BK Liepaja vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 94-112

28-26 24-31 21-27 21-28

Position#8

Record11-17

FormWWLWL

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game80.2

BK Liepaja

Jelgava 🏆

Position#7

Record12-14

FormLLLWW

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game87.8

LBL

Other2012-13

Meetings · BK Liepaja v Jelgava

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BK Liepaja winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Jelgava winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

62-87

-25

A16/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

74-64

+10

A23/01

LBL

VEF Riga

58-80

-22

A26/01

LBL

Ventspils

67-107

107

-40

H02/02

LBL

Jekabpils

95-88

A09/02

LBL

Turiba

#10

93-79

+14

H21/02

LBL

Jelgava

84-70

+14

A27/02

LBL

Barons Kvartals

71-93

-22

A02/03

LBL

Jurmala

86-77

A09/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

97-100

100

-3

H14/03

LBL

12-24

17-21

14-20

19-22

19-24

19-10

22-9

14-21

15-19

17-19

16-24

10-18

21-25

19-24

10-27

17-31

26-19

24-23

14-22

31-24

20-22

15-13

32-20

26-24

22-20

27-13

14-22

21-15

17-21

14-25

20-24

20-23

17-16

26-23

20-17

23-21

23-28

23-23

20-20

31-29

163.2Avg total

78.7Scored

84.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	75.1	80.2	155.2	-5.1	39%
Season at home (12)	78.7	82.7	161.3	-4.0	42%
Season away (16)	72.4	78.3	150.7	-5.9	38%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	84.5	163.2	-5.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	83.8	170.0	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	69.2	88.1	157.3	-18.9	13%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	77.8	81.2	159.0	-3.4	27%
vs Weaker (4)	75.2	66.5	141.8	+8.8	75%

This opponent (Jelgava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Jelgava

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Turiba

#10

87-80

H02/02

LBL

BC Olimpas Palanga

#15

114-93

114

+21

H05/02

Baltic League

BC Kalev/Cramo

78-86

-8

H12/02

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

81-100

100

-19

A16/02

LBL

Skycop

76-109

109

-33

A19/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

88-96

-8

H24/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

70-84

-14

H27/02

LBL

Turiba

#10

81-95

-14

A02/03

LBL

Jurmala

101-79

101

+22

H14/03

LBL

Latvia U18

#11

101-79

101

+22

A17/03

LBL

34-22

12-15

21-22

20-21

31-18

26-22

32-25

25-28

23-23

17-23

17-18

21-22

26-23

21-25

14-26

20-26

11-43

27-21

17-27

21-18

18-25

31-19

17-26

22-26

20-22

13-27

22-14

15-21

17-29

18-19

21-20

25-27

22-18

20-20

28-15

31-26

33-23

30-28

19-14

177.8Avg total

87.7Scored

90.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	84.8	87.8	172.5	-3.0	46%
Season at home (13)	85.1	83.9	169.0	+1.2	62%
Season away (13)	84.5	91.6	176.1	-7.2	31%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	90.1	177.8	-2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	86.6	174.8	+1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	77.9	92.7	170.6	-14.8	12%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	96.6	87.4	184.0	+9.2	88%
vs Weaker (6)	92.0	85.7	177.7	+6.3	67%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BK LiepajaJelgava

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.6	37.4	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (20)	17.2	18.3	35.5	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.7	19.3	37.1	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.6	18.7	38.4	+0.9	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	15.8	35.8	+4.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.2	44.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.4	42.1	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	24.2	46.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	24.6	48.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.4	45.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.6	24.4	44.0	-4.9	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	25.0	18.8	43.8	+6.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.2	20.8	46.0	+4.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (20)	15.8	19.8	35.6	-4.0	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	15.5	21.3	36.8	-5.7	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.9	20.2	41.1	+0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	14.5	13.5	28.0	+1.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	22.9	43.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	22.9	42.5	-3.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	22.9	44.1	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.7	22.2	41.9	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	24.3	46.2	-2.5	33%	-

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

29-45

-16

A16/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

38-34

A23/01

LBL

VEF Riga

32-38

-6

A26/01

LBL

Ventspils

40-49

-9

H02/02

LBL

Jekabpils

50-42

A09/02

LBL

Turiba

#10

35-35

H21/02

LBL

Jelgava

49-33

+16

A27/02

LBL

Barons Kvartals

31-46

-15

A02/03

LBL

Jurmala

43-39

A09/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

46-51

-5

H14/03

LBL

80.5Avg total

39.3Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	38.5	74.6	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	42.1	39.2	81.3	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (20)	33.1	38.1	71.2	-5.0	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	41.2	80.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.8	81.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	33.3	40.6	73.9	-7.3	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.5	38.9	79.5	+1.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.5	29.2	63.8	+5.2	50%	-

This opponent (Jelgava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Turiba

