Jelgava vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Feb 2013

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 70-84

20-22 13-27 22-14 15-21

Position#7

Record10-12

FormWLLLL

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game88.4

Jelgava

BK Liepaja 🏆

Position#8

Record9-15

FormWLLWW

Points / game73.5

Allowed / game79.4

LBL

Other2012-13

Meetings · Jelgava v BK Liepaja

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jelgava winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Liepaja winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jelgava

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

108-86

108

+22

A16/01

LBL

Jekabpils

76-91

-15

A20/01

LBL

BC Kalev/Cramo

65-105

105

-40

A23/01

Baltic League

BC Olimpas Palanga

#15

107-102

107

102

A26/01

Baltic League

Turiba

#10

87-80

H02/02

LBL

BC Olimpas Palanga

#15

114-93

114

+21

H05/02

Baltic League

BC Kalev/Cramo

78-86

-8

H12/02

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

81-100

100

-19

A16/02

LBL

Skycop

76-109

109

-33

A19/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

88-96

-8

H24/02

LBL

25-16

25-20

28-25

30-25

21-16

19-19

12-29

24-27

26-20

7-28

21-28

11-29

32-26

26-21

15-29

34-26

34-22

12-15

21-22

20-21

31-18

26-22

32-25

25-28

23-23

17-23

17-18

21-22

26-23

21-25

14-26

20-26

11-43

27-21

17-27

21-18

18-25

31-19

17-26

22-26

182.8Avg total

88.0Scored

94.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	84.1	88.4	172.5	-4.3	45%
Season at home (11)	85.0	84.4	169.4	+0.6	64%
Season away (11)	83.3	92.5	175.7	-9.2	27%
Last 10 (10)	88.0	94.8	182.8	-6.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	96.8	184.2	-9.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	77.9	92.7	170.6	-14.8	12%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	92.0	81.8	173.8	+10.2	100%
vs Weaker (5)	89.2	88.6	177.8	+0.6	60%

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Liepaja Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

67-106

106

-39

A27/12

LBL

Barons Kvartals

68-77

-9

A03/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

80-83

-3

A06/01

LBL

Jekabpils

95-93 OT

H10/01

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

62-87

-25

A16/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

74-64

+10

A23/01

LBL

VEF Riga

58-80

-22

A26/01

LBL

Ventspils

67-107

107

-40

H02/02

LBL

Jekabpils

95-88

A09/02

LBL

Turiba

#10

93-79

+14

H21/02

LBL

17-23

10-23

10-36

30-24

21-18

16-21

15-18

16-20

19-10

18-28

25-21

18-24

23-13

18-16

20-22

18-28

12-24

17-21

14-20

19-22

19-24

19-10

22-9

14-21

15-19

17-19

16-24

10-18

21-25

19-24

10-27

17-31

26-19

24-23

14-22

31-24

20-22

15-13

32-20

26-24

162.3Avg total

75.9Scored

86.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	73.5	79.4	152.9	-5.9	38%
Season at home (11)	77.0	81.1	158.1	-4.1	45%
Season away (13)	70.5	77.9	148.5	-7.4	31%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	86.4	162.3	-10.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	83.6	161.0	-6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	69.6	87.0	156.6	-17.4	19%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	73.0	78.3	151.3	-5.3	22%
vs Weaker (5)	78.4	63.8	142.2	+14.6	80%

This opponent (Jelgava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

JelgavaBK Liepaja

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.1	43.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	24.9	46.4	-3.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	23.2	47.9	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	26.4	48.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.6	24.4	44.0	-4.9	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.6	18.0	41.6	+5.6	78%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.0	22.0	46.0	+2.0	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.6	37.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.3	17.7	35.0	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	14.4	35.0	+6.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.4	42.3	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.0	46.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.7	22.2	41.9	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	24.6	44.4	-4.8	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	19.3	36.1	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	18.7	37.8	+0.5	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	15.3	19.7	34.9	-4.4	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.8	37.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	15.7	20.8	36.4	-5.1	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.6	14.6	31.2	+2.0	80%	-

JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

50-36

+14

A16/01

LBL

Jekabpils

40-35

A20/01

LBL

BC Kalev/Cramo

33-48

-15

A23/01

Baltic League

BC Olimpas Palanga

#15

58-47

+11

A26/01

Baltic League

Turiba

#10

46-37

H02/02

LBL

BC Olimpas Palanga

#15

57-40

+17

H05/02

Baltic League

BC Kalev/Cramo

40-46

-6

H12/02

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

47-48

-1

A16/02

LBL

Skycop

38-64

-26

A19/02

Baltic League

Jekabpils

49-44

H24/02

LBL

90.3Avg total

45.8Scored

44.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	44.5	85.9	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.1	41.4	82.5	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	47.9	89.9	-6.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	44.5	90.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	48.4	94.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.2	46.7	85.9	-7.4	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	44.1	39.3	83.4	+4.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.8	46.6	90.4	-2.8	60%	-

