Ventspils vs Valmiera/ORDO Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2015

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 80-89

14-10 23-21 20-32 23-26

Position#2

Record13-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game65.6

Ventspils

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

Position#6

Record11-17

FormWLWLW

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game74.0

LBL

Other2014-15

Meetings · Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ventspils

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rapla

#17

105-75

105

+30

H03/02

Baltic League

Rapla

#17

70-55

+15

A10/02

Baltic League

Jurmala

83-65

+18

H13/02

LBL

VEF Riga

67-75

-8

H18/02

LBL

Pyrinto Tampere

#11

70-64

H26/02

Baltic League

Pyrinto Tampere

#11

78-59

+19

A04/03

Baltic League

Tartu Ulikool

#10

74-49

+25

H11/03

Baltic League

Tartu Ulikool

#10

76-72

A17/03

Baltic League

Saldus

86-55

+31

A21/03

LBL

Siauliai

70-68

H25/03

Baltic League

28-11

29-19

25-24

23-21

11-17

22-10

20-14

17-14

17-19

22-21

22-4

16-30

15-16

16-19

20-10

20-19

20-11

10-21

20-13

12-17

11-14

25-15

30-13

24-13

16-12

12-13

22-11

18-24

25-17

17-18

16-13

21-12

18-12

22-10

25-21

19-17

15-15

16-17

20-19

141.6Avg total

77.9Scored

63.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	82.2	65.6	147.8	+16.6	87%
Season at home (8)	80.1	64.6	144.8	+15.5	75%
Season away (7)	84.6	66.7	151.3	+17.9	100%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	63.7	141.6	+14.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	60.6	137.4	+16.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	64.8	73.2	138.0	-8.5	0%
vs Similar (9)	70.3	73.2	143.6	-2.9	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	82.2	62.9	145.2	+19.3	94%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

78-72

A31/01

LBL

Pyrinto Tampere

#11

73-107

107

-34

A03/02

Baltic League

Pyrinto Tampere

#11

84-78

H11/02

Baltic League

Saldus

93-73

+20

A14/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

75-87

-12

A18/02

LBL

Jurmala

70-66

H01/03

LBL

Jekabpils

81-87

-6

H07/03

LBL

Jelgava

87-71

+16

A11/03

LBL

Saldus

64-70

-6

H14/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

88-53

+35

H21/03

LBL

18-19

26-22

17-14

17-17

15-27

13-29

24-24

21-27

17-23

30-19

24-17

13-19

20-19

31-15

20-18

22-21

20-14

13-29

17-17

25-27

18-11

18-16

14-19

20-20

–

26-15

21-17

21-19

19-20

21-19

16-21

17-18

10-12

22-16

21-10

21-18

24-9

155.7Avg total

79.3Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	74.6	74.0	148.6	+0.6	39%
Season at home (14)	73.8	71.1	144.9	+2.6	50%
Season away (14)	75.4	76.9	152.2	-1.5	29%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	76.4	155.7	+2.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	69.4	147.4	+8.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	72.5	79.5	152.0	-7.0	25%
vs Similar (11)	76.1	77.0	153.1	-0.9	55%
vs Weaker (15)	78.6	71.5	150.1	+7.1	60%

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VentspilsValmiera/ORDO

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.5	36.7	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	18.8	37.2	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.9	36.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.2	20.2	34.5	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.7	19.6	37.2	-1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.3	15.7	37.0	+5.6	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.6	36.6	+1.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.6	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	15.0	36.4	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	75%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	17.5	17.9	35.4	-0.5	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	16.5	36.8	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	16.5	36.5	+3.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	16.5	37.2	+4.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	14.7	34.0	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	14.0	31.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	19.5	38.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.6	15.5	37.2	+6.1	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.2	64%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.1	71%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.5	23.2	40.8	-5.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.1	16.8	37.9	+4.3	73%	-

VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rapla

#17

57-30

+27

H03/02

Baltic League

Rapla

#17

33-27

A10/02

Baltic League

Jurmala

39-40

-1

H13/02

LBL

VEF Riga

31-46

-15

H18/02

LBL

Pyrinto Tampere

#11

40-30

+10

H26/02

Baltic League

Pyrinto Tampere

#11

23-31

-8

A04/03

Baltic League

Tartu Ulikool

#10

40-25

+15

H11/03

Baltic League

Tartu Ulikool

#10

43-41

A17/03

Baltic League

Saldus

39-24

+15

A21/03

LBL

Siauliai

34-32

H25/03

Baltic League

70.5Avg total

37.9Scored

32.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	34.0	73.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.0	32.9	72.9	+7.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.1	35.3	74.4	+3.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	32.6	70.5	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	30.6	66.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.0	39.8	72.8	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.2	36.6	72.8	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	42.9	31.2	74.2	+11.7	88%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

