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Venezia W vs Roseto W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 78-75
22-25 16-20 23-10 17-20
Position#2
Record18-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game61.5
Venezia W 🏆
Italy
vs
Roseto W
Italy
Position#6
Record10-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game73.8
ItalySerie A1 WSerie A1 Women - Semi-finals· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
Women2025-26
Meetings · Venezia W v Roseto W
02 Apr 2026
VENE78
ROSE75
19 Oct 2025
VENE95
ROSE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Roseto W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Venezia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#9
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H04/02
Euroleague Women
San Giovanni W
#5
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A08/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A12/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A15/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#7
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H18/02
Euroleague Women
Broni W
#9
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H22/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A25/02
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#7
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H03/03
Euroleague Women
San Martino W
#8
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H23/03
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A26/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
10-8
19-12
17-19
13-18
17-20
17-10
21-14
19-14
17-26
12-22
29-19
18-19
22-19
20-13
11-13
12-15
23-18
22-20
9-15
13-21
26-14
18-8
15-14
18-17
18-19
21-17
22-19
14-10
18-16
15-19
15-6
15-5
20-9
20-16
25-21
15-20
22-15
15-6
16-15
132.9Avg total
71.2Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.461.5135.8+12.982%
Season at home (11)74.959.2134.1+15.782%
Season away (11)73.863.7137.5+10.182%
Last 10 (10)71.261.7132.9+9.580%
Last 5 (5)72.257.4129.6+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.173.1136.3-10.029%
vs Similar (5)62.860.4123.2+2.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)75.662.4138.0+13.289%
This opponent (Roseto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Roseto WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#2
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H25/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H15/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A28/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H04/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A23/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H26/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
10-13
17-23
18-17
19-27
14-12
20-18
20-10
16-19
27-17
14-22
21-16
19-21
19-21
17-18
26-24
18-27
10-22
31-14
14-22
20-20
10-21
19-17
14-17
26-21
19-15
25-18
18-21
18-19
25-14
17-17
16-15
15-12
15-14
17-17
11-13
20-10
11-2
15-18
13-24
143.6Avg total
71.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)69.973.8143.7-3.945%
Season at home (11)73.172.7145.8+0.455%
Season away (11)66.774.9141.6-8.236%
Last 10 (10)71.672.0143.6-0.460%
Last 5 (5)68.865.0133.8+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)64.376.4140.8-12.125%
vs Similar (4)81.271.2152.5+10.075%
vs Weaker (6)73.570.3143.8+3.267%
This opponent (Venezia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
Venezia WRoseto W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Venezia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia W
#9
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H04/02
Euroleague Women
San Giovanni W
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A08/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A12/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A15/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H18/02
Euroleague Women
Broni W
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H22/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A25/02
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#7
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H03/03
Euroleague Women
San Martino W
#8
W
35-14
35
14
+21
H23/03
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/03
Serie A1 W
67.2Avg total
35.3Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.233.569.7+2.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.230.465.7+4.881%-
Last 30 away (14)37.337.074.3+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)35.331.967.2+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)35.829.265.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.640.072.6-7.443%-
vs Similar (5)31.228.860.0+2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.032.371.3+6.783%-
This opponent (Roseto W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Roseto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia W
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H10/01
Serie A1 W
Broni W
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H25/01
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A01/02
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H08/02
Serie A1 W
Derthona Basket W
#4
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H15/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A22/02
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A28/02
Serie A1 W
Brixia W
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H04/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A23/03
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#3
W
31-12
31
12
+19
H26/03
Serie A1 W
71.2Avg total
35.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)35.536.872.3-1.445%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.636.874.5+0.855%-
Last 30 away (11)33.336.870.1-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)35.335.971.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.829.665.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.837.269.0-5.525%-
vs Similar (4)42.535.878.2+6.875%-
vs Weaker (6)38.236.774.8+1.567%-
This opponent (Venezia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Venezia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia W: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.6
48.0%
46.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.3
30.9%
30.9%18.9
🏀 Free throws14.810.9
73.6%
72.6%10.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Roseto Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto W: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
54%
30%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.6
50.1%
46.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.5%
30.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws13.08.6
66.2%
72.6%8.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia W
WWWWWLWLWW
Roseto W
WWWWLLLWWL
#2
League position
#6
+12.0
Net rating
-0.1
85.4
Offensive rating
84.0
73.4
Defensive rating
84.1
47.5%
Effective FG%
50.2%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.21
30.9%
3-point %
33.5%
57.6%
Assist %
73.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.4 · 84.0Defence73.4 · 84.1Shooting47.5% · 50.2%3-point %30.9% · 33.5%Ball care16.2% · 18.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Venezia W   ■ Roseto W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Venezia W wins
0
Roseto W wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Roseto W v Venezia W67-85
19/10/25Venezia W v Roseto W95-73
Venezia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26ASan Martino W68-56
23/03/26HSan Martino W80-51
03/03/26HSchio W62-51
25/02/26ASchio W79-72
22/02/26HBroni W72-57
18/02/26HSchio W66-68
15/02/26ABrixia W71-64
12/02/26ASan Martino W77-81
08/02/26ASan Giovanni W68-62
04/02/26HValencia W69-55
Roseto Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HCampobasso W59-54
23/03/26ACampobasso W58-56
04/03/26HBrixia W76-65
28/02/26ASassari W88-75
22/02/26ASan Martino W63-75
15/02/26HDerthona Basket W73-85
08/02/26HCampobasso W81-84
01/02/26ABattipaglia W78-74
25/01/26HBroni W73-67
10/01/26HVenezia W67-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeLWLWW82%
AwayWWLWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %82%82%82%
Points / game74.474.973.8
Allowed / game61.559.263.7
Point differential+12.9+15.7+10.1
Avg total135.8134.1137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%73%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Roseto W
Serie A1 W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW45%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayLWLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%55%36%
Points / game69.973.166.7
Allowed / game73.872.774.9
Point differential-3.9+0.4-8.2
Avg total143.7145.8141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Schio W22220100%81.455.3+26.1
2 Venezia W2218482%74.461.5+12.9
3 Campobasso W2215768%66.560.3+6.2
4 Derthona Basket W2214864%73.566.5+6.9
5 San Giovanni W22121055%65.662.1+3.5
6 Roseto W22101245%69.973.8-3.9
7 San Martino W2281436%67.872.8-5.0
8 Sassari W2281436%68.474.8-6.4
9 Broni W2271532%61.372.0-10.6
10 Brixia W2241818%60.978.8-18.0
11 Battipaglia W2021810%63.676.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia W2216231778
Roseto W2520102075
← all games of the day
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