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Virginia Tech vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 59-91
29-46 30-45
Position#286
Record13-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#111
Record19-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Virginia Tech v North Carolina
04 Mar 2025
VIRG59
NORT91
04 Dec 2022
VIRG80
NORT72
19 Feb 2022
VIRG57
NORT65
11 Mar 2021
VIRG73
NORT81
10 Mar 2020
VIRG56
NORT78
22 Jan 2020
VIRG79
NORT77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H25/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A30/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A01/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H15/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A19/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A22/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-41
28-31
35-15
41-51
38-31
37-43
35-35
40-46
26-33
39-30
33-40
37-33
11-26
25-28
38-38
43-30
26-34
40-37
38-47
44-35
141.9Avg total
70.2Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.172.5142.7-2.445%
Season at home (18)73.172.9146.1+0.244%
Season away (11)65.371.8137.1-6.545%
Last 10 (10)70.271.7141.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)70.872.2143.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)65.972.2138.1-6.228%
vs Similar (11)75.273.7148.9+1.564%
vs Weaker (1)93.074.0167.0+19.0100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#298
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H20/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H22/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A25/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
46-45
43-44
44-42
21-31
25-47
45-40
35-32
32-34
33-49
32-36
42-34
46-48
54-26
43-47
46-34
35-32
49-43
47-42
46-31
46-42
160.9Avg total
82.3Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.876.5158.2+5.363%
Season at home (17)85.974.9160.8+11.076%
Season away (13)76.478.5154.9-2.246%
Last 10 (10)82.378.6160.9+3.770%
Last 5 (5)90.875.8166.6+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.488.2164.6-11.80%
vs Similar (12)78.777.9156.6+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.770.6157.3+16.1100%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: -0.6-0.6
Virginia TechNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-15
35
15
+20
A30/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A01/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
11-26
11
26
-15
A19/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H26/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H01/03
NCAA
64.9Avg total
30.9Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.666.8-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.935.470.3-0.439%-
Last 30 away (12)30.631.061.6-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)30.934.064.9-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)29.237.066.2-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.332.664.9-0.333%-
vs Similar (11)34.335.569.7-1.236%-
vs Weaker (1)37.032.069.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#298
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H20/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A25/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H01/03
NCAA
80.3Avg total
42.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.574.7+1.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.134.774.8+5.476%-
Last 30 away (13)35.838.974.7-3.254%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.380.3+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)47.433.681.0+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.645.076.6-13.40%-
vs Similar (12)37.037.874.8-0.858%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.832.173.9+9.8100%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virginia Tech wins
5
North Carolina wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HSyracuse101-95 OT
26/02/25HLouisville66-71
22/02/25AMiami (FL)81-68
19/02/25ABoston College36-54
15/02/25HVirginia70-73
08/02/25ANotre Dame65-63
06/02/25HSMU Mustangs75-81
01/02/25AVirginia75-74
30/01/25AFlorida State76-66
25/01/25HClemson57-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HMiami (FL)92-73
25/02/25AFlorida State96-85
22/02/25HVirginia81-66
20/02/25HNC State97-73
15/02/25ASyracuse88-82
11/02/25AClemson65-85
08/02/25HPittsburgh67-66
01/02/25ADuke70-87
29/01/25APittsburgh65-73
25/01/25HBoston College102-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia Tech
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeLLLLW44%
AwayWWWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %45%44%45%
Points / game70.173.165.3
Allowed / game72.572.971.8
Point differential-2.4+0.2-6.5
Avg total142.7146.1137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)40% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %63%76%46%
Points / game81.885.976.4
Allowed / game76.574.978.5
Point differential+5.3+11.0-2.2
Avg total158.2160.8154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%53%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3027390%83.561.1+22.4
2 Clemson2924583%77.466.2+11.2
3 Louisville2923679%79.569.2+10.3
4 SMU Mustangs2921872%81.771.9+9.7
5 Wake Forest30201067%70.668.9+1.7
6 Stanford29191066%74.370.9+3.4
7 North Carolina30191163%81.876.5+5.3
8 Pittsburgh29161355%76.571.5+5.0
9 Florida State29161355%75.473.2+2.2
10 Georgia Tech29151452%74.272.7+1.5
11 Virginia29141548%64.966.6-1.6
12 California29131645%74.575.4-0.9
13 Virginia Tech29131645%70.172.5-2.4
14 Notre Dame29121741%73.072.3+0.7
15 Syracuse29121741%75.478.8-3.4
16 Boston College29121741%70.675.1-4.6
17 NC State29111838%69.470.5-1.1
18 Miami (FL)2962321%74.180.7-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia Tech293059
North Carolina464591
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