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Ventspils vs Valga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-56
20-13 22-21 16-12 19-10
Position#1
Record15-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#13
Record3-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game81.6
Meetings · Ventspils v Valga
12 Jan 2019
VET77
VALG56
20 Jan 2018
VET74
VALG63
01 Feb 2017
VET119
VALG70
14 Oct 2015
VET98
VALG51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#25
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A21/11
Champions League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A12/12
Champions League
Tallinna Kalev
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Murcia
#2
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H19/12
Champions League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
85-59
85
59
+26
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
89-61
89
61
+28
A05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Banvit
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A09/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
28-19
19-26
23-7
20-30
14-15
24-20
30-18
20-12
15-13
20-13
17-24
9-23
24-20
11-20
27-21
23-22
22-16
19-17
16-13
13-13
11-17
19-16
18-21
20-13
20-17
23-15
22-14
16-17
20-22
14-10
11-10
24-12
21-17
24-14
20-18
21-19
13-20
12-26
17-13
145.3Avg total
75.8Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.471.7159.1+15.794%
Season at home (7)85.668.3153.9+17.3100%
Season away (9)88.874.3163.1+14.489%
Last 10 (10)75.869.5145.3+6.370%
Last 5 (5)71.864.8136.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.477.7152.1-3.343%
vs Similar (9)81.183.9165.0-2.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.671.0160.6+18.6100%
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
78-96
78
96
-18
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
64-87
64
87
-23
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#15
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
4-21
24-12
21-10
14-14
25-20
18-20
13-25
22-28
16-8
11-20
27-29
22-17
13-24
18-26
12-15
17-23
9-19
28-25
24-29
23-25
20-19
26-16
14-21
24-18
12-24
20-16
23-25
18-20
16-28
17-18
13-21
22-14
20-17
20-15
17-15
15-23
18-20
18-24
19-18
152.3Avg total
72.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.681.6153.3-10.021%
Season at home (8)67.880.6148.4-12.912%
Season away (6)76.883.0159.8-6.233%
Last 10 (10)72.679.7152.3-7.130%
Last 5 (5)75.079.4154.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)69.487.3156.7-17.86%
vs Similar (10)77.080.1157.1-3.140%
vs Weaker (2)92.074.5166.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
VentspilsValga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#25
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A21/11
Champions League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Jurmala
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A12/12
Champions League
Tallinna Kalev
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Murcia
#2
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H19/12
Champions League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Banvit
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/01
Champions League
73.1Avg total
37.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.979.4+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.239.679.8+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)42.536.579.1+6.071%-
Last 10 (10)37.235.973.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.469.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.737.973.6-2.129%-
vs Similar (9)41.941.783.6+0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.135.479.6+8.779%-
This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#11
L
17-36
17
36
-19
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#14
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A24/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H09/01
Latvia-Estonian League
74.0Avg total
34.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.342.678.9-6.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.943.077.9-8.120%-
Last 30 away (15)37.742.379.9-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.339.774.0-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.679.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.544.879.3-10.36%-
vs Similar (10)37.339.076.3-1.750%-
vs Weaker (2)47.541.088.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ventspils wins
0
Valga wins
DateGameScore
09/11/18Valga v Ventspils65-82
20/01/18Ventspils v Valga74-63
30/09/17Valga v Ventspils54-88
01/02/17Ventspils v Valga119-70
11/10/16Valga v Ventspils65-96
22/01/16Valga v Ventspils76-94
14/10/15Ventspils v Valga98-51
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/19ABanvit63-78
05/01/19ALatvijas Universitate89-61
29/12/18HVEF Riga61-59
22/12/18ATartu Ulikool85-59
19/12/18HMurcia61-67
15/12/18HTallinna Kalev80-68
12/12/18AAnwil Wloclawek71-84
08/12/18AJurmala72-62
25/11/18HTartu Ulikool88-83
21/11/18AAvellino88-74
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/19HRapla70-85
23/12/18AJekabpils79-61
15/12/18HTal Tech64-87
08/12/18HTartu Ulikool79-83
24/11/18ARapla83-81
15/11/18AVEF Riga78-96
09/11/18HVentspils65-82
03/11/18ABK Liepaja76-85
27/10/18HParnu70-79
19/10/18HLatvijas Universitate62-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %94%100%89%
Points / game87.485.688.8
Allowed / game71.768.374.3
Point differential+15.7+17.3+14.4
Avg total159.1153.9163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%71%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valga
Latvia-Estonian League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL21%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %21%12%33%
Points / game71.667.876.8
Allowed / game81.680.683.0
Point differential-10.0-12.9-6.2
Avg total153.3148.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ventspils1615194%87.471.7+15.7
2 VEF Riga1614288%90.970.5+20.4
3 BC Kalev/Cramo1513287%90.571.5+18.9
4 BK Ogre1511473%92.080.2+11.8
5 Tal Tech159660%80.179.8+0.3
6 Tallinna Kalev169756%77.775.9+1.8
7 Jurmala178947%78.479.6-1.2
8 Parnu178947%73.678.4-4.8
9 Tartu Ulikool136746%79.281.4-2.2
10 Rapla156940%76.480.4-4.0
11 Latvijas Universitate1441029%67.978.5-10.6
12 Valmiera Glass Via1541127%82.690.3-7.7
13 BK Liepaja1541127%74.688.7-14.1
14 Valga1431121%71.681.6-10.0
15 Jekabpils150150%67.485.0-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils2022161977
Valga1321121056
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