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Virginia Tech vs Coppin State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 82-65
Projected total 147.3
Final 88-54
45-27 43-27
Position#44
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Virginia Tech 🏆
USA
Vs
93%
■ VIRG 93%■ COPP 7%
Pythia win probability
Coppin State
USA
Position#370
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Virginia Tech v Coppin State
03 Nov 2026
VIRG88
COPP54
06 Nov 2023
VIRG100
COPP55
19 Dec 2020
VIRG97
COPP57
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Virginia Tech will host Coppin State on 3 November 2026 in an NCAA contest where the model names Virginia Tech the clear favourite, assigning it a 93% chance of victory, a reflection of its dominant 2-3 record over the last five games and a projected 82-65 win that echoes its season-long superiority. Virginia Tech has played 5 games this season, winning 2 and losing 3, scoring an average of 82 points per game and allowing 65, placing it high in the standings, while Coppin State also has a 2-3 record, averaging 65 points scored and 82 allowed, a mirror of Virginia Tech's numbers but with the roles reversed. In recent outings Virginia Tech lost to Wake Forest 89-95 at home on 10 March 2026, lost to Virginia 72-76 away on 7 March 2026, and beat Boston College 72-63 at home on 3 March 2026, whereas Coppin State lost to Morgan State 66-70 away on 5 March 2026, lost to Howard 70-90 away on 2 March 2026, and lost to Norfolk State 69-75 at home on 28 February 2026. Their head-to-head record is 2-0 in favour of Virginia Tech, the last meeting ending 100-55 for Virginia Tech on 6 November 2023. The Pythia model projects a total of 147.3 points, with a 2% probability of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia Tech winWon
93.0%fair 1.08
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Coppin State winLost
7.0%fair 14.28
Best odds65.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 02 Nov 07:08 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#8
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H31/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A07/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A12/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
69-92
69
92
-23
H14/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
89-95 OT
89
95
-6
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-40
27-32
24-36
49-46
40-33
36-33
42-39
27-53
34-31
32-36
43-33
39-30
44-44
38-45
35-24
37-39
25-41
47-35
34-38
41-37
150.4Avg total
73.9Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.976.5150.4-2.630%
Last 5 (5)79.477.2156.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.279.6151.9-7.412%
vs Similar (15)78.474.3152.7+4.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.368.1148.4+12.1100%
This opponent (Coppin State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Coppin StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#233
L
76-103
76
103
-27
A24/01
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
L
80-89
80
89
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
53-72
53
72
-19
H02/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
65-47
65
47
+18
H07/02
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A14/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
71-65 OT
71
65
+6
H21/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
70-90
70
90
-20
A03/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-49
40-54
32-45
48-44
24-31
29-41
26-23
39-24
27-33
31-23
22-28
37-29
33-25
27-35
29-42
40-33
29-46
41-44
32-34
34-36
139.1Avg total
66.7Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.772.4139.1-5.740%
Last 5 (5)67.071.4138.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)64.682.4147.0-17.819%
vs Similar (3)66.365.3131.7+1.067%
vs Weaker (1)103.062.0165.0+41.0100%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146.5Actual: Under 146.5
Over 146.5
51.8%
@ 1.50-10.8pp
Under 146.5
48.2%
@ 2.50+10.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.47
Over/Under 151.5 · main lineActual: Under 151.5
Over 151.5
39.6%
@ 1.93-10.4pp
Under 151.5
60.4%
@ 1.88+10.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.90
Pinnacle
1.87
Under
Bet365
1.88
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.87
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.83
Over/Under 156.5Actual: Under 156.5
Over 156.5
28.3%
@ 2.70-7.6pp
Under 156.5
71.7%
@ 1.47+7.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.41

📊 3. Team Totals

Virginia Tech total 86.5Actual: Virginia Tech over 86.5
Over 86.5
33.2%
@ 1.36-33.3pp
Under 86.5
66.8%
@ 2.70+33.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.70
Virginia Tech total 90.5 · main lineActual: Virginia Tech under 90.5
Over 90.5
20.1%
@ 1.85-30.2pp
Under 90.5
79.9%
@ 1.93+30.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Virginia Tech total 94.5Actual: Virginia Tech under 94.5
Over 94.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under 94.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.42
Under
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.45
Coppin State total 55.5Actual: Coppin State under 55.5
Over 55.5
82.9%
@ 1.32+13.1pp
Under 55.5
17.1%
@ 3.15-13.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.31
Under
Bet365
3.15
Betano
2.95
Coppin State total 59.5 · main lineActual: Coppin State under 59.5
Over 59.5
70.9%
@ 1.85+20.1pp
Under 59.5
