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Tartu Ulikool vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 74-72
13-12 22-14 22-16 17-30
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#3
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game72.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone (Tartu)
Other2023
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v VEF Riga
06 Mar 2027
TUL v VRI
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
TUL95
VRI78
25 Jan 2025
TUL67
VRI93
14 Oct 2023
TUL74
VRI72
23 Dec 2022
TUL70
VRI77
01 Apr 2022
TUL85
VRI88
04 Dec 2021
TUL64
VRI95
16 Jan 2019
TUL75
VRI81
25 Sep 2011
TUL69
VRI95
06 Nov 2010
TUL77
VRI85
16 Jan 2010
TUL70
VRI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Parnu
#3
W
95-81
95
81
+14
86avg 71
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
72-71
72
71
+1
72avg 71
H08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
75avg 71
A10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
78-68
78
68
+10
72avg 71
H12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
60avg 71
A18/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
62avg 71
H23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
79avg 71
A27/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
64avg 71
A21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
83-88 OT
83
88
-5
72avg 71
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
63-56
63
56
+7
64avg 71
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
20-19
24-12
25-20
20-23
20-16
14-17
18-15
15-19
29-17
20-28
15-21
14-10
22-18
17-25
25-15
18-13
14-23
21-16
12-19
17-24
18-31
23-17
15-18
19-16
24-20
19-26
20-27
20-17
11-20
15-21
25-16
19-16
23-17
18-18
16-25
12-11
15-19
20-16
16-10
153.4Avg total
76.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.372.7145.0-0.333%
Season at home (2)73.072.0145.0+1.050%
Season away (1)71.074.0145.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)76.177.3153.4-1.240%
Last 5 (5)74.479.4153.8-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.281.2152.4-10.010%
vs Similar (11)78.575.4153.9+3.264%
vs Weaker (9)83.372.1155.4+11.278%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#2
W
92-60
92
60
+32
no box
A28/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
87-61
87
61
+26
no box
H30/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H03/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
91-74
91
74
+17
no box
A07/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
84-69
84
69
+15
no box
H11/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
A14/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
79-61
79
61
+18
no box
H16/05
LBL
Tal Tech
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
65avg 68
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
94-74
94
74
+20
90avg 68
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
80-64
80
64
+16
73avg 68
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-11
23-11
25-20
20-18
26-17
22-18
18-14
21-12
20-20
23-21
17-16
20-26
24-18
26-22
25-24
16-10
17-9
25-20
18-18
24-22
24-18
20-16
24-15
21-25
18-17
20-16
21-13
20-15
20-15
16-28
21-20
21-17
17-22
27-14
27-20
23-18
17-13
11-16
33-15
19-20
155.4Avg total
85.4Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.072.7156.7+11.367%
Season at home (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)86.077.0163.0+9.050%
Last 10 (10)85.470.0155.4+15.480%
Last 5 (5)84.070.6154.6+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.584.5152.0-17.00%
vs Similar (1)83.065.0148.0+18.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)83.668.7152.3+15.078%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
Tartu UlikoolVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A18/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A27/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
75.5Avg total
37.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.277.4+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.936.775.6+2.256%-
Last 30 away (12)39.740.580.2-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.975.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.273.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.240.275.4-5.020%-
vs Similar (11)39.337.576.7+1.855%-
vs Weaker (9)43.637.080.6+6.667%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#2
W
47-22
47
22
+25
A28/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H30/04
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A07/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H11/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A14/05
LBL
Ventspils
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H16/05
LBL
Tal Tech
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
76.2Avg total
42.0Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.634.476.0+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.931.671.6+8.379%-
Last 30 away (16)43.036.879.8+6.269%-
Last 10 (10)42.034.276.2+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.073.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.543.586.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (1)34.033.067.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.833.875.6+8.074%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.8
48.2%
50.5%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.6
35.4%
32.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
70.5%13.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.815.8
49.7%
50.5%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.7
35.9%
32.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.412.5
76.2%
70.5%12.5
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
WLLLLLWLWW
VEF Riga
WWLWWWWLWW
#5
League position
#3
-1.3
Net rating
-5.1
100.9
Offensive rating
103.0
102.2
Defensive rating
108.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
22.1%
Turnover %
23.8%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
35.9%
56.4%
Assist %
67.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 103.0Defence102.2 · 108.1Shooting50.2% · 51.6%3-point %35.4% · 35.9%Ball care22.1% · 23.8%Off. rebounds32.1% · 34.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tartu Ulikool wins
9
VEF Riga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/23HRigas Zelli63-56
29/09/23HVentspils83-88 OT
21/09/23ABC Kalev/Cramo71-74
27/05/23ABC Kalev/Cramo82-89
23/05/23HBC Kalev/Cramo73-90
18/05/23ABC Kalev/Cramo65-71
12/05/23HParnu78-68
10/05/23AParnu79-85
08/05/23HParnu72-71
05/05/23AParnu95-81
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23HParnu80-64
04/10/23ABK Ogre94-74
30/09/23ATal Tech78-80
16/05/23HVentspils79-61
14/05/23AVentspils89-74
11/05/23HVentspils84-69
07/05/23AVentspils91-74
03/05/23HVentspils80-83
30/04/23HBK Liepaja87-61
28/04/23ABK Liepaja92-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game72.373.071.0
Allowed / game72.772.074.0
Point differential-0.3+1.0-3.0
Avg total145.0145.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game84.080.086.0
Allowed / game72.764.077.0
Point differential+11.3+16.0+9.0
Avg total156.7144.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey330100%95.067.0+28.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%92.267.0+25.2
3 Rigas Zelli43175%74.563.0+11.5
4 Tal Tech43175%87.878.0+9.8
5 VEF Riga32167%84.072.7+11.3
6 BK Ogre53260%80.871.2+9.6
7 BK Liepaja42250%86.586.2+0.2
8 Parnu42250%73.072.8+0.2
9 Tallinna Kalev42250%68.079.5-11.5
10 Valmiera Glass Via52340%75.879.0-3.2
11 Tartu Ulikool31233%72.372.7-0.3
12 Ventspils31233%94.095.0-1.0
13 Rapla41325%72.580.0-7.5
14 Keila KK41325%71.580.2-8.8
15 Latvijas Universitate51420%67.888.6-20.8
16 Viimsi51420%64.087.8-23.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tartu Ulikool1322221774
VEF Riga1214163072
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