
On 8 November 2026 the Latvia-Estonian League will see Viimsi host VEF Riga, with the model designating VEF Riga as the favourite thanks to their 7-1 record, 89.8 points per game and only 71.4 allowed, a stark contrast to Viimsi's 1-8 record, 71.2 points per game and 86.0 allowed; the disparity explains the 98% probability that VEF Riga will win. Viimsi has struggled all season, losing every one of their four home games with an average of 71.5 points scored and 85.2 allowed, and their last five games included a 54-112 loss to BK Liepaja, a 60-75 loss to Ventspils and a 72-78 loss to Keila KK. VEF Riga, meanwhile, has won all three of their road games, averaging 93.0 points scored and 77.3 allowed, and in their last five games they have two wins and three losses, including a 97-65 victory over Fribourg Olympic. Historically VEF Riga has dominated the rivalry, winning nine of ten meetings and most recently defeating Viimsi 107-62 on 8 March 2026. The model projects a 69-95 score, 164.4 total points, a 25.0 point spread with a 46% chance of VEF Riga covering, and a 62% probability of the over on the 159.5 line, with no chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 71.2 | 86.0 | 157.2 | -14.8 | 11% |
| Season at home (4) | 71.5 | 85.2 | 156.8 | -13.8 | 0% |
| Season away (5) | 71.0 | 86.6 | 157.6 | -15.6 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.5 | 86.4 | 157.9 | -14.9 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 68.6 | 85.4 | 154.0 | -16.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (23) | 71.1 | 90.4 | 161.5 | -19.3 | 17% |
| vs Similar (7) | 80.7 | 79.1 | 159.9 | +1.6 | 43% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 89.8 | 71.4 | 161.1 | +18.4 | 88% |
| Season at home (5) | 87.8 | 67.8 | 155.6 | +20.0 | 80% |
| Season away (3) | 93.0 | 77.3 | 170.3 | +15.7 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 91.7 | 79.7 | 171.4 | +12.0 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.0 | 84.6 | 172.6 | +3.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (8) | 86.6 | 89.6 | 176.2 | -3.0 | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 89.7 | 72.4 | 162.0 | +17.3 | 86% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.7 | 46.3 | 83.0 | -9.6 | 23% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 37.0 | 44.9 | 81.9 | -7.9 | 29% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 36.4 | 47.6 | 84.1 | -11.2 | 19% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.0 | 44.4 | 82.4 | -6.4 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.0 | 45.8 | 80.8 | -10.8 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (23) | 34.7 | 47.8 | 82.5 | -13.0 | 13% | 52% |
| vs Similar (7) | 43.1 | 41.6 | 84.7 | +1.6 | 57% | 71% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.5 | 38.4 | 84.9 | +8.1 | 83% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 46.1 | 38.5 | 84.5 | +7.6 | 93% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 46.9 | 38.3 | 85.3 | +8.6 | 73% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.6 | 37.7 | 83.3 | +7.9 | 80% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.6 | 36.2 | 82.8 | +10.4 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (8) | 43.5 | 39.8 | 83.2 | +3.8 | 88% | 75% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 47.5 | 37.4 | 85.0 | +10.1 | 81% | 52% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VEF Riga over 87.5 | 81.9% | 1.38 | 1.43 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +16.1pp | Won |
| VEF Riga over 89.5 | 76.1% | 1.51 | 1.57 | 1.50 | 1.45 | - | - | +16.1pp | Lost |
| VEF Riga over 90.5 | 72.9% | 1.56 | 1.60 | 1.53 | - | - | - | +15.9pp | Lost |
| VEF Riga over 85.5 | 86.7% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +15.8pp | Won |
| VEF Riga over 88.5 | 79.2% | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +15.1pp | Lost |
| VEF Riga over 86.5 | 84.5% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +14.6pp | Won |
| VEF Riga over 83.5 | 90.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Won |
| VEF Riga over 82.5 | 92.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Won |
| VEF Riga over 81.5 | 93.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +14.0pp | Won |
| VEF Riga -21 | 74.6% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +13.3pp | Lost |
| Over 156 | 71.3% | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.54 | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| VEF Riga -22 | 71.6% | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Lost |
| Over 155.5 | 71.9% | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +11.8pp | Won |
| Over 154.5 | 74.0% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +11.5pp | Won |
| VEF Riga -15.5 | 86.6% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Lost |
| Over 153.5 | 76.0% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Won |
| VEF Riga over 79.5 | 95.7% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Won |
| VEF Riga -21.5 | 72.5% | 1.49 | 1.54 | 1.50 | 1.49 | 1.42 | - | +11.2pp | Lost |
| Over 152.5 | 77.9% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +10.9pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 83.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| VEF Riga -20.5 | 75.3% | 1.42 | 1.50 | 1.42 | 1.35 | - | - | +10.6pp | Lost |
| VEF Riga -17.5 | 82.7% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Lost |
| VEF Riga -18.5 | 80.4% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +10.4pp | Lost |
| VEF Riga over 77.5 | 97.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| VEF Riga -19.5 | 77.9% | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Lost |
