Ventspils vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 May 2018

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 105-93

30-15 30-31 23-34 22-13

Position#1

Record27-4

FormWLWWL

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game69.9

Ventspils 🏆

BK Ogre

Position#4

Record24-10

FormWWWLW

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game76.1

LBLLBL - Semi-finals

Other2017-18

Meetings · Ventspils v BK Ogre

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Ogre winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ventspils

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

94-55

+39

H17/03

LBL

VEF Riga

63-82

-19

H21/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

107-62

107

+45

H24/03

LBL

BK Ogre

105-76

105

+29

H07/04

LBL

Jekabpils

88-67

+21

A11/04

LBL

VEF Riga

87-80

H14/04

LBL

Jurmala

70-72

-2

H18/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

90-69

+21

A22/04

LBL

BK Ogre

98-77

+21

H08/05

LBL

BK Ogre

77-84

-7

A10/05

LBL

29-13

20-14

26-14

19-14

10-23

19-19

21-26

13-14

23-8

22-10

35-22

27-22

32-28

24-16

24-14

25-18

22-22

17-13

31-9

18-23

25-25

16-13

25-14

21-28

23-11

18-19

15-27

14-15

25-15

26-17

24-21

15-16

23-15

17-14

29-29

29-19

22-25

15-24

25-18

15-17

160.3Avg total

87.9Scored

72.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	86.4	69.9	156.3	+16.5	87%
Season at home (17)	85.8	68.2	154.0	+17.5	88%
Season away (14)	87.1	71.9	159.0	+15.3	86%
Last 10 (10)	87.9	72.4	160.3	+15.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	76.4	160.8	+8.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	72.4	80.2	152.6	-7.8	40%
vs Similar (4)	71.0	77.8	148.8	-6.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	87.8	73.0	160.8	+14.8	81%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Liepaja

110-74

110

+36

H31/03

LBL

Ventspils

76-105

105

-29

A07/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

73-72

A15/04

LBL

VEF Riga

86-83

A18/04

LBL

Jurmala

82-81

A21/04

LBL

Valga

94-79

+15

H25/04

LBL

Valga

93-81

+12

A29/04

LBL

Valga

85-51

+34

H02/05

LBL

Ventspils

77-98

-21

A08/05

LBL

Ventspils

84-77

H10/05

LBL

18-13

37-16

30-13

25-32

28-32

16-24

14-24

18-25

19-20

19-21

18-14

17-17

27-15

16-20

17-29

26-19

17-22

26-22

19-22

20-15

30-12

22-13

19-25

23-29

26-19

26-20

13-25

28-17

22-17

20-9

17-13

26-12

15-23

14-17

29-29

19-29

25-22

24-15

18-25

17-15

166.1Avg total

86.0Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	83.9	76.1	160.0	+7.7	71%
Season at home (18)	83.9	73.9	157.8	+10.0	72%
Season away (16)	83.9	78.7	162.6	+5.2	69%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	80.1	166.1	+5.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	77.2	163.8	+9.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	80.0	86.9	166.9	-6.9	38%
vs Similar (4)	83.2	85.0	168.2	-1.8	25%
vs Weaker (18)	86.8	71.9	158.7	+14.9	89%

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VentspilsBK Ogre

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	18.5	41.9	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.2	41.8	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	16.0	33.8	+1.8	60%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.5	23.0	40.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.5	17.8	40.3	+4.7	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	19.1	41.4	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.5	42.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.6	42.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.2	24.0	48.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	18.1	39.5	+3.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	15.9	35.3	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.5	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.0	40.8	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.7	39.7	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	14.8	36.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.4	21.9	40.2	-3.5	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.6	17.4	41.0	+6.2	89%	-

VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

49-27

+22

H17/03

LBL

VEF Riga

29-42

-13

H21/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

45-18

+27

H24/03

LBL

BK Ogre

56-44

+12

H07/04

LBL

Jekabpils

39-35

A11/04

LBL

VEF Riga

41-38

H14/04

LBL

Jurmala

41-30

+11

H18/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

51-32

+19

A22/04

LBL

BK Ogre

40-29

+11

H08/05

LBL

BK Ogre

37-49

-12

A10/05

LBL

77.2Avg total

42.8Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	36.3	77.6	+5.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.7	35.4	76.1	+5.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.1	37.4	79.5	+4.7	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	34.4	77.2	+8.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	35.6	77.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.8	36.0	70.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	36.8	40.8	77.5	-4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	43.7	35.5	79.2	+8.2	86%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BK Liepaja

