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Virginia vs Butler Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-80
42-44 31-36
Position#19
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Butler 🏆
USA
Position#208
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Butler winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H01/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H04/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H12/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
54-106
54
106
-52
A12/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
104-78
104
78
+26
H15/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-27
26-44
27-28
33-29
26-43
44-41
25-25
35-41
42-32
45-21
42-25
39-37
47-19
44-34
35-40
19-66
61-33
43-45
40-36
43-42
145.6Avg total
74.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.371.7155.0+11.783%
Season at home (5)89.264.8154.0+24.4100%
Season away (1)54.0106.0160.0-52.00%
Last 10 (10)74.870.8145.6+4.060%
Last 5 (5)82.675.4158.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)62.671.3133.9-8.618%
vs Similar (12)66.565.3131.8+1.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.171.6154.7+11.686%
This opponent (Butler) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#138
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A01/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H06/03
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A08/03
NCAA
Providence
#300
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A12/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
57-78
57
78
-21
A13/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
88-58
88
58
+30
H06/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
112-80
112
80
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H12/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A15/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-43
35-37
40-44
38-47
44-52
30-35
39-31
36-38
26-37
31-41
52-26
36-32
51-38
61-42
57-30
41-36
43-38
42-49
38-31
41-41
158.4Avg total
81.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.472.6165.0+19.880%
Season at home (3)99.368.0167.3+31.3100%
Season away (2)82.079.5161.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)81.676.8158.4+4.850%
Last 5 (5)92.472.6165.0+19.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.679.2148.9-9.60%
vs Similar (8)79.875.8155.5+4.075%
vs Weaker (5)92.867.0159.8+25.8100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.9+6.91st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -0.7-0.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.9+6.91st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -0.7-0.7
VirginiaButler
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A12/03
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H04/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H12/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H15/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/11
NCAA
68.5Avg total
37.7Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.065.9+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.530.464.9+4.156%-
Last 30 away (12)33.034.367.3-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.730.868.5+6.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.030.675.6+14.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.032.563.5-1.536%-
vs Similar (12)30.832.363.1-1.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.930.674.4+13.386%-
This opponent (Butler) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#138
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H06/03
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Providence
#300
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A12/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A13/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H06/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H12/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A15/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A21/11
NCAA
79.5Avg total
42.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.636.373.9+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.377.6+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)34.935.470.3-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.079.5+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.232.680.8+15.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.539.172.6-5.629%-
vs Similar (8)38.834.573.2+4.288%-
vs Weaker (5)49.829.879.6+20.0100%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia wins
0
Butler wins
No previous meetings.
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25HNorthwestern83-78
15/11/25HMarshall104-78
12/11/25AVMI54-106
12/11/25HHampton91-53
08/11/25HN. Carolina Central81-62
04/11/25HRider87-53
12/03/25AGeorgia Tech60-66
09/03/25ASyracuse70-84
05/03/25HFlorida State60-57
01/03/25HClemson58-71
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25ASouth Carolina79-72
15/11/25ASMU Mustangs85-87
12/11/25HChicago State98-66
08/11/25HIU Indy112-80
06/11/25HSouthern Indiana88-58
13/03/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)57-78
12/03/25AProvidence75-69
08/03/25ACreighton74-87
06/03/25HXavier78-91
01/03/25AVillanova70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %83%100%0%
Points / game83.389.254.0
Allowed / game71.764.8106.0
Point differential+11.7+24.4-52.0
Avg total155.0154.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Butler
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game92.499.382.0
Allowed / game72.668.079.5
Point differential+19.8+31.3+2.5
Avg total165.0167.3161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke660100%93.757.2+36.5
2 NC State440100%100.869.8+31.0
3 Syracuse440100%81.553.2+28.2
4 Louisville550100%97.269.6+27.6
5 North Carolina550100%88.063.2+24.8
6 SMU Mustangs660100%93.373.2+20.2
7 Virginia Tech550100%92.272.8+19.4
8 Clemson76186%84.364.9+19.4
9 Miami (FL)65183%92.264.3+27.8
10 California65183%85.269.2+16.0
11 Virginia65183%83.371.7+11.7
12 Florida State54180%94.072.6+21.4
13 Notre Dame54180%83.667.6+16.0
14 Stanford54180%83.871.6+12.2
15 Georgia Tech54180%71.063.0+8.0
16 Wake Forest64267%85.775.2+10.5
17 Pittsburgh64267%71.763.8+7.8
18 Boston College63350%66.862.0+4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Seton Hall550100%73.054.6+18.4
2 Georgetown550100%82.269.8+12.4
3 Uconn54180%86.263.8+22.4
4 Butler54180%92.472.6+19.8
5 Villanova54180%82.267.4+14.8
6 St. John's (N.Y.)43175%98.571.5+27.0
7 Creighton43175%78.567.8+10.8
8 Providence64267%93.282.5+10.7
9 DePaul53260%77.867.0+10.8
10 Marquette74357%83.474.4+9.0
11 Xavier63350%74.374.3+0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia423173
Butler443680
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