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Virginia vs Stanford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 70-55
41-34 29-21
Position#19
Record13-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game70.0
Virginia 🏆
USA
vs
Stanford
USA
Position#103
Record13-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stanford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#208
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H23/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A04/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H10/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H20/12
NCAA
American University
#204
W
95-51
95
51
+44
H22/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
85-95 OT
85
95
-10
A31/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A03/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-44
31-36
46-29
48-40
46-27
42-42
37-33
49-40
46-32
38-28
24-19
56-53
45-25
50-26
24-23
31-32
40-20
36-41
43-33
41-27
153.5Avg total
84.5Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.170.0154.1+14.181%
Season at home (12)86.865.8152.6+21.192%
Season away (4)75.882.8158.5-7.050%
Last 10 (10)84.569.0153.5+15.580%
Last 5 (5)84.067.8151.8+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.472.8141.2-4.440%
vs Similar (10)70.967.3138.2+3.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.270.7154.9+13.580%
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A29/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H02/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H07/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A14/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H18/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H28/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-47
42-30
51-31
43-41
39-38
35-37
44-36
42-46
40-25
36-35
33-35
44-33
33-38
55-42
17-22
23-25
35-34
45-42
24-31
45-37
146.7Avg total
76.2Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.370.7149.0+7.681%
Season at home (11)79.269.8149.0+9.473%
Season away (5)76.472.6149.0+3.8100%
Last 10 (10)76.270.5146.7+5.780%
Last 5 (5)70.867.8138.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.079.3148.3-10.343%
vs Similar (17)73.870.0143.8+3.865%
vs Weaker (5)78.265.4143.6+12.880%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +4.2+4.2
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +4.2+4.2
VirginiaStanford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#208
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H28/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A04/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
24-19
24
19
+5
H20/12
NCAA
American University
#204
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
24-23
24
23
+1
A31/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
40-20
40
20
+20
A03/01
NCAA
California
#79
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
39.3Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.731.168.8+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.131.370.4+7.874%-
Last 30 away (11)35.330.766.0+4.564%-
Last 10 (10)39.328.567.8+10.890%-
Last 5 (5)35.224.059.2+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.633.668.2+1.060%-
vs Similar (10)34.431.265.6+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.930.171.1+10.887%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A29/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H02/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A14/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H18/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H28/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
17-22
17
22
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H03/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A08/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
35.2Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.033.067.0+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.731.267.9+5.574%-
Last 30 away (11)29.336.065.3-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.768.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)28.432.060.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.339.671.9-7.343%-
vs Similar (17)32.932.465.2+0.553%-
vs Weaker (5)37.826.664.4+11.280%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia wins
1
Stanford wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Stanford v Virginia88-65
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HCalifornia84-60
03/01/26ANC State76-61
31/12/25AVirginia Tech85-95 OT
22/12/25HAmerican University95-51
20/12/25HMaryland80-72
10/12/25HMd.-East. Shore84-60
06/12/25HDayton86-73
04/12/25ATexas88-69
28/11/25HQueens Royals94-69
23/11/25HButler73-80
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AVirginia Tech69-68
03/01/26HLouisville80-76
31/12/25HNotre Dame40-47
28/12/25HCS Northridge88-80
21/12/25AColorado77-68
18/12/25HUT Arlington76-60
14/12/25ASan Jose State86-82
07/12/25HUNLV74-75
02/12/25HPortland94-72
29/11/25ASt. Louis Billikens78-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %81%92%50%
Points / game84.186.875.8
Allowed / game70.065.882.8
Point differential+14.1+21.1-7.0
Avg total154.1152.6158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%25%
Stanford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW81%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %81%73%100%
Points / game78.379.276.4
Allowed / game70.769.872.6
Point differential+7.6+9.4+3.8
Avg total149.0149.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1615194%86.866.6+20.2
2 Miami (FL)1614288%88.269.2+19.0
3 North Carolina1513287%81.365.9+15.4
4 Virginia1613381%84.170.0+14.1
5 Clemson1613381%77.965.9+12.0
6 California1613381%80.169.5+10.6
7 Stanford1613381%78.370.7+7.6
8 Louisville1612475%88.369.6+18.7
9 SMU Mustangs1612475%89.177.1+12.1
10 Virginia Tech1612475%82.673.7+8.9
11 NC State1712571%86.571.2+15.3
12 Syracuse1611569%74.865.7+9.1
13 Notre Dame1510567%74.366.7+7.6
14 Wake Forest1610662%81.674.7+6.9
15 Georgia Tech1710759%76.072.1+3.9
16 Pittsburgh167944%73.269.6+3.6
17 Florida State167944%82.981.3+1.6
18 Boston College167944%69.067.9+1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia412970
Stanford342155
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