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	57%	33%	75%
Points / game	87.9	86.7	88.8
Allowed / game	88.6	87.7	89.2
Point differential	-0.7	-1.0	-0.5
Avg total	176.4	174.3	178.0
Over 174	57%	67%	50%
Win by 10+	14%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	14%	33%	0%

Maxima Roma

Lega A 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	71%
Home	LWWW	75%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	71%	75%	67%
Points / game	88.1	87.8	88.7
Allowed / game	83.7	87.8	78.3
Point differential	+4.4	+0.0	+10.3
Avg total	171.9	175.5	167.0
Over 174	43%	50%	33%
Win by 10+	43%	25%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Virtus Bologna	7	6	1	86%	96.4	86.0	+10.4
2	Basket Napoli	7	6	1	86%	93.7	86.6	+7.1
3	Treviso	8	6	2	75%	90.8	87.6	+3.1
4	Olimpia Milano	7	5	2	71%	90.9	82.7	+8.1
5	Maxima Roma	7	5	2	71%	88.1	83.7	+4.4
6	Varese	8	5	3	62%	89.1	87.1	+2.0
7	Trieste	7	4	3	57%	94.4	88.4	+6.0
8	Udine	7	4	3	57%	81.3	80.3	+1.0
9	Venezia	7	4	3	57%	87.9	88.6	-0.7
10	Verona	8	4	4	50%	88.5	90.8	-2.2
11	Trento	7	3	4	43%	80.4	83.6	-3.1
12	Tortona	7	2	5	29%	83.7	91.0	-7.3
13	BC Roma	8	2	6	25%	98.6	98.0	+0.6
14	Reggiana	8	2	6	25%	82.0	85.6	-3.6
15	Scafati	8	1	7	12%	81.5	91.9	-10.4
16	Cantu	7	0	7	0%	76.9	90.9	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Venezia vs Maxima Roma Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature