Jelgava vs Valmiera/ORDO Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2015

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 71-87

15-26 17-21 19-21 20-19

Position#8

Record11-13

FormLWLWW

Points / game71.5

Allowed / game70.7

Jelgava

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

Position#6

Record9-16

FormWWLWL

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game75.1

LBL

Other2014-15

Meetings · Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jelgava winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jelgava

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

63-71

-8

A23/12

LBL

Saldus

71-60

+11

A28/12

LBL

Ventspils

57-78

-21

A09/01

LBL

Barons Kvartals

65-78

-13

H18/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

87-62

+25

A25/01

LBL

Jurmala

74-79

-5

A28/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

66-63

H04/02

LBL

Saldus

50-64

-14

H11/02

LBL

Jurmala

82-60

+22

H19/02

LBL

Saldus

77-55

+22

A04/03

LBL

21-23

19-11

10-21

13-16

20-17

12-5

19-24

20-14

12-28

16-21

15-5

14-24

21-9

15-23

12-22

17-24

23-13

19-16

26-18

19-15

21-16

10-22

14-19

29-22

14-17

13-16

18-16

21-14

19-15

15-21

7-11

9-17

19-14

21-14

15-12

27-20

17-14

15-15

28-10

17-16

136.2Avg total

69.2Scored

67.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	71.5	70.7	142.1	+0.8	46%
Season at home (13)	67.8	69.3	137.2	-1.5	46%
Season away (11)	75.7	72.3	148.0	+3.5	45%
Last 10 (10)	69.2	67.0	136.2	+2.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	64.2	134.0	+5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	69.2	83.2	152.5	-14.0	25%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	73.3	70.7	144.0	+2.5	36%
vs Weaker (11)	73.8	66.5	140.4	+7.3	73%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

#16

74-66

H21/01

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

75-89

-14

H24/01

LBL

Barons Kvartals

77-90

-13

A28/01

LBL

Jekabpils

78-72

A31/01

LBL

Pyrinto Tampere

#11

73-107

107

-34

A03/02

Baltic League

Pyrinto Tampere

#11

84-78

H11/02

Baltic League

Saldus

93-73

+20

A14/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

75-87

-12

A18/02

LBL

Jurmala

70-66

H01/03

LBL

Jekabpils

81-87

-6

H07/03

LBL

18-18

17-15

22-18

17-15

16-18

17-26

24-23

18-22

16-24

20-22

20-24

21-20

18-19

26-22

17-14

17-17

15-27

13-29

24-24

21-27

17-23

30-19

24-17

13-19

20-19

31-15

20-18

22-21

20-14

13-29

17-17

25-27

18-11

18-16

14-19

20-20

–

159.5Avg total

78.0Scored

81.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	74.0	75.1	149.1	-1.2	36%
Season at home (12)	73.4	72.8	146.2	+0.7	50%
Season away (13)	74.5	77.3	151.8	-2.8	23%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	81.5	159.5	-3.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	78.2	158.8	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	72.0	82.0	154.0	-10.0	17%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	75.0	77.6	152.6	-2.6	50%
vs Weaker (14)	79.3	72.0	151.3	+7.3	64%

This opponent (Jelgava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

JelgavaValmiera/ORDO

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	18.5	35.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.3	17.8	34.1	-1.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	16.6	35.3	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	15.2	33.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.1	20.9	37.0	-4.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.7	17.7	35.5	+0.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	17.2	17.6	34.8	-0.5	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.7	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (14)	17.7	17.5	35.2	+0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.5	35.1	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.7	17.3	35.0	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.3	17.8	35.2	-0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	16.4	31.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	17.6	32.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.4	21.5	37.9	-5.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.1	15.0	33.1	+3.1	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.1	61%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.3	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.9	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.8	24.3	40.2	-8.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.2	19.6	37.9	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.4	16.8	38.1	+4.6	79%	-

JelgavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valmiera/ORDO

40-34

A23/12

LBL

Saldus

32-22

+10

A28/12

LBL

Ventspils

28-49

-21

A09/01

LBL

Barons Kvartals

36-32

H18/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

42-29

+13

A25/01

LBL

Jurmala

31-38

-7

A28/01

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#10

27-33

-6

H04/02

LBL

Saldus

34-36

-2

H11/02

LBL

Jurmala

40-28

+12

H19/02

LBL

Saldus

32-29

A04/03

LBL

67.2Avg total

34.2Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.6	36.1	70.7	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	34.0	35.1	69.1	-1.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.5	37.4	72.8	-1.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	33.0	67.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	32.8	65.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	32.5	42.4	74.9	-9.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	35.5	34.9	70.5	+0.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (11)	35.3	32.6	67.9	+2.6	55%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