29.1%
@ 1.88-20.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Under
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Coppin State total 63.5Actual: Coppin State under 63.5
Over 63.5
55.9%
@ 2.62+19.0pp
Under 63.5
44.1%
@ 1.47-19.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.62
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Virginia Tech -34.5Actual: Coppin State +34.5
VIRG -34.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
COPP +34.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
VIRG
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.40
COPP
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.45
Spread Virginia Tech -31.5 · main lineActual: Virginia Tech -31.5
VIRG -31.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
COPP +31.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Best 5 market prices
VIRG
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Be
1.95
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
SBO
1.87
COPP
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.87
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.79
BetVictor
1.78
Spread Virginia Tech -28.5Actual: Virginia Tech -28.5
VIRG -28.5
no forecast
@ 1.67
COPP +28.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
Best 5 market prices
VIRG
Marathon Be
1.67
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.65
COPP
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.10

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -6.6-6.62nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: -6.6-6.62nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +0.3+0.3
Virginia TechCoppin State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H31/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A12/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/03
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/03
NCAA
71.1Avg total
35.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72.5
Last 30 (30)35.433.769.2+1.753%43%
Last 30 at home (17)38.231.970.1+6.371%53%
Last 30 away (13)31.836.268.0-4.331%31%
Last 10 (10)35.235.971.1-0.750%40%
Last 5 (5)36.236.072.2+0.240%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.236.665.9-7.412%25%
vs Similar (15)37.534.171.6+3.353%60%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.129.667.7+8.6100%29%
This opponent (Coppin State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Coppin StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#233
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A24/01
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H07/02
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A14/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A16/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H28/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A06/03
NCAA
64.6Avg total
29.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72.5
Last 30 (30)29.838.067.8-8.223%33%
Last 30 at home (9)33.332.065.3+1.344%44%
Last 30 away (21)28.340.668.9-12.314%29%
Last 10 (10)29.035.664.6-6.620%30%
Last 5 (5)29.035.064.0-6.020%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)29.739.469.0-9.723%35%
vs Similar (3)23.031.054.0-8.00%0%
vs Weaker (1)54.023.077.0+31.0100%100%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Virginia Tech win
VIRG win
no forecast
@ 1.02
COPP win
no forecast
@ 14.00
1st half Spread Virginia Tech -17.5 · main lineActual: Virginia Tech -17.5
VIRG -17.5
no forecast
@ 1.92
COPP +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 72.5 · main lineActual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Virginia Tech 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Virginia Tech over 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Coppin State 1st half total 28.5 · main lineActual: Coppin State under 28.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.27
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Spread Virginia Tech -18.5Actual: Coppin State +18.5
VIRG -18.5
no forecast
@ 2.02
COPP +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Virginia Tech -16.5Actual: Virginia Tech -16.5
VIRG -16.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
COPP +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Over 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Under 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Virginia Tech -19.5Actual: Coppin State +19.5
VIRG -19.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
COPP +19.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Spread Virginia Tech -15.5Actual: Virginia Tech -15.5
VIRG -15.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
COPP +15.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Over 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.53
Under
no forecast
@ 2.30
1st half Spread Virginia Tech -20.5Actual: Coppin State +20.5
VIRG -20.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
COPP +20.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Virginia Tech -14.5Actual: Virginia Tech -14.5
VIRG -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
COPP +14.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
1st half Over/Under 66.5Actual: Over 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.30
Under
no forecast
@ 3.20
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Virginia Tech (regulation)
VIRG
no forecast
@ 1.03
Draw
no forecast
@ 34.00
COPP
no forecast
