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Virginia vs N. Carolina Central Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-62
42-25 39-37
Position#19
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game53.0
Virginia 🏆
USA
vs
N. Carolina Central
USA
Position#258
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game114.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Virginia v N. Carolina Central
07 Nov 2025
VIRG81
N. C62
05 Dec 2023
VIRG77
N. C47
07 Nov 2022
VIRG73
N. C61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
N. Carolina Central winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#196
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A15/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H18/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H01/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
34-25
40-33
33-37
29-43
33-37
34-46
32-35
44-33
39-42
32-27
26-44
27-28
33-29
26-43
44-41
25-25
35-41
42-32
45-21
139.2Avg total
69.4Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.053.0140.0+34.0100%
Season at home (1)87.053.0140.0+34.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.469.8139.2-0.450%
Last 5 (5)67.066.2133.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)61.172.5133.6-11.414%
vs Similar (14)67.163.6130.6+3.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)84.562.0146.5+22.5100%
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina CentralUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#351
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
L
78-92
78
92
-14
H18/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#170
L
84-86 OT
84
86
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Howard
#302
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H04/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#170
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A14/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A15/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
66-114
66
114
-48
A04/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
40-29
40-43
38-49
41-32
34-43
33-27
26-41
34-35
38-33
38-36
38-40
27-43
44-44
35-31
44-46
25-54
42-34
26-54
40-60
156.4Avg total
73.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.0114.0180.0-48.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)66.0114.0180.0-48.00%
Last 10 (10)73.882.6156.4-8.840%
Last 5 (5)74.890.6165.4-15.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.889.0164.8-13.233%
vs Similar (11)74.880.3155.1-5.536%
vs Weaker (13)85.667.6153.2+18.062%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -3.5-3.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -3.5-3.5
VirginiaN. Carolina Central
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#196
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H18/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A27/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A09/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A12/03
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H04/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
34.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.531.963.5-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.130.962.0+0.247%-
Last 30 away (13)32.133.365.4-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)34.034.668.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)30.431.061.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.232.662.9-2.429%-
vs Similar (14)31.531.462.9+0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.030.571.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina CentralLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#351
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#170
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Howard
#302
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H01/03
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A07/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#170
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A14/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
L
25-54
25
54
-29
A15/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A04/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
33.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.072.4+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.330.774.0+12.669%-
Last 30 away (17)32.938.371.2-5.435%-
Last 10 (10)33.038.571.5-5.550%-
Last 5 (5)30.243.673.8-13.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.843.875.7-12.017%-
vs Similar (11)34.334.769.0-0.555%-
vs Weaker (13)42.731.273.8+11.562%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virginia wins
0
N. Carolina Central wins
DateGameScore
06/12/23Virginia v N. Carolina Central77-47
08/11/22Virginia v N. Carolina Central73-61
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25HRider87-53
12/03/25AGeorgia Tech60-66
09/03/25ASyracuse70-84
05/03/25HFlorida State60-57
01/03/25HClemson58-71
27/02/25AWake Forest83-75
22/02/25ANorth Carolina66-81
18/02/25HDuke62-80
15/02/25AVirginia Tech73-70
08/02/25HGeorgia Tech75-61
N. Carolina Centrallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25ANC State66-114
15/03/25ASouth Carolina St67-88
14/03/25ADelaware State79-77
07/03/25ASouth Carolina St71-87
04/03/25HNorfolk State91-87 OT
01/03/25HHoward72-68
27/02/25AMd.-East. Shore59-68
25/02/25ADelaware State84-86 OT
18/02/25HMorgan State78-92
15/02/25HCoppin State71-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game53.053.0-
Point differential+34.0+34.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
N. Carolina Central
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game66.0-66.0
Allowed / game114.0-114.0
Point differential-48.0--48.0
Avg total180.0-180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson110100%88.038.0+50.0
2 NC State110100%114.066.0+48.0
3 Louisville220100%105.057.5+47.5
4 North Carolina110100%94.054.0+40.0
5 Syracuse110100%85.047.0+38.0
6 Virginia110100%87.053.0+34.0
7 Florida State110100%108.076.0+32.0
8 Virginia Tech110100%98.067.0+31.0
9 Miami (FL)220100%93.565.0+28.5
10 Notre Dame110100%89.067.0+22.0
11 California220100%82.063.5+18.5
12 SMU Mustangs220100%82.567.0+15.5
13 Duke110100%75.060.0+15.0
14 Pittsburgh110100%74.059.0+15.0
15 Wake Forest110100%88.074.0+14.0
16 Stanford110100%89.079.0+10.0
17 Georgia Tech110100%56.052.0+4.0
18 Boston College21150%77.065.0+12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norfolk State220100%108.565.5+43.0
2 Howard21150%85.079.5+5.5
3 Morgan State21150%85.582.0+3.5
4 Delaware State1010%65.083.0-18.0
5 Coppin State2020%60.085.0-25.0
6 Md.-East. Shore2020%40.575.0-34.5
7 N. Carolina Central1010%66.0114.0-48.0
8 South Carolina St1010%45.0104.0-59.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia423981
N. Carolina Central253762
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