55-29

+26

H31/03

LBL

Ventspils

44-56

-12

A07/04

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

38-41

-3

A15/04

LBL

VEF Riga

43-35

A18/04

LBL

Jurmala

43-44

-1

A21/04

LBL

Valga

52-25

+27

H25/04

LBL

Valga

52-39

+13

A29/04

LBL

Valga

42-26

+16

H02/05

LBL

Ventspils

29-40

-11

A08/05

LBL

Ventspils

49-37

+12

H10/05

LBL

81.9Avg total

44.7Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	39.1	82.9	+4.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	37.3	82.1	+7.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.8	40.7	83.5	+2.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	37.2	81.9	+7.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	33.4	78.2	+11.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	40.1	43.9	84.0	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	44.2	44.8	89.0	-0.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (18)	45.3	35.7	81.0	+9.6	83%	-

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	20.8	43.3	+1.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	18.8	39.8	+2.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	19.4	44.9	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.8	45.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.8	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	18.2	36.0	-0.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.4	19.6	43.0	+3.9	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.4	23.4	43.8	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	22.5	39.8	-5.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.3	15.9	37.2	+5.3	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.7	38.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.5	18.8	35.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.7	40.0	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.8	17.8	39.5	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	39%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	38.6	80.2	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.3	39.4	81.6	+2.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.8	37.5	78.4	+3.3	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	38.0	83.1	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	40.8	83.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.6	44.2	81.8	-6.6	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	34.2	37.0	71.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.0	37.5	81.6	+6.5	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	38.5	79.3	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	39.1	79.5	+1.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	38.0	79.1	+3.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	42.9	84.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	43.8	85.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	39.9	43.0	82.9	-3.1	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.5	36.2	77.7	+5.3	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ventspils wins

BK Ogre wins

Date	Game	Score
10/05/18	BK Ogre v Ventspils	84-77
08/05/18	Ventspils v BK Ogre	98-77
07/04/18	Ventspils v BK Ogre	105-76
10/02/18	BK Ogre v Ventspils	89-87
05/01/18	Ventspils v BK Ogre	75-68
22/12/17	BK Ogre v Ventspils	82-89
29/03/17	BK Ogre v Ventspils	95-85
18/03/17	Ventspils v BK Ogre	92-85
05/11/16	Ventspils v BK Ogre	116-86
01/10/16	BK Ogre v Ventspils	70-101

Ventspilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/18	A	BK Ogre	77-84
08/05/18	H	BK Ogre	98-77
22/04/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	90-69
18/04/18	H	Jurmala	70-72
14/04/18	H	VEF Riga	87-80
11/04/18	A	Jekabpils	88-67
07/04/18	H	BK Ogre	105-76
24/03/18	H	BK Liepaja	107-62
21/03/18	H	VEF Riga	63-82
17/03/18	H	Valmiera/ORDO	94-55

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/05/18	H	Ventspils	84-77
08/05/18	A	Ventspils	77-98
02/05/18	H	Valga	85-51
29/04/18	A	Valga	93-81
25/04/18	H	Valga	94-79
21/04/18	A	Jurmala	82-81
18/04/18	A	VEF Riga	86-83
15/04/18	A	Latvijas Universitate	73-72
07/04/18	A	Ventspils	76-105
31/03/18	H	BK Liepaja	110-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	87%
Home	WWWLW	88%
Away	LWWWL	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	17	14
Win %	87%	88%	86%
Points / game	86.4	85.8	87.1
Allowed / game	69.9	68.2	71.9
Point differential	+16.5	+17.5	+15.3
Avg total	156.3	154.0	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	71%	71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Ogre

LBL 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	71%
Home	LWWWW	72%
Away	WWWWL	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	18	16
Win %	71%	72%	69%
Points / game	83.9	83.9	83.9
Allowed / game	76.1	73.9	78.7
Point differential	+7.7	+10.0	+5.2
Avg total	160.0	157.8	162.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	44%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	54% (13)	50% (8)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	31	27	4	87%	86.4	69.9	+16.5
2	VEF Riga	25	21	4	84%	86.1	67.1	+19.0
3	Jurmala	34	25	9	74%	81.3	73.8	+7.5
4	BK Ogre	34	24	10	71%	83.9	76.1	+7.7
5	Valga	19	6	13	32%	70.4	79.6	-9.3
6	Jekabpils	29	8	21	28%	69.1	77.4	-8.3
7	BK Liepaja	29	8	21	28%	72.7	84.6	-11.9
8	Latvijas Universitate	32	8	24	25%	72.6	80.8	-8.2
9	Valmiera/ORDO	29	4	25	14%	71.3	87.9	-16.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ventspils	30	30	23	22	105
BK Ogre	15	31	34	13	93

← all games of the day

Ventspils vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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