#10

46-37

H02/02

LBL

BC Olimpas Palanga

#15

57-40

+17

H05/02

Baltic League

BC Kalev/Cramo

40-46

-6

H12/02

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

47-48

-1

A16/02

LBL

Skycop

38-64

-26

A19/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

49-44

H24/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

33-49

-16

H27/02

LBL

Turiba

#10

35-48

-13

A02/03

LBL

Jurmala

42-38

H14/03

LBL

Latvia U18

#11

63-51

+12

A17/03

LBL

91.5Avg total

45.0Scored

46.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	45.1	87.6	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	43.3	84.6	-2.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.0	47.1	91.1	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	46.5	91.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	46.0	90.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.2	46.7	85.9	-7.4	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	45.8	41.8	87.5	+4.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	47.0	45.2	92.2	+1.8	67%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.2	21.7	40.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 away (20)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.3	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.5	38.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.2	22.4	38.6	-6.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.5	14.8	39.2	+9.8	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.9	43.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	22.4	45.2	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	23.5	42.2	-4.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.7	41.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.4	24.2	42.6	-5.9	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	25.0	21.5	46.5	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	21.3	43.5	+0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	23.5	42.1	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.2	27.4	46.6	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 away (20)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.2	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.4	46.6	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.7	24.2	42.9	-5.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.2	22.5	38.8	-6.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.9	44.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.8	22.8	46.6	+1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	22.9	44.8	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.8	45.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	25.9	24.1	50.0	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	43.8	80.3	-7.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	38.4	49.1	87.5	-10.7	30%	-
Last 30 away (20)	35.6	41.1	76.7	-5.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	43.3	82.7	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	43.0	88.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	34.9	46.6	81.5	-11.7	7%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	37.3	42.3	79.5	-5.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	37.2	78.0	+3.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	44.8	88.0	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	43.5	87.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.5	46.3	88.8	-3.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	43.6	86.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.6	84.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	38.6	46.0	84.6	-7.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	50.9	45.6	96.5	+5.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.0	40.5	85.5	+4.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

BK Liepaja wins

Jelgava wins

Date	Game	Score
27/02/13	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	70-84
29/11/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	85-94
07/11/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	78-81
02/11/12	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	66-60
30/10/12	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	79-62
14/04/12	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	60-71
12/04/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	78-66
17/03/12	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	76-91
21/02/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	91-60
16/12/11	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	90-74

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/13	H	Latvijas Universitate	97-100
09/03/13	A	Jurmala	86-77
02/03/13	A	Barons Kvartals	71-93
27/02/13	A	Jelgava	84-70
21/02/13	H	Turiba	93-79
09/02/13	A	Jekabpils	95-88
02/02/13	H	Ventspils	67-107
26/01/13	A	VEF Riga	58-80
23/01/13	A	Latvijas Universitate	74-64
16/01/13	A	Valmiera/ORDO	62-87

Jelgavalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/03/13	A	Latvia U18	101-79
14/03/13	H	Jurmala	101-79
02/03/13	A	Turiba	81-95
27/02/13	H	BK Liepaja	70-84
24/02/13	H	Jekabpils	88-96
19/02/13	A	Skycop	76-109
16/02/13	A	Barons Kvartals	81-100
12/02/13	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	78-86
05/02/13	H	BC Olimpas Palanga	114-93
02/02/13	H	Turiba	87-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BK Liepaja

LBL 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	39%
Home	LWLWL	42%
Away	LWWLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	12	16
Win %	39%	42%	38%
Points / game	75.1	78.7	72.4
Allowed / game	80.2	82.7	78.3
Point differential	-5.1	-4.0	-5.9
Avg total	155.2	161.3	150.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	25%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	25% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Jelgava

LBL 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	46%
Home	LWLLW	62%
Away	WLLLW	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	46%	62%	31%
Points / game	84.8	85.1	84.5
Allowed / game	87.8	83.9	91.6
Point differential	-3.0	+1.2	-7.2
Avg total	172.5	169.0	176.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	31%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	VEF Riga	14	13	1	93%	89.4	69.0	+20.4
2	Ventspils	15	13	2	87%	87.5	66.1	+21.4
3	Barons Kvartals	28	18	10	64%	80.1	75.2	+5.0
4	Jekabpils	27	17	10	63%	84.0	79.2	+4.9
5	Valmiera/ORDO	28	16	12	57%	79.7	75.4	+4.4
6	Jelgava	26	12	14	46%	84.8	87.8	-3.0
7	Latvijas Universitate	29	13	16	45%	77.4	81.1	-3.7
8	BK Liepaja	28	11	17	39%	75.1	80.2	-5.1
9	Jurmala	29	11	18	38%	75.7	77.8	-2.1
10	Turiba	29	10	19	34%	77.9	85.9	-8.0
11	Latvia U18	17	1	16	6%	65.2	87.5	-22.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
BK Liepaja	28	24	21	21	94
Jelgava	26	31	27	28	112

← all games of the day

BK Liepaja vs Jelgava Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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