#16

35-33

H21/01

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

33-44

-11

H24/01

LBL

Barons Kvartals

36-46

-10

A28/01

LBL

Jekabpils

44-41

A31/01

LBL

Pyrinto Tampere

#11

28-56

-28

A03/02

Baltic League

Pyrinto Tampere

#11

47-42

H11/02

Baltic League

Saldus

51-34

+17

A14/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

33-43

-10

A18/02

LBL

Jurmala

36-27

H01/03

LBL

78.8Avg total

38.1Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.3	37.8	75.0	-0.5	61%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.6	37.5	74.2	-0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	37.9	75.8	-0.1	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.1	40.7	78.8	-2.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	40.4	79.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.8	43.2	77.0	-9.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	36.8	39.8	76.5	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	39.1	34.3	73.4	+4.8	79%	-

This opponent (Jelgava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	15.8	32.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	13.6	30.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.5	17.4	34.8	+0.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	17.1	35.7	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.2	19.3	39.6	+0.9	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	21.0	38.7	-3.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.9	17.1	36.0	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.7	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.1	36.7	+0.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.0	17.2	34.2	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.9	19.2	36.1	-2.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.3	18.5	38.7	+1.8	73%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.1	16.9	35.0	+1.2	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.3	16.6	34.9	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.3	43.5	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.2	21.1	39.4	-2.9	12%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.4	19.6	40.1	+0.8	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	36.0	73.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.0	35.2	70.2	-0.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.5	36.9	77.5	+3.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	34.0	69.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	31.4	68.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.4	39.0	74.4	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	37.7	35.8	73.5	+1.9	64%	-
vs Weaker (11)	38.5	33.9	72.5	+4.6	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.9	38.1	77.0	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.9	33.7	70.6	+3.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.6	41.9	82.5	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.6	40.2	79.8	-0.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	41.8	81.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.2	38.8	77.0	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	37.1	38.2	75.4	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	40.2	37.7	77.9	+2.5	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Jelgava wins

Valmiera/ORDO wins

Date	Game	Score
23/12/14	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	71-63
01/11/14	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	80-70
11/04/14	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	101-96
15/01/14	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	73-71
27/11/13	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	85-75
09/11/13	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	86-70
06/04/13	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	74-76
23/03/13	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	99-71
02/12/12	Jelgava v Valmiera/ORDO	73-75
24/10/12	Valmiera/ORDO v Jelgava	85-65

Jelgavalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/15	A	Saldus	77-55
19/02/15	H	Jurmala	82-60
11/02/15	H	Saldus	50-64
04/02/15	H	Latvijas Universitate	66-63
28/01/15	A	Jurmala	74-79
25/01/15	A	Latvijas Universitate	87-62
18/01/15	H	Barons Kvartals	65-78
09/01/15	A	Ventspils	57-78
28/12/14	A	Saldus	71-60
23/12/14	A	Valmiera/ORDO	63-71

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/15	H	Jekabpils	81-87
01/03/15	H	Jurmala	70-66
18/02/15	A	BK Liepaja	75-87
14/02/15	A	Saldus	93-73
11/02/15	H	Pyrinto Tampere	84-78
03/02/15	A	Pyrinto Tampere	73-107
31/01/15	A	Jekabpils	78-72
28/01/15	A	Barons Kvartals	77-90
24/01/15	H	BK Liepaja	75-89
21/01/15	H	Tal Tech	74-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jelgava

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	46%
Home	WLWLW	46%
Away	WLWLW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	46%	46%	45%
Points / game	71.5	67.8	75.7
Allowed / game	70.7	69.3	72.3
Point differential	+0.8	-1.5	+3.5
Avg total	142.1	137.2	148.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	23%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	75% (4)	20% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	36%
Home	WWLWL	50%
Away	WLWWL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	36%	50%	23%
Points / game	74.0	73.4	74.5
Allowed / game	75.1	72.8	77.3
Point differential	-1.2	+0.7	-2.8
Avg total	149.1	146.2	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	17%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (8)	50% (4)	0% (4)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	14	12	2	86%	81.9	66.4	+15.6
2	VEF Riga	9	7	2	78%	83.6	72.2	+11.3
3	BK Liepaja	24	18	6	75%	78.8	70.0	+8.8
4	Jurmala	26	16	10	62%	71.2	68.6	+2.6
5	Jekabpils	26	15	11	58%	74.3	72.7	+1.6
6	Barons Kvartals	25	14	11	56%	72.7	75.4	-2.7
7	Jelgava	24	11	13	46%	71.5	70.7	+0.8
8	Valmiera/ORDO	25	9	16	36%	74.0	75.1	-1.2
9	Latvijas Universitate	25	6	19	24%	64.3	74.8	-10.6
10	Saldus	26	4	22	15%	67.0	78.5	-11.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Jelgava	15	17	19	20	71
Valmiera/ORDO	26	21	21	19	87

← all games of the day

Jelgava vs Valmiera/ORDO Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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