PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Virginia Tech hosts the Richmond Spiders on 16 November 2026 in an NCAA contest where the model names the Hokies the clear favourite, rating them 79% to win because of a flawless 4-0 season record, 89.8 points scored and 67.8 allowed per game, and a 45th league position that places them ahead of Richmond's 3-1 record, 89.0 points scored and 64.0 allowed per game and a 91st league position; Virginia Tech has also gone 3-0 at home, averaging 88.7 points and allowing 61.0, while Richmond has a 1-1 road record with 74.5 points and 66.5 allowed. In the last five games Virginia Tech has won four and lost one, with recent victories over Mount St. Mary's 82-62, Iowa 93-88, and Mercer 96-67, whereas Richmond's recent slate includes a 70-80 loss to Southern Illinois, a 79-53 win over Temple and a 107-46 win at home against Southern Virginia. The only prior meeting was a 74-58 victory for Virginia Tech on 19 March 2024. Pythia projects a 79-70 score, 149.1 total points, a 79% chance for Virginia Tech to win, a 21% chance for Richmond, and a 4% probability of overtime, with the home team covering the spread. The game ends with Virginia Tech's dominant 79-70 win.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 89.8 | 67.8 | 157.5 | +22.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 88.7 | 61.0 | 149.7 | +27.7 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 93.0 | 88.0 | 181.0 | +5.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.2 | 72.4 | 154.6 | +9.8 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.6 | 73.2 | 162.8 | +16.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 72.2 | 79.6 | 151.9 | -7.4 | 12% |
| vs Similar ◀ (14) | 79.2 | 77.1 | 156.3 | +2.1 | 57% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 83.2 | 65.4 | 148.6 | +17.9 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 89.0 | 64.0 | 153.0 | +25.0 | 75% |
| Season at home (2) | 103.5 | 61.5 | 165.0 | +42.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 74.5 | 66.5 | 141.0 | +8.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.8 | 70.3 | 149.1 | +8.5 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.6 | 66.2 | 150.8 | +18.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 72.8 | 83.8 | 156.7 | -11.0 | 17% |
| vs Similar ◀ (15) | 74.9 | 75.0 | 149.9 | -0.1 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 77.8 | 67.5 | 145.2 | +10.2 | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.1 | 34.1 | 70.2 | +1.9 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 38.8 | 31.8 | 70.6 | +7.1 | 71% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 32.5 | 37.2 | 69.7 | -4.8 | 31% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.0 | 33.2 | 72.2 | +5.8 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.8 | 31.8 | 73.6 | +10.0 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 29.2 | 36.6 | 65.9 | -7.4 | 12% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (14) | 37.4 | 35.6 | 73.0 | +1.7 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (8) | 40.6 | 29.0 | 69.6 | +11.6 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.9 | 35.9 | 71.8 | +0.1 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 37.7 | 35.9 | 73.6 | +1.8 | 38% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 33.9 | 35.8 | 69.7 | -1.9 | 50% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.9 | 32.8 | 72.7 | +7.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 28.6 | 72.8 | +15.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 31.5 | 45.5 | 77.0 | -14.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (15) | 35.1 | 34.9 | 70.0 | +0.1 | 47% | - |
| vs Weaker (8) | 38.1 | 32.6 | 70.8 | +5.5 | 62% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20/03/24 | Virginia Tech v Richmond Spiders | 74-58 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Mount St. Mary's | 82-62 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Iowa | 93-88 OT |
| 06/11/26 | H | Mercer | 96-67 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Coppin State | 88-54 |
| 10/03/26 | H | Wake Forest | 89-95 OT |
| 07/03/26 | A | Virginia | 72-76 |
| 04/03/26 | H | Boston College | 72-63 |
| 01/03/26 | A | North Carolina | 82-89 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Wake Forest | 82-63 |
| 18/02/26 | A | Miami (FL) | 66-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | A | Southern Illinois | 70-80 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Temple | 79-53 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Southern Virginia | 107-46 |
| 03/11/26 | H | UNC Asheville | 100-77 |
| 11/03/26 | H | Loyola Chicago | 67-75 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Duquesne | 77-79 |
| 04/03/26 | H | Dayton | 60-65 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Loyola Chicago | 66-69 |
| 21/02/26 | H | St. Bonaventure | 99-94 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Davidson | 63-65 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 89.8 | 88.7 | 93.0 |
| Allowed / game | 67.8 | 61.0 | 88.0 |
| Point differential | +22.0 | +27.7 | +5.0 |
| Avg total | 157.5 | 149.7 | 181.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 25% | 0% | 100% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWL | 75% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 89.0 | 103.5 | 74.5 |
| Allowed / game | 64.0 | 61.5 | 66.5 |
| Point differential | +25.0 | +42.0 | +8.0 |
| Avg total | 153.0 | 165.0 | 141.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Louisville | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 95.5 | 63.5 | +32.0 |
| 2 |  SMU Mustangs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 92.0 | 67.5 | +24.5 |
| 3 |  Boston College | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 76.3 | 53.0 | +23.3 |
| 4 |  Notre Dame | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 87.5 | 64.2 | +23.2 |
| 5 |  Virginia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 91.8 | 69.6 | +22.2 |
| 6 | Virginia Tech | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 89.8 | 67.8 | +22.0 |
| 7 |  NC State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 83.8 | 62.2 | +21.5 |
| 8 |  Pittsburgh | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 83.2 | 64.5 | +18.8 |
| 9 |  Georgia Tech | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 82.5 | 70.8 | +11.8 |
| 10 |  California | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 85.8 | 74.8 | +11.0 |
| 11 |  Duke | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 90.0 | 57.0 | +33.0 |
| 12 |  Miami (FL) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 83.2 | 59.2 | +24.0 |
| 13 |  Wake Forest | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 76.2 | 62.8 | +13.5 |
| 14 |  North Carolina | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 83.8 | 70.8 | +13.0 |
| 15 |  Stanford | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 78.5 | 69.2 | +9.2 |
| 16 |  Clemson | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.2 | 76.8 | +7.5 |
| 17 |  Syracuse | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.3 | 63.3 | +22.0 |
| 18 |  Florida State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.0 | 80.2 | -1.2 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St. Louis Billikens | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 102.3 | 71.3 | +31.0 |
| 2 |  George Washington | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 51.8 | +28.2 |
| 3 |  Rhode Island | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 81.2 | 59.2 | +22.0 |
| 4 |  George Mason | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 58.5 | +13.5 |
| 5 |  Duquesne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 72.2 | 64.5 | +7.8 |
| 6 |  Saint Josephs Hawks | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 78.8 | 71.8 | +7.0 |
| 7 | Richmond Spiders | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 89.0 | 64.0 | +25.0 |
| 8 |  St. Bonaventure | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 82.0 | 62.5 | +19.5 |
| 9 |  Loyola Chicago | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 79.8 | 67.5 | +12.2 |
| 10 |  Davidson | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 71.0 | 61.5 | +9.5 |
| 11 |  Fordham | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 76.5 | 72.0 | +4.5 |
| 12 |  VCU Rams | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.7 | 70.0 | +15.7 |
| 13 |  La Salle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 84.7 | -17.3 |
| 14 |  Dayton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 81.5 | 83.2 | -1.8 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
