Valga vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Oct 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 65-96

25-23 13-24 19-25 8-24

Position#9

Record1-1

FormLWLWW

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game85.5

Valga

Ventspils 🏆

Position#2

Record4-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game95.5

Allowed / game71.5

LBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Valga v Ventspils

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ventspils winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

69-92

-23

H15/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

87-88

-1

A17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

68-80

-12

A26/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

VEF Riga

66-99

-33

A30/04

LBL

VEF Riga

83-102

102

-19

H02/05

LBL

VEF Riga

79-84

-5

A04/05

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

89-82

H29/09

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

75-89

-14

A02/10

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

77-74

H04/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

86-85

A07/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

14-21

21-18

17-30

17-23

22-25

21-18

17-26

27-19

16-21

17-33

21-17

14-9

18-18

16-22

18-27

14-32

20-17

17-28

17-29

29-28

16-28

29-19

12-17

22-20

27-20

20-15

28-22

14-25

20-24

21-25

18-26

16-14

16-24

19-12

20-22

22-16

22-21

17-22

27-16

20-26

165.4Avg total

77.9Scored

87.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	82.0	85.5	167.5	-3.5	50%
Season at home (1)	89.0	82.0	171.0	+7.0	100%
Season away (1)	75.0	89.0	164.0	-14.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	87.5	165.4	-9.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	82.8	164.0	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	80.2	88.8	169.1	-8.6	26%
vs Similar (6)	83.3	85.8	169.2	-2.5	50%
vs Weaker (5)	90.0	75.8	165.8	+14.2	100%

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ventspils

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

73-75

-2

H19/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

75-83

-8

H23/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

90-98

-8

A25/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

96-65

+31

H28/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

98-95

A30/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

72-66

H31/05

LBL

Jekabpils

91-70

+21

H28/09

LBL

BK Ogre

101-70

101

+31

A01/10

LBL

Barons Kvartals

95-74

+21

H05/10

LBL

BK Liepaja

95-72

+23

A08/10

LBL

20-26

22-18

17-14

14-17

10-29

19-19

18-13

28-22

23-23

19-38

26-25

22-12

21-16

26-18

26-20

23-11

19-26

28-22

19-21

32-26

21-15

17-20

17-13

17-18

19-18

25-18

30-16

17-18

14-16

27-19

33-20

27-15

26-22

16-12

16-21

37-19

21-18

26-21

19-14

29-19

165.4Avg total

88.6Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	95.5	71.5	167.0	+24.0	100%
Season at home (2)	93.0	72.0	165.0	+21.0	100%
Season away (2)	98.0	71.0	169.0	+27.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	76.8	165.4	+11.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	70.4	161.2	+20.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	79.0	84.0	163.0	-5.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	87.5	75.6	163.1	+12.0	64%

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValgaVentspils

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	22.5	41.5	-3.4	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.9	41.0	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.4	43.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	26%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.7	22.5	42.3	-2.8	37%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	15.8	37.0	+5.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	17.3	38.3	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	16.8	36.8	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	17.9	40.1	+4.4	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	18.5	15.0	33.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	21.2	17.4	38.7	+3.8	71%	-

ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Kalev/Cramo

35-39

-4

H15/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

43-43

A17/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

BC Kalev/Cramo

33-54

-21

A26/04

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

VEF Riga

34-40

-6

A30/04

LBL

VEF Riga

37-45

-8

H02/05

LBL

VEF Riga

45-47

-2

A04/05

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

47-35

+12

H29/09

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

41-49

-8

A02/10

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

35-36

-1

H04/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

Rakvere Tarvas

39-43

-4

A07/10

Korvpalli Meistriliiga

82.0Avg total

38.9Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	41.3	80.2	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.6	39.2	78.8	+0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.3	42.9	81.2	-4.6	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	43.1	82.0	-4.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	42.0	83.4	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	38.5	43.3	81.8	-4.8	16%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.0	40.0	77.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.4	35.2	77.6	+7.2	60%	-

