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NC State vs Virginia Tech Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-73
36-24 46-49
Position#128
Record17-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game72.4
NC State 🏆
USA
vs
Virginia Tech
USA
Position#122
Record16-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · NC State v Virginia Tech
07 Feb 2026
NC S82
VIRG73
20 Jan 2024
NC S78
VIRG84
08 Mar 2023
NC S97
VIRG77
19 Jan 2022
NC S59
VIRG62
06 Mar 2021
NC S v VIRG
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#190
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H03/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
113-69
113
69
+44
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A31/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-32
34-25
20-40
41-36
40-32
39-39
56-31
57-38
35-34
39-44
38-33
31-36
34-33
47-39
41-37
47-31
49-31
47-47
34-42
50-41
155.4Avg total
82.6Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.872.4158.3+13.474%
Season at home (14)85.068.7153.7+16.371%
Season away (9)87.178.2165.3+8.978%
Last 10 (10)82.672.8155.4+9.880%
Last 5 (5)85.875.4161.2+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.080.0152.0-8.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.477.1155.5+1.250%
vs Weaker (14)87.468.1155.6+19.386%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#19
W
95-85 OT
95
85
+10
H31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H08/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H10/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H17/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-24
32-31
32-36
46-45
31-24
37-45
37-37
41-38
38-39
38-38
45-34
44-42
30-37
46-37
22-37
49-48
36-30
35-35
31-40
27-32
151.9Avg total
76.0Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.074.0154.0+6.070%
Season at home (15)83.571.7155.3+11.887%
Season away (8)73.478.4151.8-5.038%
Last 10 (10)76.075.9151.9+0.150%
Last 5 (5)73.074.4147.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.279.0145.2-12.812%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.273.9154.1+6.269%
vs Weaker (6)81.769.0150.7+12.7100%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +0.4+0.4
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +0.4+0.4
NC StateVirginia Tech
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#190
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H31/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H03/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H28/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A31/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A04/02
NCAA
72.8Avg total
38.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.334.072.3+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.431.671.1+7.882%-
Last 30 away (13)36.837.173.9-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)38.334.572.8+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.274.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.042.072.0-12.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.435.469.8-1.143%-
vs Weaker (14)43.431.474.9+12.0100%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#19
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H08/01
NCAA
California
#79
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H17/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A22/01
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A24/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H31/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
32.5Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.034.568.5-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.134.271.3+2.858%-
Last 30 away (11)28.734.963.6-6.218%-
Last 10 (10)32.533.866.3-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.835.668.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)25.836.562.2-10.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.434.971.3+1.444%-
vs Weaker (6)38.730.569.2+8.2100%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
NC State wins
4
Virginia Tech wins
DateGameScore
16/01/25Virginia Tech v NC State79-76
20/01/24NC State v Virginia Tech78-84
09/03/23NC State v Virginia Tech97-77
08/01/23Virginia Tech v NC State69-73
20/01/22NC State v Virginia Tech59-62
05/01/22Virginia Tech v NC State63-68
11/01/20Virginia Tech v NC State72-58
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26ASMU Mustangs84-83
31/01/26AWake Forest96-78
28/01/26HSyracuse88-68
24/01/26APittsburgh81-72
21/01/26AClemson80-76 OT
17/01/26HGeorgia Tech74-78
10/01/26AFlorida State113-69
07/01/26ABoston College79-71
03/01/26HVirginia61-76
31/12/25HWake Forest70-57
Virginia Techlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HDuke58-72
28/01/26HGeorgia Tech71-65
24/01/26ALouisville71-85
22/01/26ASyracuse76-74
17/01/26HNotre Dame89-76
15/01/26ASMU Mustangs76-77
10/01/26HCalifornia78-75
08/01/26HStanford68-69
03/01/26AWake Forest78-81
31/12/25HVirginia95-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %74%71%78%
Points / game85.885.087.1
Allowed / game72.468.778.2
Point differential+13.4+16.3+8.9
Avg total158.3153.7165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %9%7%11%
Virginia Tech
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL70%
HomeLWWWL87%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %70%87%38%
Points / game80.083.573.4
Allowed / game74.071.778.4
Point differential+6.0+11.8-5.0
Avg total154.0155.3151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%53%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %17%20%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2221195%84.163.6+20.5
2 Virginia2319483%82.069.9+12.1
3 Clemson2319483%76.064.5+11.5
4 North Carolina2218482%83.170.6+12.5
5 Miami (FL)2217577%84.770.1+14.6
6 NC State2317674%85.872.4+13.4
7 California2317674%78.871.2+7.6
8 Louisville2216673%85.670.2+15.4
9 Virginia Tech2316770%80.074.0+6.0
10 SMU Mustangs2215768%86.577.8+8.6
11 Stanford2314961%75.373.1+2.2
12 Syracuse23131057%75.870.7+5.1
13 Wake Forest22111150%80.077.6+2.5
14 Notre Dame23111248%73.672.3+1.2
15 Georgia Tech23111248%75.074.7+0.3
16 Florida State22101245%80.879.6+1.2
17 Boston College2291341%67.268.3-1.1
18 Pittsburgh2391439%71.070.9+0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State364682
Virginia Tech244973
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