PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

VEF Riga vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-64
17-13 11-16 33-15 19-20
Position#3
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game77.0
VEF Riga 🏆
vs
Parnu
Position#8
Record2-0
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game70.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Rimi Olimpiskais centrs (Riga)
Other2023
Meetings · VEF Riga v Parnu
17 Oct 2026
VRI89
PAR72
13 Dec 2025
VRI90
PAR80
02 Nov 2024
VRI75
PAR70
11 Oct 2023
VRI80
PAR64
14 Jan 2023
VRI85
PAR41
16 Oct 2021
VRI92
PAR95
26 Dec 2018
VRI91
PAR56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#2
L
75-78
75
78
-3
no box
H26/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
92-60
92
60
+32
no box
A28/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
87-61
87
61
+26
no box
H30/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H03/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
91-74
91
74
+17
no box
A07/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
84-69
84
69
+15
no box
H11/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
A14/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
79-61
79
61
+18
no box
H16/05
LBL
Tal Tech
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
65avg 64
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
94-74
94
74
+20
90avg 64
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
17-17
18-22
24-17
24-11
23-11
25-20
20-18
26-17
22-18
18-14
21-12
20-20
23-21
17-16
20-26
24-18
26-22
25-24
16-10
17-9
25-20
18-18
24-22
24-18
20-16
24-15
21-25
18-17
20-16
21-13
20-15
20-15
16-28
21-20
21-17
17-22
27-14
27-20
23-18
156.3Avg total
84.9Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.077.0163.0+9.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)86.077.0163.0+9.050%
Last 10 (10)84.971.4156.3+13.570%
Last 5 (5)84.871.6156.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.584.5152.0-17.00%
vs Similar (1)83.065.0148.0+18.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)83.769.1152.8+14.678%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
68-78
68
78
-10
53avg 67
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
A16/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
67avg 67
H20/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 67
A22/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
L
72-95
72
95
-23
63avg 67
H24/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
78avg 67
A26/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#9
W
77-75
77
75
+2
78avg 67
A23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
80avg 67
H27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#19
L
62-69
62
69
-7
56avg 67
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#25
L
67-77
67
77
-10
56avg 67
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-14
18-22
25-17
15-25
13-15
17-19
26-24
21-19
14-19
21-20
16-17
27-26
14-13
20-22
23-19
23-17
19-21
17-32
17-20
19-22
19-24
26-13
26-17
20-15
25-17
14-22
19-21
19-15
22-15
21-20
22-9
18-22
19-13
16-13
14-19
13-24
15-11
20-21
19-26
13-19
153.3Avg total
76.5Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.070.5150.5+9.5100%
Season at home (1)83.066.0149.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)77.075.0152.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.576.8153.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)76.071.2147.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.080.5153.5-7.50%
vs Similar (21)77.077.3154.4-0.348%
vs Weaker (5)86.680.2166.8+6.460%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
VEF RigaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H26/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
47-22
47
22
+25
A28/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H30/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A07/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H11/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A14/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H16/05
LBL
Tal Tech
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
77.7Avg total
42.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.434.777.1+7.777%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.732.273.9+9.586%-
Last 30 away (16)43.036.879.8+6.269%-
Last 10 (10)42.535.277.7+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.075.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (1)34.033.067.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)42.734.176.8+8.678%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A16/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H20/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A22/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H24/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Viimsi
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A26/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tindastoll
#19
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#25
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
72.6Avg total
36.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.376.2+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.537.976.5+0.654%-
Last 30 away (17)39.136.975.9+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)36.036.672.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.433.873.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.538.873.2-4.225%-
vs Similar (21)38.837.676.4+1.248%-
vs Weaker (5)42.435.277.6+7.280%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.714.8
49.8%
50.5%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.1
35.8%
32.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.112.8
74.9%
70.5%12.8
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.1
50.6%
50.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.6
33.5%
32.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.213.3
69.3%
70.5%13.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WLWWWWLWWL
Parnu
LLWWWLWLWL
#3
League position
#8
-8.9
Net rating
+0.3
102.8
Offensive rating
100.5
111.7
Defensive rating
100.2
51.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
23.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.8%
3-point %
33.5%
67.9%
Assist %
54.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 100.5Defence111.7 · 100.2Shooting51.7% · 50.5%3-point %35.8% · 33.5%Ball care23.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds33.6% · 24.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
VEF Riga wins
1
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
14/01/23VEF Riga v Parnu85-41
05/11/22Parnu v VEF Riga63-71
20/11/21Parnu v VEF Riga77-80
16/10/21VEF Riga v Parnu92-95
26/12/18VEF Riga v Parnu91-56
08/11/18Parnu v VEF Riga72-76
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23ABK Ogre94-74
30/09/23ATal Tech78-80
16/05/23HVentspils79-61
14/05/23AVentspils89-74
11/05/23HVentspils84-69
07/05/23AVentspils91-74
03/05/23HVentspils80-83
30/04/23HBK Liepaja87-61
28/04/23ABK Liepaja92-60
26/04/23HBK Liepaja75-78
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/23ATrepca67-77
03/10/23HTindastoll62-69
27/09/23HKeila KK83-66
23/09/23ATal Tech77-75
26/05/23AViimsi91-69
24/05/23HViimsi72-95
22/05/23AViimsi80-71
20/05/23HViimsi78-82
16/05/23AViimsi87-86 OT
12/05/23ATartu Ulikool68-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total163.0-163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.083.077.0
Allowed / game70.566.075.0
Point differential+9.5+17.0+2.0
Avg total150.5149.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey220100%97.567.5+30.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo330100%90.372.3+18.0
3 Parnu220100%80.070.5+9.5
4 Tal Tech32167%83.771.3+12.3
5 BK Liepaja32167%94.786.3+8.3
6 Rigas Zelli32167%70.363.3+7.0
7 Tallinna Kalev32167%73.773.3+0.3
8 VEF Riga21150%86.077.0+9.0
9 Ventspils21150%92.092.5-0.5
10 Tartu Ulikool31233%72.372.7-0.3
11 Rapla31233%74.776.7-2.0
12 BK Ogre31233%75.778.3-2.7
13 Valmiera Glass Via41325%77.281.8-4.5
14 Keila KK41325%71.580.2-8.8
15 Latvijas Universitate41325%69.289.0-19.8
16 Viimsi41325%65.287.0-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga1711331980
Parnu1316152064
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.