This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

27-46

-19

A27/12

LBL

Barons Kvartals

37-39

-2

A03/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

37-38

-1

A06/01

LBL

Jekabpils

41-29

+12

H10/01

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

29-45

-16

A16/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

38-34

A23/01

LBL

VEF Riga

32-38

-6

A26/01

LBL

Ventspils

40-49

-9

H02/02

LBL

Jekabpils

50-42

A09/02

LBL

Turiba

#10

35-35

H21/02

LBL

76.1Avg total

36.6Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	37.8	73.3	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	39.8	38.6	78.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	32.6	37.3	69.9	-4.7	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	39.5	76.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.6	78.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	33.6	40.8	74.3	-7.2	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.0	37.6	75.6	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.2	29.0	66.2	+8.2	60%	-

This opponent (Jelgava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	23.1	43.4	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	22.9	44.7	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	23.3	42.0	-4.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	25.5	44.9	-6.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	24.4	43.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.4	24.2	42.6	-5.9	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.6	21.9	44.4	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.5	37.3	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.6	18.8	36.3	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	21.9	39.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	15.6	21.5	37.1	-5.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.4	13.6	38.0	+10.8	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.9	40.4	+0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.1	22.6	46.7	+1.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	24.8	47.6	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.0	45.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	25.3	20.6	45.9	+4.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	22.7	41.0	-4.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.0	24.6	43.6	-5.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.8	21.5	39.3	-3.7	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	23.6	43.5	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.4	23.9	43.3	-4.4	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.1	21.6	38.7	-4.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	44.3	86.8	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.3	42.8	85.1	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.8	45.9	88.7	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	50.3	92.5	-8.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	48.4	89.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	38.6	46.0	84.6	-7.4	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	47.9	42.4	90.3	+5.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.4	42.0	87.4	+3.4	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	42.2	78.3	-6.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.1	45.2	82.2	-8.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	35.4	40.3	75.7	-4.9	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	45.5	83.2	-7.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	44.0	82.4	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	35.1	45.4	80.4	-10.3	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	35.0	40.8	75.8	-5.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.2	34.8	76.0	+6.4	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Jelgava wins

BK Liepaja wins

Date	Game	Score
29/11/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	85-94
07/11/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	78-81
02/11/12	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	66-60
30/10/12	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	79-62
14/04/12	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	60-71
12/04/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	78-66
17/03/12	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	76-91
21/02/12	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	91-60
16/12/11	BK Liepaja v Jelgava	90-74
18/11/11	Jelgava v BK Liepaja	91-88

Jelgavalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/02/13	H	Jekabpils	88-96
19/02/13	A	Skycop	76-109
16/02/13	A	Barons Kvartals	81-100
12/02/13	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	78-86
05/02/13	H	BC Olimpas Palanga	114-93
02/02/13	H	Turiba	87-80
26/01/13	A	BC Olimpas Palanga	107-102
23/01/13	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	65-105
20/01/13	A	Jekabpils	76-91
16/01/13	A	Latvijas Universitate	108-86

BK Liepajalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/02/13	H	Turiba	93-79
09/02/13	A	Jekabpils	95-88
02/02/13	H	Ventspils	67-107
26/01/13	A	VEF Riga	58-80
23/01/13	A	Latvijas Universitate	74-64
16/01/13	A	Valmiera/ORDO	62-87
10/01/13	H	Jekabpils	95-93 OT
06/01/13	A	Latvijas Universitate	80-83
03/01/13	A	Barons Kvartals	68-77
27/12/12	A	Jekabpils	67-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jelgava

LBL 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	45%
Home	WWLWL	64%
Away	WLWLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	45%	64%	27%
Points / game	84.1	85.0	83.3
Allowed / game	88.4	84.4	92.5
Point differential	-4.3	+0.6	-9.2
Avg total	172.5	169.4	175.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	27%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Liepaja

LBL 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	38%
Home	WLWLW	45%
Away	LLWLW	31%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	38%	45%	31%
Points / game	73.5	77.0	70.5
Allowed / game	79.4	81.1	77.9
Point differential	-5.9	-4.1	-7.4
Avg total	152.9	158.1	148.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	27%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	14	13	1	93%	89.4	65.6	+23.8
2	VEF Riga	12	11	1	92%	91.1	70.0	+21.1
3	Barons Kvartals	25	16	9	64%	79.4	74.8	+4.6
4	Valmiera/ORDO	24	15	9	62%	80.5	74.4	+6.1
5	Jekabpils	24	15	9	62%	84.3	79.2	+5.1
6	Jelgava	22	10	12	45%	84.1	88.4	-4.3
7	Jurmala	24	10	14	42%	74.8	76.2	-1.4
8	Latvijas Universitate	26	10	16	38%	75.7	81.2	-5.5
9	BK Liepaja	24	9	15	38%	73.5	79.4	-5.9
10	Turiba	25	7	18	28%	76.8	86.4	-9.7
11	Latvia U18	14	1	13	7%	64.4	87.0	-22.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Jelgava	20	13	22	15	70
BK Liepaja	22	27	14	21	84

← all games of the day

Jelgava vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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