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

VEF Riga

42-44

-2

H19/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

29-48

-19

H23/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

42-61

-19

A25/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

47-34

+13

H28/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

47-48

-1

A30/05

LBL

BK Liepaja

38-35

H31/05

LBL

Jekabpils

44-36

H28/09

LBL

BK Ogre

41-35

A01/10

LBL

Barons Kvartals

42-34

H05/10

LBL

BK Liepaja

47-39

A08/10

LBL

83.3Avg total

41.9Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	37.0	78.4	+4.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	35.7	76.1	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	38.6	81.0	+3.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	41.4	83.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	35.8	78.2	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	30.5	34.0	64.5	-3.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	42.1	37.2	79.4	+4.9	68%	-

This opponent (Valga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	23.2	44.8	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.6	21.1	42.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	23.2	42.7	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.3	23.4	43.7	-3.1	37%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.3	21.5	44.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.6	17.2	41.8	+7.4	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.4	39.1	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	18.1	39.3	+3.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	17.7	39.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	16.8	39.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	19.0	24.5	43.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.1	43.5	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.7	22.9	45.6	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	53%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.7	20.2	44.9	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.8	20.6	45.4	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.6	19.8	44.4	+4.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	17.7	42.3	+6.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	17.8	43.2	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	29.5	25.5	55.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	24.4	19.9	44.2	+4.5	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	44.1	87.1	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.3	46.1	90.4	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.9	42.6	84.6	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	44.4	83.4	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	40.8	80.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	41.7	45.5	87.2	-3.8	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	45.3	43.7	89.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.0	39.4	84.4	+5.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	38.7	84.0	+6.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	39.3	84.3	+5.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.7	37.9	83.6	+7.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	35.4	82.1	+11.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	34.6	83.0	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	48.5	50.0	98.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	45.1	37.9	83.0	+7.2	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valga wins

Ventspils wins

Date	Game	Score
22/01/16	Valga v Ventspils	76-94
14/10/15	Ventspils v Valga	98-51

Valgalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/10/16	A	Rakvere Tarvas	86-85
04/10/16	H	Tallinna Kalev	77-74
02/10/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	75-89
29/09/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	89-82
04/05/16	A	VEF Riga	79-84
02/05/16	H	VEF Riga	83-102
30/04/16	A	VEF Riga	66-99
26/04/16	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	68-80
17/04/16	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	87-88
15/04/16	H	BC Kalev/Cramo	69-92

Ventspilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/10/16	A	BK Liepaja	95-72
05/10/16	H	Barons Kvartals	95-74
01/10/16	A	BK Ogre	101-70
28/09/16	H	Jekabpils	91-70
31/05/16	H	BK Liepaja	72-66
30/05/16	A	BK Liepaja	98-95
28/05/16	H	BK Liepaja	96-65
25/05/16	A	BK Liepaja	90-98
23/05/16	H	BK Liepaja	75-83
19/05/16	H	VEF Riga	73-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WL	50%
Home	W	100%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	82.0	89.0	75.0
Allowed / game	85.5	82.0	89.0
Point differential	-3.5	+7.0	-14.0
Avg total	167.5	171.0	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ventspils

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	95.5	93.0	98.0
Allowed / game	71.5	72.0	71.0
Point differential	+24.0	+21.0	+27.0
Avg total	167.0	165.0	169.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	4	4	0	100%	95.5	71.5	+24.0
2	VEF Riga	2	2	0	100%	88.0	65.5	+22.5
3	Valmiera/ORDO	3	2	1	67%	76.7	73.7	+3.0
4	Barons Kvartals	4	2	2	50%	84.0	79.2	+4.8
5	Jurmala	4	2	2	50%	81.2	84.8	-3.5
6	Valga	2	1	1	50%	82.0	85.5	-3.5
7	Jekabpils	4	2	2	50%	74.2	78.0	-3.8
8	BK Ogre	4	2	2	50%	75.2	84.5	-9.2
9	Latvijas Universitate	3	0	3	0%	76.7	88.0	-11.3
10	BK Liepaja	4	0	4	0%	77.2	92.8	-15.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valga	25	13	19	8	65
Ventspils	23	24	25	24	96

← all games of the day

Valga vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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