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Villanova vs Providence Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-73
45-28 42-45
Position#46
Record15-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#246
Record9-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game86.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Villanova v Providence
22 Dec 2026
VILL v PROV
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
VILL87
PROV73
17 Jan 2025
VILL75
PROV73
04 Feb 2024
VILL68
PROV50
29 Jan 2023
VILL65
PROV70
01 Mar 2022
VILL76
PROV74
23 Jan 2021
VILL71
PROV56
29 Feb 2020
VILL54
PROV58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villanova winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Providence winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
76-66 OT
76
66
+10
H20/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A24/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H31/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A03/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A13/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H22/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
67-75 OT
67
75
-8
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-22
21-34
31-27
33-29
28-32
43-34
30-33
55-34
34-30
38-46
44-38
32-35
46-34
42-48
35-36
44-50
26-23
40-28
31-27
30-34
144.2Avg total
74.4Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.469.0146.4+8.575%
Season at home (12)80.967.6148.5+13.383%
Season away (8)72.171.0143.1+1.162%
Last 10 (10)74.469.8144.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)75.273.4148.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.078.3145.3-11.333%
vs Similar (11)72.369.1141.4+3.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)77.666.1143.7+11.688%
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#208
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A10/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H13/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
104-105 OT
104
105
-1
A19/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H24/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-41
44-48
28-35
39-37
31-38
46-33
47-37
42-52
35-44
49-53
34-46
48-42
45-46
48-42
44-54
50-40
43-25
35-56
37-41
44-46
177.9Avg total
87.4Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.886.1174.9+2.743%
Season at home (12)88.781.3170.0+7.358%
Season away (9)88.992.4181.3-3.622%
Last 10 (10)87.490.5177.9-3.120%
Last 5 (5)87.689.8177.4-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.384.5160.7-8.218%
vs Similar (15)87.188.1175.1-1.027%
vs Weaker (4)89.568.5158.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: -0.4-0.4
VillanovaProvidence
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H08/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A13/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/01
NCAA
64.2Avg total
34.0Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.631.867.4+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.330.468.6+7.982%-
Last 30 away (13)32.233.665.8-1.554%-
Last 10 (10)34.030.264.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)36.431.668.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.337.366.7-8.067%-
vs Similar (11)35.031.166.1+3.964%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.231.268.4+6.175%-
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#208
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H13/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A19/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H24/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/01
NCAA
79.6Avg total
38.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.276.4-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.035.674.6+3.459%-
Last 30 away (13)37.041.678.6-4.623%-
Last 10 (10)38.940.779.6-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.483.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.840.675.5-5.818%-
vs Similar (15)39.739.379.0+0.347%-
vs Weaker (4)41.527.569.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Villanova wins
4
Providence wins
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AUconn67-75 OT
22/01/26HGeorgetown66-51
18/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)79-86
13/01/26AProvidence88-82
10/01/26AMarquette76-73
08/01/26HCreighton72-76
03/01/26AButler85-67
31/12/25HDePaul71-66
24/12/25ASeton Hall64-56
20/12/25HWisconsin76-66 OT
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26AUconn81-87
24/01/26HGeorgetown78-81
19/01/26AMarquette104-105 OT
16/01/26HCreighton93-88
13/01/26HVillanova82-88
10/01/26AXavier84-97
08/01/26HUconn98-103 OT
03/01/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)77-71
19/12/25HSeton Hall67-72
13/12/25AButler110-113 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Villanova
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %75%83%62%
Points / game77.480.972.1
Allowed / game69.067.671.0
Point differential+8.4+13.3+1.1
Avg total146.3148.5143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%8%12%
Providence
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeLLLWL58%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %43%58%22%
Points / game88.888.788.9
Allowed / game86.181.392.4
Point differential+2.7+7.3-3.6
Avg total174.9170.0181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %19%8%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn2120195%78.764.3+14.4
2 Villanova2015575%77.469.0+8.4
3 Seton Hall2115671%72.264.2+8.0
4 St. John's (N.Y.)2316770%82.673.8+8.8
5 Butler2113862%82.976.7+6.2
6 Creighton2112957%78.274.9+3.3
7 DePaul2112957%72.769.5+3.2
8 Georgetown21111052%75.373.3+2.0
9 Xavier21111052%78.077.6+0.4
10 Providence2191243%88.886.1+2.7
11 Marquette2281436%76.378.3-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Villanova454287
Providence284573
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