@ 13.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
VIRG win + total 151.5
🔒 Pro
COPP win + total 151.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: VIRG leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Coppin State +2370.7%3.40
Bet365
3.40		----+43.5ppLost
Coppin State +2473.7%3.05
Bet365
3.05		----+43.2ppLost
Coppin State +2576.5%2.75
Bet365
2.75		----+42.8ppLost
Coppin State +23.571.6%3.20
Betano
3.25
Bet365
3.15		---+42.6ppLost
Coppin State +24.574.4%2.88
Betano
2.95
Bet365
2.80		---+42.3ppLost
Virginia Tech under 87.570.4%2.45
Betano
2.45		----+33.4ppLost
Virginia Tech under 88.573.8%2.24
1xBet
2.25
Betano
2.22		---+32.9ppWon
Virginia Tech under 89.577.0%2.05
Betano
2.05		----+32.8ppWon
Virginia Tech under 9182.1%1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84		---+32.0ppWon
Virginia Tech under 91.582.6%1.80
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80		--+31.1ppWon
Virginia Tech under 90.579.9%1.88
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83		+30.2ppWon
Coppin State over 59.570.9%1.82
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80		--+20.1ppLost
Coppin State over 58.574.2%1.55
Betano
1.55		----+15.8ppLost
Coppin State over 57.577.4%1.48
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.47		---+15.3ppLost
Coppin State over 56.580.3%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+14.5ppLost
Coppin State over 55.582.9%1.31
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.31		---+13.1ppLost
Under 156.571.7%1.44
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.41		---+7.6ppWon
Under 157.573.7%1.39
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.36		---+7.3ppWon
Under 15773.2%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+6.9ppWon
Under 158.575.7%1.35
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.32		---+6.9ppWon
Under 15671.1%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+6.9ppWon
Under 15875.2%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+5.7ppWon
Under 15977.1%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+5.7ppWon
Under 159.577.6%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+4.8ppWon
Under 161.581.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+3.3ppWon
Under 171.593.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+2.9ppWon
Under 176.596.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.6ppWon
Under 166.588.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+2.1ppWon
Virginia Tech (regulation)91.9%1.01
Betano
1.01		----+0.1ppWon
Over 126.590.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----2.1ppWon
Over 131.583.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----5.8ppWon
Virginia Tech over 71.586.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----6.7ppWon
Virginia Tech over 72.583.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----8.5ppWon
Over 136.574.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----9.7ppWon
Virginia Tech over 73.581.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----10.0ppWon
Virginia Tech over 74.578.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----12.4ppWon
Virginia Tech over 75.575.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----14.4ppWon
Virginia Tech over 76.571.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----17.1ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virginia Tech wins
0
Coppin State wins
DateGameScore
07/11/23Virginia Tech v Coppin State100-55
19/12/20Virginia Tech v Coppin State97-57
Virginia Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26HWake Forest89-95 OT
07/03/26AVirginia72-76
04/03/26HBoston College72-63
01/03/26ANorth Carolina82-89
21/02/26HWake Forest82-63
18/02/26AMiami (FL)66-67
14/02/26HFlorida State69-92
12/02/26AClemson76-66
07/02/26ANC State73-82
31/01/26HDuke58-72
Coppin Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26AMorgan State66-70
03/03/26AHoward70-90
28/02/26HNorfolk State69-75
21/02/26HMd.-East. Shore71-65 OT
16/02/26ASouth Carolina St59-57
14/02/26AN. Carolina Central58-56
07/02/26HDelaware State65-47
02/02/26HHoward53-72
31/01/26HMorgan State80-89
24/01/26ANorfolk State76-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia Tech
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 151.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Coppin State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 151.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pittsburgh110100%95.057.0+38.0
2 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
3 California110100%115.086.0+29.0
4 Wake Forest110100%83.062.0+21.0
5 NC State110100%83.064.0+19.0
6 Syracuse110100%74.058.0+16.0
7 Louisville110100%84.070.0+14.0
8 Clemson110100%85.072.0+13.0
9 SMU Mustangs110100%85.072.0+13.0
10 Stanford110100%74.065.0+9.0
11 North Carolina110100%80.072.0+8.0
12 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
13 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
14 Florida State1010%69.0112.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morgan State110100%103.052.0+51.0
2 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
3 Delaware State110100%86.052.0+34.0
4 Norfolk State110100%68.045.0+23.0
5 Howard1010%62.072.0-10.0
6 N. Carolina Central1010%62.078.0-16.0
7 Md.-East. Shore1010%62.083.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia Tech454388
Coppin State272754
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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