PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

North Carolina vs Virginia Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 89-82
44-44 45-38
Position#45
Record22-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game70.8
North Carolina 🏆
USA
vs
Virginia Tech
USA
Position#122
Record18-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · North Carolina v Virginia Tech
28 Feb 2026
NORT89
VIRG82
17 Feb 2024
NORT96
VIRG81
11 Mar 2022
NORT59
VIRG72
24 Jan 2022
NORT78
VIRG68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H22/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A31/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H14/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A18/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A21/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-33
49-36
34-43
51-37
52-37
39-38
46-32
41-45
29-41
42-27
40-43
26-32
46-32
33-33
26-42
32-40
33-28
44-36
39-38
38-36
151.1Avg total
78.2Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.670.8151.4+9.979%
Season at home (17)84.365.9150.2+18.4100%
Season away (11)74.978.2153.1-3.345%
Last 10 (10)78.272.9151.1+5.380%
Last 5 (5)71.472.0143.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.068.0139.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (16)76.472.5148.9+3.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.468.6155.0+17.892%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H17/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H31/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A07/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A12/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
69-92
69
92
-23
H14/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A18/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-34
44-42
30-37
46-37
22-37
49-48
36-30
35-35
31-40
27-32
24-36
49-46
40-33
36-33
42-39
27-53
34-31
32-36
43-33
39-30
147.3Avg total
73.1Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.874.0152.8+4.864%
Season at home (17)82.672.4155.0+10.282%
Season away (11)72.976.5149.5-3.636%
Last 10 (10)73.174.2147.3-1.150%
Last 5 (5)73.274.0147.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)67.376.7144.0-9.414%
vs Similar (17)80.374.6154.9+5.665%
vs Weaker (6)81.769.0150.7+12.7100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: -0.8-0.8
North CarolinaVirginia Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H22/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A31/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/02
NCAA
75.6Avg total
38.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.034.873.7+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.932.473.2+8.588%-
Last 30 away (13)36.537.974.4-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.975.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.673.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.041.070.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (16)36.335.872.1+0.544%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.033.076.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#269
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H17/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A22/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H31/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A12/02
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H21/02
NCAA
69.7Avg total
34.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.433.869.2+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.733.171.7+5.672%-
Last 30 away (12)30.435.065.4-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)34.735.069.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.471.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)26.434.761.1-8.314%-
vs Similar (17)37.934.672.5+3.259%-
vs Weaker (6)38.730.569.2+8.2100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
North Carolina wins
3
Virginia Tech wins
DateGameScore
05/03/25Virginia Tech v North Carolina59-91
17/02/24North Carolina v Virginia Tech96-81
04/12/22Virginia Tech v North Carolina80-72
12/03/22North Carolina v Virginia Tech59-72
19/02/22Virginia Tech v North Carolina57-65
25/01/22North Carolina v Virginia Tech78-68
12/03/21Virginia Tech v North Carolina73-81
10/03/20Virginia Tech v North Carolina56-78
23/01/20Virginia Tech v North Carolina79-77 OT
North Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/26HLouisville77-74
21/02/26ASyracuse77-64
18/02/26ANC State58-82
14/02/26HPittsburgh79-65
11/02/26AMiami (FL)66-75
07/02/26HDuke71-68
03/02/26HSyracuse87-77
31/01/26AGeorgia Tech91-75
24/01/26AVirginia85-80
22/01/26HNotre Dame91-69
Virginia Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HWake Forest82-63
18/02/26AMiami (FL)66-67
14/02/26HFlorida State69-92
12/02/26AClemson76-66
07/02/26ANC State73-82
31/01/26HDuke58-72
28/01/26HGeorgia Tech71-65
24/01/26ALouisville71-85
22/01/26ASyracuse76-74
17/01/26HNotre Dame89-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %79%100%45%
Points / game80.684.374.9
Allowed / game70.865.978.2
Point differential+9.9+18.4-3.3
Avg total151.4150.2153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%82%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia Tech
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW64%
HomeWWLLW82%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %64%82%36%
Points / game78.882.672.9
Allowed / game74.072.476.5
Point differential+4.8+10.2-3.6
Avg total152.8155.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%53%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %14%18%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2927293%82.862.5+20.3
2 Virginia3025583%80.369.3+11.0
3 Miami (FL)2923679%82.770.0+12.7
4 North Carolina2822679%80.670.8+9.9
5 Clemson2921872%74.765.9+8.8
6 Louisville2920969%86.072.2+13.7
7 California2920969%77.772.6+5.2
8 NC State29191066%84.275.1+9.1
9 SMU Mustangs29191066%85.878.0+7.8
10 Virginia Tech28181064%78.874.0+4.8
11 Stanford29181162%75.872.4+3.3
12 Florida State29151452%79.777.6+2.1
13 Wake Forest29151452%79.177.1+2.1
14 Syracuse29151452%75.973.9+2.0
15 Notre Dame29131645%74.574.9-0.4
16 Pittsburgh29111838%70.071.2-1.2
17 Georgia Tech29111838%74.077.4-3.4
18 Boston College29101934%67.270.7-3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina444589
Virginia Tech443882
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.