| VEF Riga over 75.5 | 98.2% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 89.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| VEF Riga over 73.5 | 98.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| VEF Riga over 72.5 | 99.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| VEF Riga over 71.5 | 99.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| VEF Riga -10.5 | 93.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Lost |
| Over 139.5 | 94.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Over 134.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| VEF Riga -4.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| VEF Riga win | 98.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Viimsi under 84.5 | 94.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Lost |
| Viimsi under 86.5 | 96.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Lost |
| Viimsi under 82.5 | 92.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Lost |
| Viimsi under 80.5 | 89.0% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Lost |
| Viimsi under 78.5 | 84.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Lost |
| Viimsi under 77.5 | 82.4% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Lost |
| Viimsi under 76.5 | 79.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Lost |
| Under 184.5 | 89.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -1.4pp | Lost |
| Viimsi under 74.5 | 73.5% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Lost |
| Under 179.5 | 82.0% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -5.1pp | Lost |
| Under 174.5 | 72.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -7.8pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.4 | 18.7 | 52.5% | 37.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.0 | 7.7 | 31.4% | 23.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.6 | 11.0 | 68.3% | 11.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.7 | 23.1 | 52.5% | 46.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.9 | 8.8 | 31.4% | 26.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.0 | 18.4 | 68.3% | 18.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 | Viimsi v VEF Riga | 62-107 |
| 26/10/25 | VEF Riga v Viimsi | 83-60 |
| 16/03/25 | Viimsi v VEF Riga | 69-98 |
| 09/10/24 | VEF Riga v Viimsi | 89-52 |
| 14/01/24 | Viimsi v VEF Riga | 57-83 |
| 04/11/23 | VEF Riga v Viimsi | 96-46 |
| 15/03/23 | Viimsi v VEF Riga | 78-102 |
| 25/01/23 | VEF Riga v Viimsi | 65-72 |
| 10/04/22 | VEF Riga v Viimsi | 95-64 |
| 11/03/22 | VEF Riga v Viimsi | 94-60 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 54-112 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Ventspils | 60-75 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Keila KK | 72-78 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Latvijas Universitate | 88-86 |
| 16/10/26 | H | BK Ogre | 69-76 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Valmiera Glass Via | 87-91 |
| 07/10/26 | A | Rigas Juniori | 81-82 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Tal Tech | 64-85 |
| 27/09/26 | H | BC Kalev/Cramo | 66-89 |
| 14/03/26 | A | Rigas Zelli | 74-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | A | Fribourg Olympic | 97-65 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Tartu Ulikool | 74-86 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Mykonos | 88-91 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Valmiera Glass Via | 97-89 |
| 21/10/26 | A | CSM Oradea | 84-92 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Parnu | 89-72 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Neftchi IK | 110-94 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Tal Tech | 90-70 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Lok. Plovdiv | 106-83 |
| 03/10/26 | H | BK Liepaja | 82-55 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLL | 11% |
| Home | LLLL | 0% |
| Away | LWLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Points / game | 71.2 | 71.5 | 71.0 |
| Allowed / game | 86.0 | 85.2 | 86.6 |
| Point differential | -14.8 | -13.8 | -15.6 |
| Avg total | 157.2 | 156.8 | 157.6 |
| Over 160.5 | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 88% |
| Home | WWWWL | 80% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| Win % | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Points / game | 89.8 | 87.8 | 93.0 |
| Allowed / game | 71.4 | 67.8 | 77.3 |
| Point differential | +18.4 | +20.0 | +15.7 |
| Avg total | 161.1 | 155.6 | 170.3 |
| Over 160.5 | 50% | 40% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 93.8 | 74.4 | +19.4 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 89.8 | 71.4 | +18.4 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 89.9 | 76.9 | +13.0 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 86.2 | 82.0 | +4.2 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 82.8 | 76.4 | +6.4 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 73.7 | 73.8 | -0.1 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 78.9 | 78.1 | +0.7 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 84.6 | 82.6 | +2.0 | |
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 87.4 | 86.4 | +1.0 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 83.6 | 76.0 | +7.6 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 72.7 | 81.7 | -9.0 | |
| 12 | Rigas Juniori | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.0 | 88.5 | -8.5 |
| 13 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 71.2 | 86.0 | -14.8 | |
| 14 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 76.9 | 91.9 | -15.0 | |
| 15 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 70.3 | 91.1 | -20.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 18 | 30 | 29 | 104 | |
| 25 | 14 | 26 | 23 | 88 |
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