44-41

A31/01

LBL

Pyrinto Tampere

#11

28-56

-28

A03/02

Baltic League

Pyrinto Tampere

#11

47-42

H11/02

Baltic League

Saldus

51-34

+17

A14/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

33-43

-10

A18/02

LBL

Jurmala

36-27

H01/03

LBL

Jelgava

47-32

+15

A11/03

LBL

Saldus

37-40

-3

H14/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

43-26

+17

H21/03

LBL

78.6Avg total

40.7Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.0	36.8	74.9	+1.2	64%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	36.3	74.4	+1.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	37.4	75.3	+0.6	64%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.7	37.9	78.6	+2.8	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	33.6	72.8	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.5	40.0	76.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.9	38.9	76.8	-1.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (15)	38.5	34.7	73.3	+3.8	73%	-

This opponent (Ventspils) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	16.8	35.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.5	17.2	33.7	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	16.3	37.2	+4.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.2	35.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	14.6	33.0	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	16.8	33.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.9	17.4	35.3	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.1	16.5	35.6	+2.6	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	16.9	35.9	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	19.4	39.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.4	18.2	37.7	+1.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.2	19.5	36.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	17.3	36.4	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.9	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	16.6	35.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	15.9	35.1	+3.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	13.9	35.4	+7.6	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	15.4	38.0	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	16.8	32.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.2	19.2	35.4	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.2	15.2	35.4	+4.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.2	19.5	38.8	-0.2	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	16.1	34.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.9	43.4	-2.3	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	21.0	39.3	-2.7	11%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.5	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	33.4	70.2	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.8	33.1	68.8	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.0	33.9	71.9	+4.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	31.1	71.1	+8.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	30.0	71.0	+11.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.8	33.5	65.2	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	34.1	36.7	70.8	-2.6	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	39.3	31.7	71.0	+7.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.6	37.6	76.3	+1.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	33.1	70.0	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	42.2	82.6	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.4	37.3	75.8	+1.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	35.8	73.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.0	39.5	75.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.4	38.3	75.8	-0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.1	36.7	76.8	+3.3	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ventspils wins

Valmiera/ORDO wins

Date	Game	Score
07/11/14	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	57-78
08/01/14	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	59-84
26/10/13	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	78-57
29/04/13	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	52-72
26/04/13	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	80-56
18/01/13	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	102-71
27/10/12	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	83-62
03/03/12	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	82-83
08/10/11	Ventspils v Valmiera/ORDO	101-69
22/01/11	Valmiera/ORDO v Ventspils	68-83

Ventspilslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/15	H	Siauliai	70-68
21/03/15	A	Saldus	86-55
17/03/15	A	Tartu Ulikool	76-72
11/03/15	H	Tartu Ulikool	74-49
04/03/15	A	Pyrinto Tampere	78-59
26/02/15	H	Pyrinto Tampere	70-64
18/02/15	H	VEF Riga	67-75
13/02/15	H	Jurmala	83-65
10/02/15	A	Rapla	70-55
03/02/15	H	Rapla	105-75

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/15	H	Latvijas Universitate	88-53
14/03/15	H	Saldus	64-70
11/03/15	A	Jelgava	87-71
07/03/15	H	Jekabpils	81-87
01/03/15	H	Jurmala	70-66
18/02/15	A	BK Liepaja	75-87
14/02/15	A	Saldus	93-73
11/02/15	H	Pyrinto Tampere	84-78
03/02/15	A	Pyrinto Tampere	73-107
31/01/15	A	Jekabpils	78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	87%
Home	WWWWL	75%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	87%	75%	100%
Points / game	82.2	80.1	84.6
Allowed / game	65.6	64.6	66.7
Point differential	+16.6	+15.5	+17.9
Avg total	147.8	144.8	151.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	62%	71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	39%
Home	LWLLW	50%
Away	LWWLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	39%	50%	29%
Points / game	74.6	73.8	75.4
Allowed / game	74.0	71.1	76.9
Point differential	+0.6	+2.6	-1.5
Avg total	148.6	144.9	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	21%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (8)	50% (4)	0% (4)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	15	13	2	87%	82.2	65.6	+16.6
2	VEF Riga	10	8	2	80%	83.1	71.7	+11.4
3	BK Liepaja	27	21	6	78%	79.6	69.6	+9.9
4	Jurmala	29	17	12	59%	71.0	69.5	+1.5
5	Jekabpils	29	16	13	55%	75.3	74.2	+1.0
6	Barons Kvartals	27	14	13	52%	73.0	76.1	-3.1
7	Jelgava	27	12	15	44%	72.2	71.9	+0.3
8	Valmiera/ORDO	28	11	17	39%	74.6	74.0	+0.6
9	Latvijas Universitate	28	7	21	25%	64.1	75.6	-11.5
10	Saldus	28	5	23	18%	66.7	78.2	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ventspils	14	23	20	23	80
Valmiera/ORDO	10	21	32	26	89

← all games of the day

Ventspils vs Valmiera/ORDO Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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